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Non-Performing Loans Hit New High

Sina Finance, a popular Chinese financial news site under Sina.com recently reported that the amount of non-performing loans reached RMB 646 billion yuan (US$104 billion) in the first quarter of 2014. That figure represents a record high for the past six years. The scale of defaults has continued to rise for ten quarters in a row. The report expressed the worry that, with the slow-down in the Chinese economy, more and more credit defaults are surfacing. The China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) also stated that the nationwide overall bank credit risk level has been increasing. Bloomberg analyst Rainy Yuan pointed to the quality of assets as the biggest issue that Chinese banks face and to the government’s unwillingness to provide a monetary stimulus policy as a contributor to the worsening situatiion. CBRC is calling on banks to have tighter risk management while preparing for new pressure tests for the sector.
Source: Sina Finance, May 16, 2014
http://finance.sina.com.cn/money/forex/20140516/121419132270.shtml

300 out of 657 of China’s Cities Face a Severe Water Shortage

According to the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, based on the standard set by United Nations Human Settlements Program, out of 657 cities in China, over 300 cities can be categorized as facing a “severe water shortage.” The Ministry also disclosed that the consumption structure of China shows that agricultural use is at 61 percent, industrial use is at 24 percent, and residential use in the urban regions is at 13 percent. 

Source: Xinhua, May 17, 2014
http://news.xinhuanet.com/politics/2014-05/17/c_1110734884.htm

Housing Market: Mortgage Defaults and Foreclosures on the Rise

China Securities reported that, since the beginning of 2014, people have been defaulting on high-end real estate loans or have simply abandoned their property. Some bank staff members have said that they no longer make housing loans. Real estate auction announcements frequently appear on the homepage of major auction websites. It will take a couple of years for banks to auction off their foreclosed properties. Few banks are interested in offering low interest loans; they prefer to keep the interest rate at 10 percent or above. However, some investment professionals indicated that those who are willing to pay 10 percent interest for loans are more likely to default. Typically, they have secured emigrant status and bought properties overseas. They are the high risk groups for defaults on loans. 

Source: China Securities reprinted by Xinua, May 15, 2014 http://big5.xinhuanet.com/gate/big5/www.cs.com.cn/ssgs/fcgs/201405/t20140515_4390839.html

Xinhua: Capital for Real Estate Companies Is Drying up

Xinhua recently reported that, according to the E-House Real Estate Research Institute’s "Report on Real Estate Enterprises’ Capital in the First Quarter of 2014," China’s real estate companies are tight on money.

For the first quarter, the year-on-year increase in the rate of fully-funded capital was 6.6 percent, a significant drop from last year’s 26.5 percent. On the source of capital, year-on-year foreign investment decreased 33.9 percent, while money from domestic lending and self-raised capital increased by 20.4 percent and 9.6 percent respectively.
The year-on-year increase in the rate of money lent domestically, foreign investment, self-raised money, and other sources of capital also dropped by 12.7 percent, 66.7 percent, 11.7 percent, and 30.8 percent respectively.

Unlike the tight money in real estate, the land market was still hot. Ten typical cities’ land transfer fees totaled 269 billion yuan (US$44 billion), an increase of 83.1 percent from a year ago. The total in land transfer fees from first tier cities (Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen) was 175 billion yuan (US$28.6 billion), which was 35 percent of last year’s annual amount.

As both overseas capital and domestic capital are drying up and as land prices keep increasing, the real estate business faces a severe money challenge. "Mid-level and small companies need to prepare for bad times. Some companies that can only tolerate a low risk may be forced out of the market."

Source: Xinhua, May 13, 2014
http://news.xinhuanet.com/house/bj/2014-05-13/c_1110654420.htm

HSBC’s April Chinese Manufacturing PMI Remains Low

Well-known Chinese news site Sina Finance recently reported that the newly released HSBC April Chinese Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) number remains low, at 48.1. This key indicator has remained below 50 for four consecutive months. Both “new export orders” and the “employment rate” have dropped significantly. Qu Hongbin, the HSBC Chief Economist for the China Region, commented that the domestic demand level recovered slightly but still remains low. He expressed the belief that the new numbers demonstrate that the manufacturing sector as well as the whole Chinese economy are still slowing down and that more economic stimulation policies are needed. PMI is an indicator of financial activity reflecting the purchasing managers’ acquisition of goods and services. A PMI number below 50 typically reflects a decline. 
Source: Sina Finance, May 5, 2014
http://finance.sina.com.cn/china/hgjj/20140505/103519001934.shtml

China News: The Canton Fair Reflected a Weak Import Export Situation

China News recently reported that China’s largest trade show, the China Import Export Fair (also known as The Canton Fair), closed on May 5 in Guangzhou, Canton Province. The 115th Canton Fair, widely regarded as “China’s International Trade Barometer,” attracted significantly fewer foreign attendees than last year, while the volume of signed export agreements also fell. Over 55 percent of the foreign procurement representatives were from Asia. Those from Europe and North American combined held only around one third of the foreign customers. The main region that saw an increase of the number of buyers was Africa. This round of the Canton Fair concluded with a total export volume of US$31 billion, which represented a 12.64 percent decrease from last year. The Spokesperson for the Fair indicated that the outcome was slightly disappointing; however, it correctly reflected a very slow recovery of the global economy, especially in China’s “traditional European and American markets.” Another key observation at this Fair was that most (more than 80 percent) of the contracts were short-term contracts (less than six months into the future). 
Source: China News, May 5, 2014
http://finance.chinanews.com/cj/2014/05-05/6135380.shtml

About Twenty Thousand Ducks Died in Beijing; Bird Flu Suspected

Beijing News reported that about 20,000 ducks died within a week in six farms. The number is increasing daily. Wang Haijun started raising ducks last year. Since April 29, 2014, many of his 7,200 ducks have suddenly died. Less than 600 have survived. His neighbor Pan Meibing found that his ducks started to die on May 4. As of May 7, 2014, of 4,800 grown-up ducks, over 3,000 had died. Of 4,800 younger ducks, over 500 had died. Every day, large numbers of duck are dying.

Reports indicate that these farms have purchased feed from different sources. People have applied dozens of types of medicine, but to no avail. The farmers said that, before they died, the ducks showed symptoms consistent with bird flu. 

Source: Beijing News, May 8, 2014 
http://www.bjnews.com.cn/news/2014/05/08/316022.html

Xinhua: Investment Funds Are Selling off Their Real Estate Holdings

Xinhua reported that, according to statistics, in the first quarter of 2014, 41.28 percent of stock funds and blend funds sold off their real estate holdings. 

Out of 625 stock funds and blend funds, 258 cleared out their holdings in the real estate sector and now have zero investment in that sector. 
In those three months, the market value of the real estate stocks that the funds held dropped from 39 billion yuan to 31 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.8 billion. 
According to the 2014 first quarter reports of the investment funds, after the financial sector, the real estate sector was the hardest hit. A downward price adjustment and a market cooling have been confirmed for the housing market. The changes in the housing market will put significant pressure on the stock market. 
Source: China Securities, May 8, 2014 
http://news.cnstock.com/news/sns_yw/201405/3014364.htm