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Beijing Youth Daily: Business Entities’ Savings Grew While Personal Saving Declined

Xinhua carried an article that Beijing Youth Daily had originally published. The article said that People’s Bank published financial statistics showing that, by the end of June, the total national savings in China had reached 1.009 quadrillion yuan (US$160 trillion). This was the first time it broke the 1 quadrillion mark. In the first half of 2013, total savings grew 9,090 trillion (US$1,480 trillion), up 1,710 trillion (US$278 trillion) compared to 2012. Specifically, personal saving grew 4,139 trillion (US$674 trillion) and savings for the non-financial entities grew 2,320 trillion (US$378 trillion). The article disclosed that growth in government and business entities has propelled the growth in national savings; whereas personal savings, as a percentage of the national savings, has been declining over the past ten years. The article stated, “It is an indication that the public funding allocated to education and health areas are far less than desired thereby pushing the general public to find ways to come up with "preventive savings" themselves.

As to the reason for the growth in personal savings, the article pointed out that, first, people are reluctant to spend money because many still receive a low income; second, the government provides insufficient funding for the education, medical, and housing areas, which forces residents to have their own “preventive savings.”

The article called the imbalance of the saving ratio a key issue to be addressed in income distribution reform.

Source: Xinhua, July 21, 2013
http://news.xinhuanet.com/fortune/2013-07/21/c_116622492.htm

Xinhua: GSK Is not Alone

On July 14, 2013, Xinhua published an article commenting on the Chinese bribery investigation into the British  pharmaceutical company, GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), stating that GSK is just one of many foreign firms that have been involved in bribery in China. “In recent years, multinational companies have caused China to become one of the hardest hit in the commission of bribery.”

According to Xinhua, in December 2012, Eli Lilly settled for $30 million when the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission charged it with bribing foreign government officials to expand its market in Russia, Brazil, China, and Poland. In August 2012, Pfizer paid $60 million in fines for offering bribes to government medical staff in eight countries including China. Toward the end of 2008, Siemens was fined $1.3 billion for its corrupt practices involving five Chinese government-owned hospitals. It had paid tens of millions of dollars in bribes to physicians and lab personnel, ultimately resulting in huge orders for medical equipment.

“From the 1990s to the present, well-known multinational companies, including Morgan Stanley, IBM, Lucent, Wal-Mart, Diagnostic Products Corporation, Avery Dennison, and many others have been charged with bribery in China.” 
Source: Xinhua, July 14, 2013 
http://news.xinhuanet.com/politics/2013-07/14/c_125005890.htm

The potential Risks China’s Financial System Faces

On July 17, 2013, 21cbh.com, a professional financial news website under the 21st Century Media Group in Mainland China, published an article titled, “The Potential Risks that China’s Financial System Faces.” According to the article, China’s financial system faces three potential risks: 1) the real estate market (real estate bubble); 2) local governments’ financing used for investments in land and real estate (the accumulated debt has reached over 12 trillion Chinese yuan); and 3) shadow banking.

Source:  21cbh.com, July 17, 2013
http://epaper.21cbh.com/html/2013-07/15/content_70897.htm?div=-1

China’s State Council Councilor Says China’s Economy Is in Crisis

During the 2nd weekend of July 2013, Xia Bin, a councilor of China’s State Council, delivered a keynote speech at the 2013 APEC CEO China Forum. According to Xia, a financial crisis already exists in China right now. Xia told the audience, "We need to find ways to let the bubble burst and write off the losses we already have as soon as possible to avoid an even bigger crisis. … The deep adjustment means that economic growth will slow as expenses are paid; it will mean hard days; it will mean bankruptcy for some companies and financial institutions; and it will mean reform."

