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China’s Defense Budget Increased to a 3-year High

At China’s 13th National People’s Congress (NPC) meeting on March 5, the central and local government budgets were publicized. According to the report, the official budget for national defense for 2022 is 1.45 trillion yuan (US$229.5 billion), an annual increase of 7.1 percent. The official national defense spending for 2021 is $1.36 trillion (US$215.2 billion).

This year’s 7.1 percent growth is the highest since 2019, when the country’s spending grew at 7.5 percent. The increase in 2021 and 2020 were 6.8 percent and 6.6 percent respectively.

The increase in China’s military spending this year is higher than the official target of 5.5 percent in economic growth. In recent years, the targeted economic growth rates have been reduced year by year while the military spending has been rising at an increasing rate.

Source: Central News Agency (Taiwan), March 5, 2022
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/202203050227.aspx

Optimism of U.S. Companies in China is Declining

The American Chamber of Commerce in China (AmCham China) recently published its 24th annual edition of the China Business Climate Survey (BCS) Report.

According to the 2022 BCS Report, In 2021, US companies in China reported a declining level of optimism due to multiple challenges. These included sustained air travel disruptions, an increasingly uncertain regulatory environment, difficulty attracting and retaining talent, and the strained US-China relationship.

US companies operating in China faced mounting pressure and risks  on politically sensitive issues as well. One example is navigating US-China bilateral tensions, which remains a top challenge and concern for companies. 42 percent of companies have been facing mounting pressure to speak out and make (or not make) statements on politically sensitive issues. This has often caused them problems in both the U.S. and Chinese markets.

More than twice as many companies feel “much less welcome” in China compared to last year. One-third of respondents report that foreign companies are treated unfairly versus domestic competitors.

Most believe labor costs will increase in 2022, in line with fears that labor costs and wages are a growing HR challenge.

47 percent of the over 300 respondents report they are confident or very confident that the Chinese market will open up more to foreign investment over the next three years. This figure is down 14 percentage points from last year.

Optimism is down across almost all aspects of business operations in China and pessimism up more than 10 percentage points with regard to the regulatory environment and economic growth. 37 percent of members see China’s investment environment improving, a 13 percentage point decrease from last year and the lowest in four years. Concerns about an uncertain Chinese policy environment is the most-cited reason for declining investment.

Source: AmCham China, March 2022.
https://www.amchamchina.org/2022-china-business-climate-survey-report/

Canadian Embassy: “Support Ukraine” Spray-painted on its Light-box

On March 1, the Canadian Embassy in Beijing flew the Ukrainian flag and displayed the wording, “We support Ukraine” and “We are with Ukraine” on the light box on its outer wall. On its official Weibo account, the Chinese counterpart of Twitter, the Embassy posted an article titled, “Today, in Beijing, we raise the Ukrainian flag to express our solidarity with the people of Ukraine.” However, Chinese netizens flooded the comment section of the article with criticism.

On March 2, the light box signboard with “We support Ukraine” written on it was found spray-painted in red with the wording “Fxxx NATO,” which seems to be a way to express dissatisfaction with the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the Canadian Embassy’s solidarity with Ukraine. The spray-painted area was later covered up, but the light box signage saying, “Support Ukraine” has not been removed.

Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the mainstream opinion in China is mostly in favor of Russia and against Ukraine, although there have also been some people who expressed their position in support of Ukraine and against Russian aggression.

