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Chinese Newspaper Says Reports that Property Prices Will Collapse Are Not Credible

On October 21, 2013, Qilu Evening News (http://www.qlwb.com.cn/), the biggest official newspaper in Shandong Province in the People’s Republic of China, published an article commenting on reports that “Property Prices Will Collapse,” a message currently circulating on the Internet. According to this message, the Chinese Communist Party Central Committee has sent out an internal early warning that property prices in 15 cities, including Qingdao and Yantai in Shandong Province, will collapse. Most of the 15 cities are on the east coast of China.

The Qilu Evening News article challenged the credibility of the Internet message by listing a series of statistical data, including the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China, which has shown a steady increase in property prices in China, particularly in Qingdao, Yantai, and on the east coast. 

Source: Qilu Evening News, October 21, 2013
http://epaper.qlwb.com.cn/qlwb/content/20131021/ArticelA15002FM.htm?jdfwkey=0quvp3

Xinhua: European Council Authorized Investment Agreement Negotiations

Xinhua recently reported that, on October 18, the European Council officially authorized the EU Commission to start negotiations with China on an Investment Agreement. The EU Commission announced later that the negotiations are expected to start at the China-EU Leadership Summit next month. The plan is to complete the negotiations in two and a half years. The Investment Agreement focuses on the mutual protection of market access and investments. The EU Commission announcement also mentioned that the trade volume between China and the EU is substantial. The daily business volume in goods and services has reached at least 1 billion Euros (US$1.37 billion). However the bilateral investment level is still very low. The EU direct investments in China are holding at only 2.1 percent of the EU’s total international investments. Chinese investments in EU shares are less than 1 percent of the total of all foreign investments that the EU has received. Those investments received from the United States are holding at 21 percent. 
Source: Xinhua, October 18, 2013
http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2013-10/18/c_117782393.htm

Beijing Municipal Party Committee Passed Emergency Air Pollution Plan

The Beijing Municipal Party Committee recently passed an emergency air pollution plan. It assigned blue, yellow, orange, and red colors to measure different pollution levels in the air. If it is a “red” level, schools will be closed and if it is a red and orange level, manufacturing plants will be shut down, no firecrackers can be lit and no outdoor BBQ and burning of garbage, leaves, or stalks will be allowed. City law enforcement organs are instructed to carry out the emergency plan.

Source: Xinhua, October 18, 2013
http://news.xinhuanet.com/edu/2013-10/18/c_117766414.htm

China’s Local Government Debts May Reach 24 Trillion Yuan

Shanghai Securities News reported on October 17 that the national audits of local governments’ debts are coming to an end and that such debts are estimated to be as high as 24 trillion yuan, which amounts to 40 percent of GDP. 

Since July 2013, Chinese authorities have quietly conducted an unprecedented national audit of local government debts. It is anticipated that the audit will be completed soon. While the consensus is that the local government debts will be over 10.7 trillion yuan, the China Chengxin (Asia Pacific) Credit Ratings Co., Ltd. estimated the number will be as high as 16 trillion. Others believe the number could be between 21.9 trillion to 24.4 trillion. That would amount for 38 to 42 percent of China’s GCP. 
Source: Shanghai Securities News reprinted by Sina.com, October 17, 2013 http://finance.sina.com.cn/china/20131017/021817016037.shtml

China to Tackle Overcapacity

China’s State Council, the country’s cabinet, recently issued a document to tackle the overcapacity in a number of industries including cement, electrolytic aluminum, sheet glass, shipping, and steel.

The Guideline for Tackling Serious Production Overcapacity lists eight tasks in each sector: forbid expanding the capacity of new projects; clear up illegal capacity; eliminate outmoded capacity in an orderly way; promote mergers and the restructuring of enterprises; develop effective domestic demand; expand the international market and expand foreign investments and cooperation; make breakthroughs in technologies and strengthening enterprise innovation; facilitate innovation in government management and create a fair environment for improvement of the market mechanism.

