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Geo-Strategic Trend - 180. page

Study Times: CICA’s Geopolitical and Geo-economic Opportunities for China

Study Times published an article on the significance of the recent Conference on Interaction and Confidence Building Measures in Asia (CICA). The article mentioned several points.

"In 2013, China’s contribution to the world’s economic growth came close to 30 percent. Its trade with neighboring countries reached US$1.3 trillion, more than the total of the Sino-EU and the Sino-U.S. trade. For example, Sino-Russian trade amounted to nearly US$90 billion. China has become the largest trading partner for and an important investor in most CICA member states."

"China’s desire to ‘go out’ has become increasingly stronger. In recent years it has also needed to seek more international cooperation in areas such as energy and security. As Russia’s excessive dependence on energy and raw material has not fundamentally changed, and as international political factors constrain its own economic development, Russia is moving to strengthen economic and trade cooperation with China and other Asia-Pacific countries. On May 22, the US$400 billion gas deal between China and Russia highlighted the desire and sincerity for bilateral cooperation."

"Due to the impact of the South China Sea territorial disputes and the Diaoyu Islands issue, the U.S.’s military and political ‘return to Asia,’ the TPP (Trans-Pacific Partnership), the TTIP (Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership), and the PSA (Plurilateral Services Agreement) that have altered global trade patterns, China’s eastward ‘opening-up’ situation faces a serious challenge, with its strategic space being threatened. At the same time, Russia and Central Asian countries’ willingness to look toward the East and other Asian countries’ willingness to ‘hook’ up with China’s economic engine continue to grow. In addition, China has no territorial disputes with Russia or with Central Asian countries. The common strategic interests in the economy and security allow an easier consensus and a mutually beneficial cooperation. Therefore the ‘open-up to the West’ strategy is likely to stand side by side with the original ‘open-up to the East’ strategy."

"Geopolitical wise, there are two routes in the open-up to the west strategy. The first route, also known as the "Maritime Silk Road," is from inland China, via southwest border provinces and southern coastal province, then Southeast Asia and South Asia countries, to West Asia and even Africa. This route is essential to our energy security and expansion in emerging markets. Another route, or "Silk Road," starts from China’s economic hubs such as the Yangtze River Delta, Beijing, Tianjin and the Hebei area, via the vast central and western regions, and via the Central Asian countries to Russia. If the international political circumstances permit, the route can extend to EU countries, forming a "Silk Road" economic corridor across Europe and Asia. Among them, Russia and Central Asian countries are energy and resource powers; China is the world’s second largest economy, the country with the largest foreign exchange reserves and the largest country in trade in goods; the EU is the world’s traditional economic and technological center. Along this route, these countries have common interests and mutual needs. The EU has so far failed to get rid of its debt crisis amid its weak recovery. EU countries are obviously willing to seek cooperation from China in the East, while they also have a considerable degree of reliance on Russian energy and resources."

Source: Study Times, June 2, 2014
http://www.studytimes.cn/shtml/xxsb/20140602/5128.shtml

Fu Ying: Provocative Neighbors Caused the Recent Troubles at Sea

People’s Daily recently reported that Fu Ying, the Chairperson of the National People’s Congress Foreign Affairs Committee, appeared on a TV program where she commented on a number of regional issues. Fu suggested that all issues in the seas around China were caused by the provocative behavior demonstrated by China’s neighboring countries. She especially mentioned that Japan faces the question of whether it will continue on the path of being a peaceful nation or not. Fu suggested that China will not give up on peaceful resolutions. However, “strong responses” are necessary when facing challenges. This position is also needed to maintain the peaceful and stable order in the entire region. She said the position the United States takes on these regional issues will ultimately dictate how the Chinese people view the U.S. and its allies. 
Source: People’s Daily, May 30, 2014
http://world.people.com.cn/n/2014/0531/c1002-25088543.html

Study Times Article on Sino-African Relations

Study Times, a weekly newspaper under the Party School of the Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party, published an article discussing China’s policies in Africa. The following excerpts contain a few recommendations mentioned in the article.
“What also needs to be incorporated into China’s Africa policies is the enhancement of the voices and the representation of the African countries in international organizations so they can play their roles in the international community. For example, China should make its position clear in supporting African countries to join the permanent members of the United Nations and to be represented in the IMF and the World Bank. This is not only a crucial means of balancing the global power structure, but an important manifestation of China’s responsibility to Africa.”
“China has a clear roadmap for Sino-Africa relations. The development of the relationships needs not only a long-term and systematic overall planning and strategic design, but also specific policy measures. The new government has laid out detailed initiatives in this regard. China will continue to expand its investment and financing cooperation with Africa, fulfilling the promise of providing a US$20 billion line of credit to Africa within three years (now increased to US$30 billion), and implementing the ‘partnership with Africa on transnational and trans-regional infrastructure development.’ China will actively implement the ‘African Talent Program’ to train 30,000 professionals from African countries within three years and offer 18,000 government scholarships for African students in China. Through investment, financing, and cooperation, China will encourage Chinese enterprises and financial institutions to be involved in cross-border and trans-regional infrastructure construction and operation management in Africa. China has promised zero tariffs for ninety-seven percent of imports from Least Developed Countries that have established diplomatic relations with China. These measures will be in place by 2015. These concrete initiatives have provided notably favorable conditions for Africa’s infrastructure construction, personnel training, capital accumulation, and trade with China, contributing to closer Sino-Africa relations.”
Source: Study Times, May 26, 2014
http://www.studytimes.cn/shtml/xxsb/20140526/5072.shtml

