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Qiu Shi: Chinese Economic Trend from a Global Angle

Qiu Shi, a magazine of CCP Central Committee, recently published an article discussing the direction in which China’s economy is headed, given the background of the global downturn. The author expressed the belief that, although the global economy seems to be recovering slowly, the long term expectations are that it is moving in a negative direction. The world economy currently is a mixed bag of a number of pros and cons, such as uncertainty in Europe, lowered global inflation, capital outflows in emerging countries, and global investments shrinking in value. Impacted by the world economy, China faces some challenges: (1) the high pressure of a downturn; (2) small businesses are still struggling; (3) food prices are fluctuating significantly. The author suggested that China should take positive actions: (1) government investments should continue; (2) the government should support strategic new industries; (3) Mid-Western provinces will have more growth based on industries that have moved from the east; (4) domestic consumer spending should be encouraged; (5) second half imports and exports will speed up. The article concluded that the Chinese economy still has hope despite its difficulties.

Source: Qiu Shi, August 2, 2012
http://www.qstheory.cn/jj/jjyj/201208/t20120803_174163.htm

China’s Migrants Work Close to 55 Hours Per Week

On August 6, 2012, the National Population and Family Planning Commission of China released China’s 2012 Migrant Population Development Report. According to the report, the migrant population reached 230 million in 2011, accounting for 17 percent of the national population. Migrant worker’s average age was 28. In 2011, no more than 30 percent of the entire migrant workers population had insurance. Migrant worker’s insurance includes pensions, medical care, disability, unemployment, maternity, and funds for housing. Seventy-two percent of migrants either rent or share housing with others.

According to the report, China’s migrant workers work an average of 54.6 hours per week, far surpassing the standard 40 hour work week stipulated in China’s Labor Law. Only 51.3 percent of migrant workers have a fixed-term labor contract.

Source: The Central People’s Government of the People’s Republic of China, August 7, 2012
http://www.gov.cn/jrzg/2012-08/07/content_2199409.htm

SASAC: No More Expansion – China’s Central Enterprises Situation Is Grim

China’s State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council (SASAC) recently held an internal meeting regarding the grim situation that state-owned central enterprises are facing. “Any investments involving large-scale expansion must stop,” said the person in charge on the meeting. “When the economic situation is not good, state-owned central enterprises must not only watch their own cash flow but also the flow of capital for their customers, both upstream and downstream.”

The SASAC has publicly warned central enterprises several times to get ready for “winter.” As of today, 36 central enterprises’ listed concept-class companies have publicized their 2012 reports. Out from these 36 companies, the net profits of 19 companies have decreased. This means that 52.8% of the central enterprises have shown reduced profits. In the first half of 2012, 94 out of 139 central enterprises continued to lose money or lost money for the first time, which means that 67.6% of China’s central enterprise companies are losing money. The deteriorated central enterprise companies are mainly in the manufacturing, electricity, petrochemical, transportation, and real estate industries.

Source: China Review News, August 7, 2012
http://www.zhgpl.com/doc/1021/9/1/5/102191591.html?coluid=10&kindid=253&docid=102191591&mdate=0807092907

Qiu Shi: Establish and Implement the Chinese Gold Strategy

Qiu Shi, a magazine by the CCP Central Committee, recently published an article discussing China’s strategy on gold. The author emphasized the importance of establishing and implementing a national strategy: (1) China must recognize gold’s strategic value and its position as a wealth reserve tool; (2) Domestic gold mining and manufacturing should be considered as the primary approach in developing China’s gold reserves; (3) The government should actively invest in China’s gold industry and push the development of the domestic gold market. 
The author suggested that gold plays a strong role in enhancing social and financial stability. China has been the world’s largest gold producer since the year 2007. The article concluded by calling for a comprehensive national gold strategy to be designed and used to guide China into becoming a stronger country.
Source: Qiu Shi, August 1, 2012
http://www.qstheory.cn/zxdk/2012/201215/201207/t20120727_172665.htm