Source: Central News Agency (Taiwan), March 3, 2022
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/202203030249.aspx

LTN: Poland Plans to Double its Army to “Become NATO’s Strongest”

Major Taiwanese news network Liberty Times Network (LTN) recently reported that Ukraine has suffered from Russian aggression, making countries adjacent to Russia quite nervous. NATO member Poland has announced that it is necessary to update next year’s military expenses and expand its military scale to strengthen its defense ability. The Polish Army will expand from 143,500 soldiers to 300,000. The Polish government said it plans to focus on the defensive ability of its capital, Warsaw. The military expenses for next year were increased from the 2.5 percent of GDP proposed in October last year, to 3 percent, and may increase more if necessary. Polish Defense Minister Mariusz Blaszczak pointed out that this will be a framework to have one of NATO’s strongest armies. He also said, “The evil empire is trying to be reborn (and come) through our eastern frontier.” Poland intends to raise funds from the bonds or interest of the Central Bank of Poland and other banks. Since the E.U. stipulates that the budget overspending cannot exceed 3 percent, Poland is negotiating with the EU not to include military spending in the budget deficit.

Source: LTN, March 5, 2022
https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/breakingnews/3849139

Global Times: The Ukraine War Brings Damage to Trade between Indian and Russia

Global Times recently reported that, according to Indian media, the Indian government may soon resort to swapping rupees for trade with Russian rubles, bypassing Western sanctions to avoid disruptions to India-Russia trade. Since the end of 2021, Russian and Indian defense export payments have been made in rubles and rupees, abandoning the use of U.S. dollars. To ensure Russia maintains fertilizer supplies to India amid sanctions, the Indian government and banking sources revealed there is a plan for Russian banks and companies to open Indian rupee accounts in some state-owned banks for trade settlement as part of the barter system. Russian economic experts pointed out that Russia is still evading sanctions through some friendly neighbors. Russia’s trade and capital flows will turn east again. Global Times also reported that, as one of the world’s leading arms exporters, the new round of U.S. sanctions may hugely impact Russian military enterprises on their export of weapons systems. India may have to swallow the “bitter fruit” produced by the U.S. and the West’s sanctions against Russia. Russia has been India’s largest arms supplier since the 1970s. Although the United States has been courting India in recent years to provide India with American-style equipment, more than 60 percent of India’s weapons and equipment comes from Russia and India’s authorized defense industry production chain basically comes from Russia. Senior Indian government officials said that the Indian army currently has sufficient reserves of Russian-made ammunitions and weapons’ spare parts. However, India’s orders for weapons worth about US$8 billion from Russia will face uncertainty. Since Russia was kicked out of the SWIFT system by the United States and the West, payments for arms transactions between the two countries will be seriously affected. In addition, the weapons projects jointly developed and produced by India and Russia may also be hit hard.

Source: Global Times, March 4, 2022
https://finance.huanqiu.com/article/473CosONcMc
https://mil.huanqiu.com/article/4730vkchnhV

HK01: French Museum Suspends Cooperation with Chinese Art Institutions

Hong Kong’s popular new online media, HK01 Network,  recently reported that the Matisse Museum in northern France has announced the cancellation of its loan of 280 works to the UCCA (Center for Contemporary Art) in Beijing. The Museum cited “the geopolitical crisis triggered by Russia’s declaration of war on Ukraine” and “China’s Relations with Russia.” The exhibition was originally scheduled to open in Beijing on March 26 and was to move to the UCCA pavilion in Shanghai next. UCCA suspended the exhibitions until further notice as the loan program has been cancelled. The Henri Matisse exhibition, originally scheduled to open in Beijing on the 26th of this month, is the largest solo exhibition in China by the French painter. Henri Matisse (1869-1954), is known as one of the masters of modern art. Matisse, together with Picasso and Marcel Duchamp, brought great changes to the arts in the early 20th century. So far, China has not condemned Russia for invading Ukraine. China was one of the 35 countries abstaining in the UN General Assembly’s vote on condemning Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Western intelligence revealed that senior Chinese officials have asked senior Russian officials to delay its invasion of Ukraine until after the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing this year. However, the Chinese Foreign Ministry denied the allegations.

Source: HK01, March 4, 2022
https://bit.ly/3Kjs5wH

Duowei News: Chinese Netizens Show Support for Russia; China Will Continue Normal Trade with Russia

Recently, many Chinese netizens have chosen to shop at the “Russia National Pavilion,” the only e-commerce platform in China that is authorized by the Russian embassy. Many items such as snacks  and teas were sold out. The number of fans of the store is also skyrocketing.

