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Radio Free Asia: Half of World’s Black Dollars Are from China; Capital Flight Is Accelerating

Radio Free Asia quoted a report from the German newspaper Süddeutsche Zeitung, which said that, in the past 10 years, through different means and various channels, the illegal funds fleeing from China reached a staggering US$3 trillion. Out of every two "black dollars" in the world, one is from China. It was estimated that, after the 18th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, when the authorities considered implementing the exposure of the personal assets of government officials, the capital flight accelerated to US$41.2 billion in November alone. Süddeutsche Zeitung reported that the second largest group responsible for the flight of capital was government officials.
Li Xinde, who runs a website that monitors Chinese public opinion, believed that the cause of the problem was the current policies and laws that involve anti-corruption, exposure of personal assets, and supervision of power.
A Beijing economist Zhong Dajun attributed the rampant capital flight to the current social political system, where a person can become rich quickly but develop a strong sense of insecurity after becoming rich. A 2011 report from China’s central bank revealed eight major means that corrupt officials use to transfer their property: cash smuggling, remittance fraud, current account fraud, overseas investment, credit card spending, creating an offshore financial center, foreign direct receipt, and transfer through offshore special relationships.
Although China has strict foreign exchange regulations, more and more rich people continue to transfer their money overseas. Hexun, a Chinese financial news portal, reported that China’s capital flight using even the most simple and primitive methodhiding bundles of cash in ones luggagehas accelerated.
Source: Radio Free Asia, January 10, 2013
http://www.rfa.org/mandarin/yataibaodao/xl2-01102013123334.html

Xinhua: Quick Risk Management Required after U.S. QE4

Xinhua recently published an article about the new QE4 policy that the U.S. Federal Reserve announced on December 13. The article called for early risk management reactions to remedy the damage. The U.S. Fed’s QE3 and QE4 operations will inject a combined $85 billion in monthly currency. The article expressed the belief that the U.S. move was much faster than the international community expected. The Fed announced its QE3 plan only three months ago. Since China has the world’s largest foreign exchange reserve, mostly in U.S. Dollars, the QE4 execution will have the heaviest impact on China. It can also cause rapid appreciation of the Chinese currency. The immediate result will be a slowdown in Chinese exports. The article suggested that China should take similar actions to increase the supply of the Chinese currency so that the appreciation expectation can be stopped. The author called the U.S. “selfish” and concluded that the Fed is introducing an unnecessary “depreciation war.”
Source: Xinhua, December 14, 2012
http://news.xinhuanet.com/comments/2012-12/14/c_114022883.htm

November Year to Date Profit for State Owned Enterprises Down 7 Percent

According to data released by the Ministry of Finance on December 14, 2012, November year to date profit for State Owned Enterprises was 1.94 trillion yuan (US$310 billion), down seven percent compared to the same period last year.

The revenue for November year to date was 37.94 trillion yuan (USD$6.08 trillion), up 10.9 percent from the same period in 2011 and 11.8 percent from October. The industries that showed the largest increase in profit included electric power, tobacco, electronics, light industry, and the auto industry. The industries that showed the sharpest decrease in profits include the chemical industry, nonferrous metals, transportation, construction material, and mechanical areas.

Source: Xinhua, December 15, 2012
http://news.xinhuanet.com/fortune/2012-12/15/c_114034861.htm

China Holds Central Economic Work Conference

China will hold a Central Economic Work Conference on December 15 and 16, 2012, to determine the direction for its economic policies in the upcoming year.

Many policy experts believe that the target for economic growth will remain at 7.5 percent with a focus on maintaining stability while improving quality and productivity. It is expected that the urbanization of rural areas will drive economic growth in the mid to long term. There will also be personnel shifts at the upper management level in the Central Bank, the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Commerce, and the National Development and Reform Commission, as well as in some entities dealing with financial regulation.

Source: Huanqiu, December 13, 2012
http://china.huanqiu.com/politics/2012-12/3374586.html

China Review News: Low-Cost and High Return Will Gradually Disappear in China

On December 9, 2012, China Review News published an article discussing the transformation of China’s economy over the next decade. Over the next ten years, China will gradually lose the advantage it has of a high rate of return on capital because of low-cost. According to the article, China’s huge consumption potential can gain new impetus for China’s economy. However, the transformation of the direction of China’s economy should focus more on key technology development, technology upgrades, and product upgrades.

Source: China Review News, December 9, 2012
http://www.zhgpl.com/doc/1023/3/5/6/102335601.html?coluid=53&kindid=0&docid=102335601&mdate=1209080504

Government Policy Results in Blind Development of Wind and Photovoltaic Power Industry Sectors

On December 9, 2012, China Review News published an article analyzing why the development of the wind power and photovoltaic industry sectors in China are slowing down.

According to the article, the government’s “one size fits all” policy is one of the most direct causes of the excessive and blind development of these two sectors. Any enterprise that invests in these two sectors can obtain very generous government funding support and policy support. Attracted by such direct benefits, investors have completely ignored the risks and any possible vicious competition.

Source: China Review News, December 9, 2012
http://www.zhgpl.com/doc/1023/3/5/6/102335616.html?coluid=53&kindid=0&docid=102335616&mdate=1209081902

People’s Daily: Government Taxes and Fees Take Seventy Percent of the Cost of Housing

People’s Daily recently published a report on the result of research on the cost of housing. International Finance News, which is owned by People’s Daily, conducted the research, which delved into the full cost chain of the housing market from establishing the construction project to the final delivery to the ultimate buyer. The research showed that the entire process involves seven categories of government taxes and fees. These break down into thirty seven accounting cost items. The total cost of these government taxes and fees amounts to seventy percent of the price of the property. Different provinces may have some differences in those fees. In Beijing, the housing development process involves over twenty government agencies. In Guangzhou, this number is over thirty. Experts suggested that the real number would be higher than seventy percent if one considered upstream and downstream costs outside the scope of the construction project. 
Source: People’s Daily, December 8, 2012
http://finance.people.com.cn/n/2012/1208/c1004-19832473.html

National Bureau of Statistics: November CPI up 2 Percent Compared to the Same Period Last Year

According to statistics reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the November CPI was up 2 percent when compared to the same period last year. The CPI grew 2.1 percent among urban residents and 1.9 percent in the countryside. The report said that the price of food went up 3 percent while the price of non-food items went up 1.6 percent. The price for consumables was up by 1.9 percent and the service sector was up 2.3 percent.

Compared to October, the November CPI was 0.1 percent higher. The CPI in urban areas went up by 0.1 percent, while the countryside went up by 0.2 percent; the price of food was up by 0.4 percent and non-food prices were flat. The price of consumables was up by 0.3 percent while the prices in the service sector were down by 0.3 percent.

Source: Xinhua, December 9, 2012
http://news.xinhuanet.com/fortune/2012-12/09/c_124068137.htm