Xi Jinping: Pushing China-Iran Friendly Cooperation Forward

The Chinese Central Government Official Site (gov.cn) recently reported that Chinese President Xi Jinping met with Iranian President Rohani in Shanghai on May 22. At the meeting, both Presidents agreed to work closely together to push forward broader cooperation in a number of areas. Xi Jinping emphasized that China is willing to make continued contributions towards a comprehensive and proper resolution of the Iranian nuclear issue. Both sides expected an expansion of cooperation in trade, energy, and transportation infrastructure areas, as well as in anti-terrorism and anti-extremist activities. Xi expressed China’s respect for Iran’s right to the peaceful usage of nuclear energy. He also offered to play a “constructive role” in the peaceful negotiation process. President Rohani expressed his appreciation and welcomed China’s continued positive help.
Source: Chinese Central Government Official Site, May 22, 2014
http://www.gov.cn/xinwen/2014-05/22/content_2684906.htm

China and Russia Speed up Settlements Using RMB and Ruble Directly

Well-known Chinese news site Netease recently reported that China and Russia signed a series of agreements in the financial area during the presidential summit on May 20 and 21. One of the agreements allows the rapid expansion of direct use of the currencies of the two countries for financial settlements. Today, China-Russia trade settlements are largely done in U.S. Dollars. Similar experiments started in 2008 on a very small scale in some areas on both sides of the China-Russia border. The two nations have decided to expand the use of their native currencies significantly instead of using the U.S. Dollar, especially after the Ukraine incident. The recent China-Russia announcement delivered at the Summit set a goal of a total trade volume of US$100 billion in 2015, and US$200 billion before 2020. However, the new agreement still faces challenges. For example the Chinese RMB is still not a freely exchangeable currency, while the Russian Ruble does not have a stable valuation in the global market. More improvements on both sides will be required.
Source: Netease, May 22, 2014
http://money.163.com/14/0522/02/9SQKCS2F00253B0H.html

People’s Daily: President Xi and President Putin to Meet for Seventh Time in a Year

People’s Daily recently announced that, per the invitation from Chinese President Xi Jinping, Russian President Vladimir Putin will visit China on May 20. This will be the seventh time these two presidents have met since last March. During the visit, the Chinese Navy and the Russian Navy will conduct a joint exercise. Due to the situation in Ukraine, China and Russia will speed up the negotiations on energy deals, while “trade cooperation” will be a primary highlight of the event. It is widely expected that a Russian natural gas supply contract will be signed during Putin’s visit as well as more investment and military deals, although some of them are still being negotiated out of the public’s view. The report expressed the belief that China-Russia cooperation is “deepening.” 
Source: People’s Daily, May 16, 2014
http://world.people.com.cn/n/2014/0516/c1002-25025902.html

Confucius Institute Inaugurated Its Latin American Center in Chile

The Confucius Institute, the government-backed Chinese language teaching program, hit another milestone in its overseas expansion. On May 12, it held an opening ceremony in Santiago, Chile, for the Regional Center of the Confucius Institutes for Latin America. Xu Lin, the Chief Executive of the Confucius Institute Headquarters and the Director-General of Hanban, the Chinese National Office for Teaching Chinese as a Foreign Language, inaugurated the center together with former Chilean President Eduardo Frei Ruiz-Tagle.
Xu Lin said that the establishment of the Regional Center in Latin America marks the regular cooperation and exchange mechanism and a new service platform for all Confucius Institutes and Confucius Classrooms in the region. It will contribute greatly to promoting the development of the Confucius Institutes in Latin America. Xu Lin also said that, over the years, China and Latin American countries have always maintained s good cooperative relationship in the fields of politics, the economy, culture, and education. Currently, 14 countries in Latin America have a total of 31 Confucius Institutes and 10 Confucius Classrooms. The Latin American Center, the second regional center overseas after the U.S. Center, aims to coordinate the work of the entire Latin American region and strengthen exchanges and cooperation between all Confucius Institutes in the area.
Former Chilean President Eduardo Frei Ruiz-Tagle pointed out in his speech that the inauguration of the Latin American Center is the result of good bilateral political, economic, and cultural relations. The two governments should further strengthen exchanges and cooperation in the field of culture and strive to see that language is no longer a barrier of communication between the two peoples.
Source: Xinhua, May 13, 2014
http://news.xinhuanet.com/2014-05/13/c_1110665413.htm

China Review News: Xi Jinping’s International Strategy

China Review News published a commentary on Xi Jinping’s international strategy for China. A few points it mentioned follow:

1. China wants a peaceful development path; it also needs other countries to take the peaceful approach. If some country takes China’s restraint and patience as a sign of weakness, and takes advantage of China’s suggestion of solving conflicts via political dialog and the diplomatic approach, it will pay dearly for it. “China is not afraid of conflict, nor does it want conflict. One should not separate peaceful development from safeguarding our national interest. China’s core national interest is not allowed to be attacked or harmed.”

2. China is working on the following international relationships:

– Establishing a new type of relationships with major countries. For the U.S., take the approach of no-confrontation, mutual respect, and cooperation for a win-win situation. For Russia, treat each other as the largest and most important strategic partner. For the Europe Union, focus on the trend of change there and the on development opportunities. For India, take the advantage of the rapid development trend in both countries and engage in cooperation and joint-development.

– Advance the diplomatic relationship with neighboring countries. In the next five to ten years, create win-win situations, push for regional security cooperation, and establish a public opinion base for a sense of community.

– Set up the right view of righteousness and interest in order to strengthen and develop the cooperation with developing countries. For those countries that have been a long-term friend of China but are having a hard time with their own development, China should give greater consideration to their interests.

– Be more active in international affairs.

Source: China Review News, May 7, 2014
http://hk.crntt.com/doc/1031/7/0/1/103170107.html?coluid=151&kindid=11513&docid=103170107&mdate=0507000519