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China Steel Production Capacity Had Net Increase of 36.5 Million Tons in 2016

According to a report that Radio France Internationale published, Greenpeace East Asia and Custeel (a website that the China Iron and Steel Association, which 16 large-sized steel manufacturers and enterprises in China fund) conducted an investigation of China’s steel production. The findings showed that, despite the serious steel surplus that China faces, its 2016 steel production capacity actually increased by 36.5 million tons. The investigation report disclosed that even though China claimed that, in 2016, it shut down steel factories having 85 million tons of steel capacity, the number should only have been 23 million tons because the rest of the factories that were shut down had been idle, with no production capability. Meanwhile, according to the report, new projects launched in 2016 added 12 million tons of production capacity with most of it located in Hubei Province.

The report stated that China Steel production accounts for 50 percent of the production volume in the world. Competitors criticized (China’s steel industry) for using the destructive competition approach and selling below cost. As a result, in 2016, they faced anti-dumping treatment from the EU and the U.S. The Chinese authorities promised that, by 2020, China would reduce steel production by 100-150 million tons. In 2016, China’s steel production was around 1.1 trillion tons, which means it is sitting on 300 million tons of excess steel.

Source: Radio France Internationale, February 13, 2017                                                                                    cn.rfi.fr/%E4%B8%AD%E5%9B%BD/20170213-%E6%89%BF%E8%AF%BA%E6%9C%AA%E8%A7%81%E6%95%88-%E5%8E%BB%E5%B9%B4%E4%B8%AD%E5%9B%BD%E9%92%A2%E9%93%81%E4%BA%A7%E8%83%BD%E5%AE%9E%E9%99%85%E5%87%80%E5%A2%9E3650%E4%B8%87%E5%90%A8

IIF: 2016 Chinese Capital Outflow Reached US$725 Billion

Reuters Chinese recently reported that the Institute of International Finance (IIF) released its recent report on China’s capital outflow. According to numbers that the IIF provided, China’s 2016 outflow reached a record high of US$725 billion, which was a US$50 billion increase over 2015. The same number in 2014 was only US$160 billion. In the past two years, both Chinese businesses and individuals accelerated their process of sending money overseas, partially due to the expectation of the Chinese currency’s depreciation. High capital outflow caused a US$320 billion decrease in China’s foreign exchange reserve. In 2016, the Chinese currency RMB saw a record depreciation of 6.5 percent against the U.S. dollar. The IIF also suggested that China may see a higher capital outflow in 2017 if U.S. companies move their money back to the States, which they may do if the Trump administration delivers on its promise of tax relief on the flow-back dollars. The IIF estimated a US$206 billion capital outflow from developing economies, with most of this amount coming from China.

Source: Reuters Chinese, February 2, 2017
http://cn.reuters.com/article/china-capital-outflow-2016-iif-idCNKBS15I01H

United States Became Top Destination of China’s 2016 Overseas Investments

Well-known Chinese news site Tencent recently reported that, according to newly released statistics, China’s 2016 overseas commercial real estate investment reached a record high of US$38.3 billion, which constituted over 45 percent of China’s overall overseas investments. The United States was the largest destination of China’s investment money, totaling US$18.3 billion, which represented a 400 percent growth over 2015. Chinese investment in Britain increased 32 percent. Hong Kong, Korea, Canada and Germany all saw growth. However, since China’s foreign exchange reserve decreased US$69.1 billion in November, that month, the central government tightened up control of overseas investments. That control included a ban on investments over US$10 billion and restrictions on deals over US$1 billion. Experts expressed the belief that overseas investments will remain strong in 2017 due to the fact that investors typically expect a low return on domestic investments.

Source: Tencent, January 26, 2017
http://haiwai.house.qq.com/news/206146.html

China’s Premier Promises Foreign Investors Wider Access to New Sectors

China’s Premier Li Keqiang’s wrote an article on China’s economy, “Economic Openness Serves Everyone Better,” which was published on January 25 in Bloomberg Business Weekly. Li pointed out that, “We are opening new sectors of the economy to investment and widening access to many others.” The article was also published in full on the State Council’s official web site.
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SWIFT: 2016 RMB Global Settlement Volume Declined Significantly

Well-known Chinese news site Sina recently reported that SWIFT (Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication) released its official 2016 report which showed global settlements in the Chinese currency RMB declined by 29.5 percent. In 2015, the RMB held a 2.31 percent share in the global settlement volume. In 2016, the Chinese currency saw only a 1.67 percentage share in global settlements. SWIFT especially mentioned that the RMB suffered a sharp decline of 15.08 percent from November 2016 to December 2016, while all other currencies saw a growth of 0.67 percent at the same time. SWIFT Asia Pacific Regional Director Michael Moon suggested that the main cause of the sharp year-end decline was the decline in the Chinese economy, RMB exchange rate fluctuations, and China’s restrictions on capital outflow. In 2016, China just became one of the official currencies that form the IMF (International Monetary Fund) SDR (Special Drawing Rights), which was expected to improve the internationalization of the Chinese currency.

Source: Sina, January 26, 2017
http://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2017-01-26/doc-ifxzyxmu8075501.shtml

Xinhua: Liaoning Province Admitted Forging Economic Statistics

Xinhua recently reported that Liaoning Province officially admitted faking its official GDP data from 2011 to 2014. The governor of the province, Chen Qiufa, reported the government’s wrong-doing in his formal speech to the provincial congress. The Communist Party’s central inspection team in Liaoning pointed out some related issues in 2014. The Chinese National Audit Office also found similar problems in its 2013 audit report. However, experts expressed the belief that the root cause of the data-forging issue across the nation was the direct and tight association between the GDP numbers and the government officials’ promotion opportunities. The public is looking forward to the follow-up steps of identifying the individuals who performed these illegal activities.

Source: Xinhua, January 18, 2017
http://news.xinhuanet.com/politics/2017-01/18/c_1120331628.htm

Level of China-Owned U.S. Bonds Continues to Drop

Well-known Chinese news site Sina recently reported that China has relinquished the title of the largest U.S. bond owner to Japan for two consecutive months now. China just revealed the official numbers showing that the total capital outflow in 2016 reached US$305.3 billion, which was a record high. Chinese held U.S. bonds are on the decline. As of the end of November 2016, China’s U.S. bond level was US$1.0493 trillion, which was US$66.4 billion less than the end of October. This was the lowest level in six years. Analysts expressed the belief that the cause of China selling U.S. bonds was to defend the Chinese currency, the RMB, which has been suffering rapid depreciation. Since the Chinese government was worried about the potential market disorder resulting from capital outflow as well as currency depreciation, the Chinese authorities have been applying capital outflow controls on the investment level.

Source: Sina, January 20, 2017
http://finance.sina.com/gb/economy/chinanews/20170120/10561552000.html