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CNA: China’s Personal Income Tax Revenue Fell Significantly in First Two Months of 2024

Primary Taiwanese news agency Central News Agency (CNA) recently ran a story on statistics released by China’s Ministry of Finance. According to the data, Chinese tax revenue during the first two months of 2024 saw a year-over-year decrease of four percent, and personal income tax revenue suffered a significant reduction of 15.9 percent.

“Personal Income Tax Revenue Decline” quickly became a hot topic on Chinese social media, with more than 170 million topic views on Weibo. In online discussion boards, consensus has emerged among a majority of netizens that the driving reasons behind the decline in personal income tax revenue are lowered wages and widespread layoffs.

In China, generally speaking, those with an annual salary of less than RMB 100,000 yuan (US$14,000) do not need to pay personal income tax. Some experts pointed out that China’s post-COVID economic recovery in 2023 was not as strong as expected, and some companies reduced or did not pay year-end bonuses to employees. In addition, some foreign trade companies have seen business volume fall and staff salaries reduced.

Chinese government officials are optimistic regarding the rest of the year, expecting personal income tax revenue for the whole of 2024 to increase by about 6.3 percent compared with 2023.

Source: CNA, March 22, 2024
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/202403220330.aspx

RTI: Japanese Company Bridgestone Closes Shenyang Factory

Radio Taiwan International (RTI) recently reported that Bridgestone, Japan’s largest tire manufacturer, announced the closure of its factory in the Chinese city of Shenyang. The company also plans to terminate the production and sales of commercial vehicle tires in China during the first half of 2024. The Bridgestone Group has been operating in China for more than 20 years. Bridgestone closed its tire factory in Huizhou, Guangdong Province at the end of 2021 and transferred production capacity and equipment to Shenyang.

Japan was the first country to have foreign businesses enter China during the modern era. In recent years, foreign companies, including many from Japan, have withdrawn from the Chinese market. Experts have said that Japan is a “weathervane” for foreign investment in China, and that foreign business withdrawals from China are now accelerating. This is quite inconsistent with the Chinese government’s messaging around business-friendliness. Since last year, world-renowned companies including Japan’s Canon, SONY, Toshiba, Nikon and South Korea’s Samsung have withdrawn from China, affecting tens of thousands of Chinese employees.

Source: RTI, March 15, 2024
https://www.rti.org.tw/news/view/id/2199093

Alibaba to Invest $1.1 Billion Expanding Business Footprint in South Korea

According to exclusive information obtained by the South Korean news agency Yonhap News Agency, Alibaba Group plans to expand its business footprint in South Korea over the next three years with $1.1 billion in new investment.

Alibaba recently submitted its business plan to the South Korean government. According to the plan, Alibaba will begin construction of a comprehensive logistics center in South Korea this year. The logistics center will comprise an area of 180,000 square meters, equivalent in size to 25 soccer fields.

Alibaba will invest $100 million to help South Korean sellers bring their products to foreign markets. In June, Alibaba will establish a procurement center to source high-quality Korean goods for resale via global sales channels. Alibaba plans to utilize its various e-commerce platforms to sell Korean products, including AliExpress, Lazada (one of the largest e-commerce operators in Southeast Asia), and Spanish e-commerce platform Miravia. Over the next three years, Alibaba aims to support 50,000 South Korean small- and medium-sized enterprises in exporting their products.

Source: Yonhap News Agency, March 14, 2024
https://cn.yna.co.kr/view/ACK20240314000300881

Li Qiang: Resolving Local Government Debts Will be a Protracted Battle

On March 22, the Chinese State Council held a video conference on Preventing and Resolving Local Debt Risks. People’s Daily reported that “Premier Li Qiang gave a speech emphasizing that the work of preventing and resolving local debt is both an offensive assault and a war of attrition. All regions and departments should improve their political stance, strengthen their sense of responsibility and systems thinking, properly resolve risks from existing debts, and strictly prevent new debt risk. We must continue in-depth work to resolve risks from local government debt and resolutely implement requirements regarding tight budgets.”

Source: People’s Daily, March 23, 2024
http://politics.people.com.cn/n1/2024/0323/c1024-40201534.html

Chinese Ambassador to Russia: In Principle There is No Problem With Russia Borrowing Money From China

Russian state-owned news agency Sputnik reported that Zhang Hanhui, China’s Ambassador to Russia, told Sputnik that in principle there is no problem with Russia borrowing money from China by issuing bonds or taking out loans; only technical matters of how to implement such borrowing remain.

Zhang said, “More than 90% of bilateral settlements [between China and Russia] are now denominated in RMB. The percentage may grow even higher in the future. Both sides conduct settlements in RMB as well as in other currencies, including the Ruble. Regarding [Russia] issuing Bonds in China and borrowing money in China, this matter is open for discussion. There is no problem in principle [with Russia taking out debt from China], though the technical matter of how specifically to accomplish this requires further discussion among [financial] professionals.”

Zhang also said that the recent obstacles to cross-border transfers between Russia and China have to do with interference from third-party countries. He said “The obstacles occurred because some countries created troubles for us, but I believe we can find ways to overcome them.”

Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov said in an earlier interview with Sputnik that he had been in discussions with his Chinese counterpart about the feasibility of RMB borrowing, with the two countries’ finance ministries touching on the topic near the end of 2023, but as of yet no final decision has been made.

Source: Sputnik, February 28, 2024
https://sputniknews.cn/20240228/1057339595.html

All Levels of Government Must Maintain a Tight Budget, Top Chinese Officials at National People’s Conference Repeatedly Emphasize

During China’s National People’s Conference, Premier Li Qiang delivered the annual “Government Work Report” on March 5th. His report stated that “governments at all levels should get used to living with a tight budget, truly tighten their belts, and effectively use fiscal funds where they are most needed and can produce real results.”

