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Ten Local Governments Allowed to Issue Bonds to Repay Debts

According to China’s Ministry of Finance, the State Council has approved 10 local governments as part of a pilot program to give them the authority to issue municipal bonds and be responsible for the repayment of their debts. 

Prior to the pilot program, the central government was responsible for the payments of interest and principal on the bonds that the local governments issued. These payments were then deducted from the funds the central government allocated to the local governments. 
The 10 local governments are Shanghai, Zhenjiang Province, Guangdong Province, Shenzhen, Jiangsu Province, Shandong Province, Beijing, Jiangxi Province, Ningxia Autonomous Region and Qingdao. Of these 10 governments, Ningxia and Jiangxi are considered to have a strong solvency. Their 2013 debt ratios were 50.5 percent and 68 percent respectively. The estimated value of the bonds may reach 150 billion yuan and they may mature in five, seven, and 10 years. These bonds will become part of China’s first-ever municipal bond market. 
Source: China Securities, May 21, 2014. 
http://www.cs.com.cn/zq/zqxw/201405/t20140522_4397444.html

Business Bankruptcy Filings Escalate

Economic Information, a publication under Xinhua, reported that bankruptcies are on the rise and banks have tightened credit, adding fuel to the economic downturn. 

A total of 346 bankruptcy cases have been filed in the Courts in Zhejiang Province. This represents an increase of 145.07 percent compared to the same period last year. The debt of these bankrupt companies totals more than 159.5 billion yuan. This is a six fold increase compared to the debt in 2012, which was 24.3 billion yuan. 
Of the 346 cases, 198 are from companies in Wenzhou City. Closures of the companies have caused a domino effect. Among the waves of corporate bankruptcies, over 90 percent of Wenzhou credit guarantee companies have gone belly up. Wenzhou Credit Guarantee Investment Co., Ltd., the largest credit guarantee company closed its doors in July 2013. 

Banks have ceased making corporate loans and have started asking for an accelerated payment of principal on outstanding loans. In Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province, the default of one of the largest companies affected more than 600 companies because they provided credit guarantees to each other. In Xiaoshan, and also in Zhenjiang Province, the insolvency of one company adversely impacted over 300 other companies due to the credit guarantees that they provided to each other. 
Source: Economic Information reprinted by State’s China Radio International, May 23, 2014 http://gb.cri.cn/44571/2014/05/23/3005s4552048.htm

Housing Inventory Hits Record High

Daily Economic News reported that, as of end of April, 35 major cities saw an overall housing inventory increase of 2.6 percent compared to March and 19.5 percent compared to one year ago, hitting a five year record high. 

From 2009 through 2012, the inventory in Tangshan, for example, reached 17,410,000 square meters. Last year, only 1,460,000 square meters were sold. It would take another 10 years to deplete the existing inventory. Staring last year, banks stopped making loans to developers of residential housing. Shenyang has an inventory of 17,200,000 square meters, an increase of 21.5 percent compared to a year ago. It would take close to 20 months to deplete this inventory. 
Source: Daily Economic News, May 21, 2014 
http://www.nbd.com.cn/articles/2014-05-21/835560.html

China Securities Journal: Three Major Challenges for China’s Economic Reform

A China Securities Journal article listed three major challenges that severely hinder China’s economic reform:

1. The lack of protection for legitimate property rights. Local governments expropriate farmer’s land, even when the farmers have the proper contracts for using the land. When there is a need to boost the economy, local governments invite companies to invest. Later, when they try to cool down some overheated sectors, the local governments force them to exit the market.

2. The lack of a formal government budget spending process. The top official can, individually, make a decision on spending. At end of the budget year, government agencies rush to spend funds.

3. The lack of measurements for correct performance and of a reward system for government officials and the heads of state-owned enterprises. Their evaluation is linked to short-term economic achievements instead of long-term performance. This induces officials to pursue temporary results while leaving the major burdens for the public to handle in the long run.

Source: China Securities Journal Online, May 13, 2014
http://www.cs.com.cn/sylm/zjyl_1/201405/t20140513_4388241.html

China Review News: New Countermeasures to Guard Against and Defuse China’s Financial Risks

On May 18, 2014, China Review News published an article discussing China’s rising financial risks. The article suggested “new countermeasures to guard against and defuse these financial risks.” Below are the new countermeasures recommended in the article:

  1. Carry out thorough investigations into China’s financial risks to enable easier management. However, the results of these investigations should not be released to the public so as to prevent any substantial volatility in financial markets.
  2. Develop contingency plans for financial emergencies.
  3. Set up a bank deposit insurance system as soon as possible to stop people from withdrawing all of their money from banks.
  4. Further strengthen supervision over financial businesses.

Source: China Review News, May 18, 2014
http://hk.crntt.com/doc/1031/9/2/4/103192492.html?coluid=53&kindid=0&docid=103192492&mdate=0518071527

Non-Performing Loans Hit New High

Sina Finance, a popular Chinese financial news site under Sina.com recently reported that the amount of non-performing loans reached RMB 646 billion yuan (US$104 billion) in the first quarter of 2014. That figure represents a record high for the past six years. The scale of defaults has continued to rise for ten quarters in a row. The report expressed the worry that, with the slow-down in the Chinese economy, more and more credit defaults are surfacing. The China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) also stated that the nationwide overall bank credit risk level has been increasing. Bloomberg analyst Rainy Yuan pointed to the quality of assets as the biggest issue that Chinese banks face and to the government’s unwillingness to provide a monetary stimulus policy as a contributor to the worsening situatiion. CBRC is calling on banks to have tighter risk management while preparing for new pressure tests for the sector.
Source: Sina Finance, May 16, 2014
http://finance.sina.com.cn/money/forex/20140516/121419132270.shtml

300 out of 657 of China’s Cities Face a Severe Water Shortage

According to the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, based on the standard set by United Nations Human Settlements Program, out of 657 cities in China, over 300 cities can be categorized as facing a “severe water shortage.” The Ministry also disclosed that the consumption structure of China shows that agricultural use is at 61 percent, industrial use is at 24 percent, and residential use in the urban regions is at 13 percent. 

Source: Xinhua, May 17, 2014
http://news.xinhuanet.com/politics/2014-05/17/c_1110734884.htm

Housing Market: Mortgage Defaults and Foreclosures on the Rise

China Securities reported that, since the beginning of 2014, people have been defaulting on high-end real estate loans or have simply abandoned their property. Some bank staff members have said that they no longer make housing loans. Real estate auction announcements frequently appear on the homepage of major auction websites. It will take a couple of years for banks to auction off their foreclosed properties. Few banks are interested in offering low interest loans; they prefer to keep the interest rate at 10 percent or above. However, some investment professionals indicated that those who are willing to pay 10 percent interest for loans are more likely to default. Typically, they have secured emigrant status and bought properties overseas. They are the high risk groups for defaults on loans. 

Source: China Securities reprinted by Xinua, May 15, 2014 http://big5.xinhuanet.com/gate/big5/www.cs.com.cn/ssgs/fcgs/201405/t20140515_4390839.html