CRN: Local Governments’ 4 Trillion Move May Be Disastrous

China Review News (CRN) recently published a review on the phenomenon of many of China’s local governments coming up with huge investment plans. The scale of these government investments are comparable to the central government managed “4 trillion” (in Chinese RMB) stimulus package that started in 2008. An example is Changsha, the capital city of Hunan Province, which just announced an investment plan of RMB 800 billion. The review pointed out that the income of typical Chinese local governments has declined significantly in the past year due to the adjustments that the central government has made in the area of real estate investments. With the apparent decline in the overall Chinese economy, the central government is loosening up currency and financial policies. However, the review expressed the belief that, if many local governments make un-coordinated investments, it may result in disastrous economic damage. It would be a better idea to manage market demand and stimulate private investments in the right direction.
Source: China Review News, August 2, 2012
http://www.zhgpl.com/doc/1021/8/6/6/102186619.html?coluid=53&kindid=0&docid=102186619&mdate=0802072701

CRN: 60% of the Souvenirs at the London Olympics are from China

On July 29, 2012, China Review News (CRN) reported that Chinese products are trying to compete in the market at the London Olympics. For example, a Beijing company provided about 20,000 square meters of sod. All of the bags that the Netherlands delegation used, as well as all tennis bags and bags for ambulance personnel, were made in Fujian Province. Around 50 million of the flags of all sizes, that were used officially, were made in Zhejiang Province, in addition to paper cups, paper plates, hats, and folding chairs. Other official Olympics products such as bedding supplies, cups, toy cars, pins, clothing, mascot dolls, wrist straps, and key chains were all made in China. In addition, China will provide 60% of all of the souvenirs. 
Source: China Review News, July 29, 2012
http://www.zhgpl.com/doc/1021/8/2/5/102182572.html?coluid=7&kindid=0&docid=102182572&mdate=0729163628

Minimum Wage Increase Slows Down in 2012

According to the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, at the end of June, the minimum wage was adjusted upwards in 16 provinces and cities. The increase averaged 19.7 percent over 2011. Currently Shen Zhen has the highest monthly minimum wage of 1500 yuan per month, while Beijing has the highest minimum hourly rate of 14 yuan per hour.

According to Su Hainan of the Committee on Labor Compensation of China’s Labor Association, the increase in 2012 was less than the 22 percent increase of 2011 over 2010, but it was still within expectations. Su said, “The standard of the minimum wage is a double edged sword. If it increases too slowly, it will affect worker’s basic living standards, but if it increases too fast, it will have a negative effect on the economy, especially now that we have a labor surplus compared to market demand.”

Currently the standard minimum wage varies greatly between regions; the minimum wage is still determined by each local region. Su observed, “In the long term, the fundamental solution is to resolve the unbalanced economic development between regions by investing more and promoting economic development in those regions that are behind, such as the middle western region.”

Source: Xinhua, July 29, 2012
http://news.xinhuanet.com/politics/2012-07/29/c_123487285.htm

Qiushi: Beware of the Real Economy Being Virtualized

On July 20, 2012, Qiushi, a journal of the Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), reprinted an article from the China Jinggangshan Executive Leadership Academy Journal titled “Beware of the Real Economy Being Virtualized.” The real economy, which refers to the production and service sectors, is declining in China due to higher costs (of goods and labor), heavy taxes, overcapacity, limited investment, financing problems, and a lack of innovation.

However, the virtual economy is overly booming in China due to the huge returns from real estate, the stock market, the futures market, coal resources, antiques, art works, financial products, loan sharking, and the speculative markets for some agricultural products. Such a phenomenon poses a significant potential risk for sustainable economic development in China. In analyzing the main reasons behind the virtualization of the real economy, the article’s writer proposed some solutions for improvement.

Source: Qiushi, July 20, 2012
http://www.qstheory.cn/jj/xsdt/201207/t20120723_171534.htm