At a press conference on March 6th, Chinese Finance Minister Lan Fo’an answered a question about tight budgets, saying that “the Party Central Committee has set the clear requirement that party and government organs must live under a tight budget. Governments at all levels should take the lead in implementing [such financial constraint] and be thrifty in all undertakings. This year’s government work report emphasizes [such restraint] again, further highlighting that this is not just a temporary need but rather a long-term strategy.”

At the Guizhou provincial delegation’s discussion on March 6, Li Bingjun, Governor of Guizhou Province, said, “At the end of last year, [Party] General Secretary Xi Jinping emphasized at the Central Economic Work Conference that Party and government organs should get used to ‘living within a tight budget.’” He added, “In my understanding, ‘living with a tight budget’ is not a temporary measure, but rather the new norm.”

Sources:
1. Chinese Government Website, March 5, 2024
https://www.gov.cn/yaowen/liebiao/202403/content_6936325.htm
2. Guancha, March 6, 2024
https://www.guancha.cn/politics/2024_03_06_727443.shtml
3. Phoenix, March 6, 2024
https://news.ifeng.com/c/8XjUlPgYsXM

Taiwanese Scholar: Wang Huning’s “Spider Strategy” to Slowly Swallow Taiwan

On March 4th, chairman Wang Huning of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference delivered a statement on the topic of China-Taiwan relations. The statement, titled “Work Report of the Standing Committee,” proposed a strategy of “strengthening cross-strait industrial cooperation, building a common market across the straits, holding the sixth Cross-Strait Grassroots Governance Forum, and promoting the integrated development of both sides of the strait.”

Song Guocheng, a Senior Researcher at the International Relations Research Center of Taiwan’s Chengchi University, called Wang Huning’s plan a “spider strategy” to gradually swallow Taiwan. Song published an article on the implications of Wang’s strategy, analyzing four key phrases used in Wang’s statement. Below are translations of the major points from Song’s analysis.

The first key phrase from Wang Huning’s statement was “cooperation” (合作). Cooperation sounds great. By just saying “cooperation,” the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) can sidestep sanctions and allegations over foreign interference, as it is not “changing the status quo across the Taiwan Strait.” Cross-strait cooperation is, however, a “big brother leading the little brother” style. It could lead to the so called “peaceful evolution” of Taiwan – using economic ties to drive political change, using profit to lure Taiwanese people into acting against their country’s best interest, merging with Taiwan [economically], and making its people willing to submit to subjugation [by China].

The second key phrase is “shared marketplace” (共同市場). This term implies “mutual benefit and shared interests.” But the strategy behind this term is to use the “big economy” of mainland China to “melt/dissolve” the “small economy” of Taiwan; this is the “spider strategy,” with the big enveloping the small, trapping Taiwan in a huge “economic spider web,” using honey as poison to slowly consume Taiwan.

The third key phrase is “grassroots cross-strait governance” (兩岸基層治理). Governance sounds neutral, but it is a sovereignty issue when one discusses “cross-strait governance.” Neither side of the [Taiwan] strait is subordinate to the other, and the governance on each side is unrelated to that on the other side. Of course, the CCP will be able to achieve [such governance] if it can rope in Taiwan’s municipal leaders, public figures, community organizations, agricultural associations, guilds, chambers of commerce, student unions, hometown associations… etc. It uses various pretexts such as “exchange, learn, observe, and inspect” to break through the wall of sovereignty between the two sides. This is its softest, most gentle, and most intimate “slow swallowing” policy.

The fourth key phrase is “integrated development” (融合發展). Development sounds so pleasant, and integration sounds wonderful: you are part of me, and I am part of you! But the true meaning behind this phrase is as follows. “Integration” means slow erosion of Taiwan’s anti-communist consciousness, and “development” means gradual subsumption of Taiwan’s sovereignty. This is a “patchwork policy” to unify Taiwan, also known as the “stacking blocks” policy or the “great dissolution” strategy. Once the puzzle is completed and the blocks are stacked, the time will be ripe for natural unification of China.

Source: Up Media, March 7, 2024
https://www.upmedia.mg/news_info.php?Type=2&SerialNo=196367

Lianhe Zaobao: Moody’s Downgrades Vanke’s Rating to Junk Status

Singapore’s primary Chinese language newspaper Lianhe Zaobao recently reported that international rating agency Moody’s has downgraded Chinese real estate giant Vanke’s credit rating to junk status. Moody’s warned of further downgrades in the future.

The downgrade reflects Moody’s expectation that Vanke’s credit metrics, financial flexibility and liquidity buffers will weaken over the next 12 to 18 months. The company’s contracted sales are declining amid a prolonged downturn in China’s housing market, and uncertainty over financing channels is increasing day by day.

The move by Moody’s may further weaken the world’s confidence in China’s real estate market. Vanke is usually recognized as the third largest real estate company in China, and it was one of the few developers in China with an investment-grade credit rating. Vanke is known to have strong government backing.

Currently, S&P Global Ratings and Fitch Ratings still maintain a non-junk rating for Vanke. Chinese regulators reportedly met with financial institutions to ask major banks to step up financing support for Vanke and called on bondholders to discuss debt repayment extensions with Vanke. However, not long ago, Vanke was rejected after seeking permission from insurance companies to defer debt repayments.

Source: Lianhe Zaobao, March 12, 2024
https://www.zaobao.com.sg/realtime/china/story20240312-3143019