Source: Xinhua, October 15, 2013
http://news.xinhuanet.com/2013-10/15/c_117726958.htm

China’s Shortcut for Obtaining Core Technology from Foreign Countries: Mergers and Acquisitions

The debt crisis in the U.S. and Europe has given China new opportunities to merge and acquire foreign enterprises. According to China Review News on October 13, 2013, China has become one of the five largest capital exporting countries in the world. In 2012, Chinese investors invested directly in 4425 overseas companies located in 141 countries and regions with accumulated non-financial direct investments of US$77.22 billion, an increase of 28.6 percent over the previous year. In this new situation, China’s future cross-border mergers and acquisitions show the following trends:

  1. Since many countries view state-owned enterprises’ mergers and acquisitions as politically motivated commercial activities, more private enterprises are engaging in cross-border mergers and acquisitions.
  2. China’s demand for energy resources is growing rapidly. Of 45 types of bulk minerals that China needs for its development, by 2020, China will achieve self-sufficiency with only 6 of these types. China’s thirst for resources will drive China’s enterprises to get involved in cross-border mergers and acquisitions in more and more diverse industries (finance, IT, and tertiary industries) on a global scale, with the focus on oil, gas, mining, and chemical industries.
  3. In order to be effective in avoiding the high risks of the cross-border mergers and acquisitions, China has used and will continue to use the world’s leading professional intermediaries and foreign lawyers to provide consulting services throughout all of the acquisition processes.
  4. To merge and acquire advanced technology enterprises in developed countries is a shortcut to using legal means to obtain core technology from foreign countries. Therefore, China’s cross-border mergers and acquisitions will be mainly technology-oriented.
  5. To reduce acquisition costs, China will take full advantage of local capital in the foreign markets through the acquisition of listed companies for financing and will directly or indirectly attract investments in foreign capital markets.
  6. China will send its management teams to the merged companies overseas and will conduct post-merger cultural integration for the purpose of taking corporate control while maximizing the value of the acquired companies.  

Source: China Review News, October 13, 2013
http://www.zhgpl.com/doc/1027/9/3/7/102793724.html?coluid=53&kindid=0&docid=102793724&mdate=1013071942  

Global Times: Volume of Trade in Chinese Currency Is Growing Rapidly

Global Times recently reported that new trading participants pushed the RMB trade volume much higher in London. This significantly strengthened London’s position as one of the primary RMB offshore trading centers. Based on SWIFT data, London’s trading volume now represents 62 percent of the entire RMB trading activities outside Mainland China and Hong Kong. London won the market share mainly from Singapore and from the U.S., Switzerland and France. The daily RMB trade volume has reached US$5 billion, which is double last year’s number. HSBC currency strategist Wang Ju suggested that many central banks, private banks, hedge funds, and companies are showing a strong interest in the RMB. Data from the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) also demonstrated a rapid growth in RMB trading, which is quickly catching up to the volume of the Canadian dollar and the Swiss Franc.
Source: Global Times, October 10, 2013
http://finance.huanqiu.com/china/2013-10/4426449.html

China News: A U.S. Default Could be Worse than the Fall of Lehman Brothers

China News recently reported from New York that the United States has moved steps closer to a new “Fiscal Cliff.” The on-going two-party fight on the debt ceiling issue has pushed the world’s largest economy toward the edge of default. Many countries have issued warnings that the situation could, potentially, be worse than that of the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy in 2008, which triggered a global downturn. China and Japan are the two primary overseas creditors, holding US$2.4 trillion in U.S. government bonds. On numerous recent occasions, their government officials called for an immediate resolution of the debt crisis. Economists have predicted that, following a U.S. default, credit ratings will be lower, interest rates will be higher, the U.S. dollar will depreciate, bankruptcies will occur in the banking industry, and the stock market will go into free fall. The Chicago Volatility Index for futures has gone up by 22 percent since October 1 and the International Monetary Fund also warned of “serious damage” to the world economy.
Source: China News, October 10, 2013
http://www.chinanews.com/gj/2013/10-10/5357213.shtml