On March 2, a thank-you video appeared on the homepage of the store. The commercial ambassador of the Russian Federation Chamber of Commerce in China said that, at this difficult time, he would like to thank his Chinese friends for their support to Russia and the Russian National Pavilion.  He said he will remember this deep friendship and, at the same time, call on his Chinese friends to consume rationally.

Regarding whether China would continue to carry on trade with Russia while Western countries sanctioned Russia one after another, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin said, on March 2, “China firmly opposes any illegal unilateral sanctions. Sanctions have never been the fundamental and effective way to solve a problem. It will only bring serious difficulties to the economy and to people’s livelihoods in the relevant countries, and further aggravate division and confrontation. China requires relevant parties not to damage the legitimate rights and interests of China and other parties when handling the Ukraine issue and relations with Russia. China and Russia will continue to carry out normal trade cooperation in the spirit of mutual respect, equality and mutual benefit.”

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying said, “The Chinese government’s position is that sanctions are never a fundamental and effective way to solve problems and China always opposes any illegal unilateral sanctions. According to the US Treasury Department’s own published data, in the past 20 years, the number of sanctions imposed by the United States has increased by 10 times.  . . . Since 2011, the United States has imposed sanctions on Russia more than 100 times but everyone can calmly think about it or discuss it. Have the U.S. sanctions solved the problem? Has the world changed for the better because of the U.S. sanctions? Will the Ukrainian problem be solved naturally because of the U.S. sanctions on Russia? Will the security of Europe be more secure because of the U.S. sanctions on Russia?”

Guo Shuqing, Chairman of the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, said at a news conference that as far as financial sanctions are concerned, China does not agree with the sanctions because it has a bad effect and has no legal basis. China will not participate in the sanctions.

Source: Duowei News, March 3, 2022
https://www.dwnews.com/中国/60280809/中国网友敏感时刻买爆俄罗斯国家馆商品?itm_source=universal_search&itm_campaign=universal_search&itm_content=买爆俄罗斯国家馆商品&itm_medium=web

 

China Has World’s Largest Robotics Market but it Has No Core Technology

China is the world’s largest production base and consumer market in the field of industrial robots, but it has almost no pricing rights. The reason is that its key technologies are in the hands of other countries.  

At the end of 2021, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China said that China has been the world’s largest consumer of industrial robots for the last eight consecutive years. The density of robots in manufacturing reached 246 per 10,000 people in 2020. That is nearly twice the global average.  

To carry out each motion a robot makes, it needs a core controller, a servo driver and a servo motor to work together. The core controller is the “brain” of the industrial robot, which directly affects the stability and accuracy of the machine.

The Chinese financial media, Chinese Business Strategies, said in a commentary article in February of this year that the biggest reason that China-made robots are inferior to those of other countries is the “algorithm gap” in the core controller system, which is not only reflected in the core controller, but also slows down the response speed of the servo system. 

Last June, a Chinese Academic Group, The Automation Committee, published an op-ed article, “A Panoramic Analysis of the Industrial Robot Industry Chain.” The article said that the high-end market is also mainly monopolized by international companies. Imported products account for more than 70 percent of China’s industrial robot servo market. A total of 85 percent of the precision reducers necessary for manufacturing industrial robots in China are also manufactured by foreign investors. These are mainly from Japan, Europe and the United States. Therefore, China has almost no pricing power in the field of industrial robots. 

China-made industrial robots are reluctantly used to produce those products with low precision requirements. High-end fields such as aerospace and the military industry have to rely on imported robots. The failure rate of Chinese-made robots is possibly several times higher than the failure rate of imported machines. Chinese companies would rather buy second-hand products from other countries at a high price than buy low-priced Chinese products.  

Source: Epoch Times, Feb. 27, 2022
https://www.epochtimes.com/gb/22/2/27/n13608785.htm