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Beijing Municipal Party Committee Passed Emergency Air Pollution Plan

The Beijing Municipal Party Committee recently passed an emergency air pollution plan. It assigned blue, yellow, orange, and red colors to measure different pollution levels in the air. If it is a “red” level, schools will be closed and if it is a red and orange level, manufacturing plants will be shut down, no firecrackers can be lit and no outdoor BBQ and burning of garbage, leaves, or stalks will be allowed. City law enforcement organs are instructed to carry out the emergency plan.

Source: Xinhua, October 18, 2013
http://news.xinhuanet.com/edu/2013-10/18/c_117766414.htm

China’s Local Government Debts May Reach 24 Trillion Yuan

Shanghai Securities News reported on October 17 that the national audits of local governments’ debts are coming to an end and that such debts are estimated to be as high as 24 trillion yuan, which amounts to 40 percent of GDP. 

Since July 2013, Chinese authorities have quietly conducted an unprecedented national audit of local government debts. It is anticipated that the audit will be completed soon. While the consensus is that the local government debts will be over 10.7 trillion yuan, the China Chengxin (Asia Pacific) Credit Ratings Co., Ltd. estimated the number will be as high as 16 trillion. Others believe the number could be between 21.9 trillion to 24.4 trillion. That would amount for 38 to 42 percent of China’s GCP. 
Source: Shanghai Securities News reprinted by Sina.com, October 17, 2013 http://finance.sina.com.cn/china/20131017/021817016037.shtml

China to Tackle Overcapacity

China’s State Council, the country’s cabinet, recently issued a document to tackle the overcapacity in a number of industries including cement, electrolytic aluminum, sheet glass, shipping, and steel.

The Guideline for Tackling Serious Production Overcapacity lists eight tasks in each sector: forbid expanding the capacity of new projects; clear up illegal capacity; eliminate outmoded capacity in an orderly way; promote mergers and the restructuring of enterprises; develop effective domestic demand; expand the international market and expand foreign investments and cooperation; make breakthroughs in technologies and strengthening enterprise innovation; facilitate innovation in government management and create a fair environment for improvement of the market mechanism.

Source: Xinhua, October 15, 2013
http://news.xinhuanet.com/2013-10/15/c_117726958.htm

China’s Shortcut for Obtaining Core Technology from Foreign Countries: Mergers and Acquisitions

The debt crisis in the U.S. and Europe has given China new opportunities to merge and acquire foreign enterprises. According to China Review News on October 13, 2013, China has become one of the five largest capital exporting countries in the world. In 2012, Chinese investors invested directly in 4425 overseas companies located in 141 countries and regions with accumulated non-financial direct investments of US$77.22 billion, an increase of 28.6 percent over the previous year. In this new situation, China’s future cross-border mergers and acquisitions show the following trends:

  1. Since many countries view state-owned enterprises’ mergers and acquisitions as politically motivated commercial activities, more private enterprises are engaging in cross-border mergers and acquisitions.
  2. China’s demand for energy resources is growing rapidly. Of 45 types of bulk minerals that China needs for its development, by 2020, China will achieve self-sufficiency with only 6 of these types. China’s thirst for resources will drive China’s enterprises to get involved in cross-border mergers and acquisitions in more and more diverse industries (finance, IT, and tertiary industries) on a global scale, with the focus on oil, gas, mining, and chemical industries.
  3. In order to be effective in avoiding the high risks of the cross-border mergers and acquisitions, China has used and will continue to use the world’s leading professional intermediaries and foreign lawyers to provide consulting services throughout all of the acquisition processes.
  4. To merge and acquire advanced technology enterprises in developed countries is a shortcut to using legal means to obtain core technology from foreign countries. Therefore, China’s cross-border mergers and acquisitions will be mainly technology-oriented.
  5. To reduce acquisition costs, China will take full advantage of local capital in the foreign markets through the acquisition of listed companies for financing and will directly or indirectly attract investments in foreign capital markets.
  6. China will send its management teams to the merged companies overseas and will conduct post-merger cultural integration for the purpose of taking corporate control while maximizing the value of the acquired companies.  