Source:  Beijing Times & MNI News, July 14, 15, 2013
http://epaper.jinghua.cn/html/2013-07/15/content_8994.htm
https://mninews.marketnews.com/content/china-govt-advisor-says-economy-crisis-debt-costs-spiral

Xinhua: Uncertainty about the Chinese Economy Lowers Confidence

Xinhua recently reported on some research that the firm Grant Thornton, an international organization of independent audit, tax, and advisory firms, had done on the business indicators of a number of Chinese companies. The study titled, International Business Report (IBR), revealed that 40 percent of the surveyed Chinese companies found the uncertainty that the economy faced was having a major impact on the growth of their businesses. The research results also showed that four percent of the companies felt optimistic about the future. This number had dropped 21 percent from the first quarter to the second quarter of this year. The study indicated that expectations of company sales, product prices, export volume, hiring plans, and profits had all dropped from the first quarter. Especially for the indicators of exports, employment, and profitability, the companies’ level of confidence dropped to a two-year low. Investments in research and development declined by 14 percent in the past 12 months; most of the companies were increasing their cash reserves. Grant Thornton concluded that there is no clear sign of an economic recovery for the Chinese market. The same report for the U.S. market showed a dramatic increase of 24 percent in the confidence level.

Source: Xinhua, July 11, 2013
http://news.xinhuanet.com/fortune/2013-07/11/c_116499670.htm

Drop in China’s Foreign Trade Exacerbates Fears of Economic Slowdown

On Wednesday, July 10, the General Administration of Customs (GAC) released data showing that, in June, the total value of China’s imports and exports was two trillion yuan (US$0.3 trillion), down two percent from the same month last year. The decline in exports was as high as 3.1 percent. The data was beyond analysts’ expectations. Many expected China’s exports to grow at about four percent in June. Meanwhile the imports in June also fell by a lesser amount of 0.7 percent, indicating a weakness in China’s domestic demand.

Zheng Yuesheng, an official at GAC, worries about the severe challenges that China’s foreign trade faces. He predicted more difficulties in the second half. Zheng suggested that China needs to adjust the structure of its foreign trade to protect its products in the global market.

Source: BBC Chinese, July 10, 2013
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/china/2013/07/130710_china_export.shtml

Scholar: Challenges to China’s Economic and Social Transformation

On July 8, 2013, Chi Fulin, President of the China Institute for Reform and Development in Hainan Province wrote a commentary for China Business News entitled, “The Challenges and Trends in China’s Economic and Social Transformation.”

Chi stated that it was his understanding that the new Chinese government has established the goal of doubling China’s per capita GDP and per capita income by 2020. “Currently, both the international environment and the China’s domestic economic and social transformation are right in the middle of complicated, profound changes. Three key elements will determine whether or not China can achieve this goal. The first is whether China can objectively handle the challenges it faces; second is whether China can seize the opportunities available to it; and third, the key is whether China is able to speed up transformation and reform.”

Chi identified three challenges to social transformation: (1) the gap between rich and poor is quite conspicuous; (2) the social structure is irrational. So far, according to the National Bureau of Statistics, China’s middle-income groups account for about 23 percent [of the population]; and (3) as a result, social conflicts and social risks continue to increase.”

Source: China Business News reprinted by Finance (Jingrongjie), July 8, 2013
http://opinion.jrj.com.cn/2013/07/08072415493871.shtml 

HSBC Chinese June PMI Number Released

China News recently reported that, on July 1, HSBC released the June PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) number for the Chinese manufacturing industry. The June number was 48.2, which is lower than the previous month’s 49.2. This latest PMI number marked a nine month low and indicates that the Chinese manufacturing sector is still on a decline. The new low is directly related to the widespread decrease in customer demand. Both new orders and new exports are shrinking in volume, representing the largest slide since last September. The level of the labor workload in manufacturing companies is declining as well. This is the heaviest decrease since last August. The manufacturing sector inventory level has also dropped for the fifth month. Meanwhile investments and prices are all falling. Qu Hongbin, HSBC Chief Economist for the China Region, commented that the HSBC PMI number demonstrated that the Chinese manufacturing sector is showing signs of shouldering heavy pressure on the demand side while small and medium sized companies are seeing a deterioration of financing conditions. PMI is an indicator of financial activity reflecting purchasing managers’ acquisition of goods and services. A PMI number below 50 typically reflects a decline.
Source: China News, July 2, 2013
http://finance.chinanews.com/cj/2013/07-02/4993914.shtml