Source: China Review News, October 13, 2013
http://www.zhgpl.com/doc/1027/9/3/7/102793724.html?coluid=53&kindid=0&docid=102793724&mdate=1013071942  

Global Times: Volume of Trade in Chinese Currency Is Growing Rapidly

Global Times recently reported that new trading participants pushed the RMB trade volume much higher in London. This significantly strengthened London’s position as one of the primary RMB offshore trading centers. Based on SWIFT data, London’s trading volume now represents 62 percent of the entire RMB trading activities outside Mainland China and Hong Kong. London won the market share mainly from Singapore and from the U.S., Switzerland and France. The daily RMB trade volume has reached US$5 billion, which is double last year’s number. HSBC currency strategist Wang Ju suggested that many central banks, private banks, hedge funds, and companies are showing a strong interest in the RMB. Data from the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) also demonstrated a rapid growth in RMB trading, which is quickly catching up to the volume of the Canadian dollar and the Swiss Franc.
Source: Global Times, October 10, 2013
http://finance.huanqiu.com/china/2013-10/4426449.html

China News: A U.S. Default Could be Worse than the Fall of Lehman Brothers

China News recently reported from New York that the United States has moved steps closer to a new “Fiscal Cliff.” The on-going two-party fight on the debt ceiling issue has pushed the world’s largest economy toward the edge of default. Many countries have issued warnings that the situation could, potentially, be worse than that of the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy in 2008, which triggered a global downturn. China and Japan are the two primary overseas creditors, holding US$2.4 trillion in U.S. government bonds. On numerous recent occasions, their government officials called for an immediate resolution of the debt crisis. Economists have predicted that, following a U.S. default, credit ratings will be lower, interest rates will be higher, the U.S. dollar will depreciate, bankruptcies will occur in the banking industry, and the stock market will go into free fall. The Chicago Volatility Index for futures has gone up by 22 percent since October 1 and the International Monetary Fund also warned of “serious damage” to the world economy.
Source: China News, October 10, 2013
http://www.chinanews.com/gj/2013/10-10/5357213.shtml

Actual Economic Growth Was Lower Than Forecast

21st Century Business Herald reported that local governments have revised downward the forecasts of their economic growth. One reason is that the targets were set too high. Shanghai was the only one that had the same target rate as the national forecast of 7.5 percent. All other regions had much higher targets. 

Although local governments sped up their investments earlier in the year, the actual growth has been lower than expected due to capacity surplus and weak demand. For example, Sichuan Province and Shanxi Province reported that the target growth rates of 11 percent and 12.5 percent respectively have been revised downward to 10 percent and 11.3 percent. For Beijing and Hebei Province, the original goals were 8 percent and 9 percent. In the first half of the year, the two economies reported growth of 7.7 percent and 8.7 percent. 
Beijing municipal government has requested that the Beijing People’s Congress reduce the growth rate from 8 percent to 7.5 percent. An official of a provincial government stated, “We submitted a report recommending a downward revision of the economic growth rate for this year.” 
Source: 21st Century Business Herald reprinted by i, October 8, 2013 http://finance.sina.com/bg/chinamkt/sinacn/20131008/1641875281.html

Housing Prices Rose for 16 Consecutive months; Beijing Had the Highest Increase

Guangming Daily carried an article stating that, according to the statistics published by the China Index Academy, in September 2013, the average increase in housing prices for 100 cities in China was 10,554 yuan (US$1,724) per square meter, up 1.07 percent from August. According to the article, this was 16th consecutive month that saw an increase. The average increase in 10 large cities, including Beijing and Shanghai, was 18,179 yuan (US$2,930) per square meter, up 13 percent compared to the same period last year. The article stated that, of those 10 cities, Beijing had the highest increase. It also pointed out that, while the housing prices for the first tier cities kept increasing, the prices in third and fourth tier cities have  remained relatively stable and are not expected to see much fluctuation in the future..

Source: Guangming Daily, October 2, 2013
http://politics.gmw.cn/2013-10/02/content_9076291.htm