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Duowei News: Reflections on the Ukraine War: This Is a Period of Strategic Opportunity for China

Duowei News, a pro-Beijing Chinese News media stationed in North America, published an article stating that the Russia-Ukraine war is giving China another golden development opportunity. The following are excerpts  from the article.

“China’s rise can be attributed to a number of reasons, but there is one thing upon which everyone generally agrees. That is the fortune of the country. Take the  China-U.S. relationship as an example. At the beginning of the millennium, when George W. Bush took office, the U.S. had already vaguely felt the momentum of China’s rise. Bush gradually changed China’s position from a partner to a competitor. During his campaign, George W. Bush also made it clear that if there were a war in the Taiwan Strait, he would help defend Taiwan.”

“Given China’s level of technological and economic development at that time, if the United States had started to contain China with all its strength, encouraged Taiwan independence, forced China to attack Taiwan, and then intervened on a large scale to conduct political, diplomatic and economic blockades, it is not difficult to imagine what China would look like now.“

“However, the 9/11 incident suddenly occurred. All the focus of the U.S. military diplomacy turned to the war on terrorists. China also quickly showed its sympathy and support for the United States. As a result, during Bush’s tenure, Sino-U.S. relations not only did  not decline. The relationship entered one of the most stable and peaceful periods in history.”
“The Ukrainian war broke out and all the development plans (of containing China) that were planned according to the wishes of the United States were disrupted. Although the United States has gained a lot of military-industrial and economic benefits from this war, the Biden administration’s most important strategic appeal to win over Russia and unite Europe and other Western societies to contain and isolate China with all its strength can no longer be achieved.” “At least for the next 10 to 20 years, Russia’s economy will be in shambles, plunged into its worst isolation since World War II, further deepening its economic and diplomatic reliance on China.”

“At the same time, due to the military pressure from Russia, the United States has also begun to show goodwill toward China. Since the war, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has taken the initiative to call the Chinese Foreign Minister twice to discuss the Ukraine issue, hoping that China can play a constructive role during the war. In addition, on issues such as the economy;  trade, Taiwan, and others, the United States has also begun to make concessions and adjustments covertly but slowly.”

“Because the contradiction between China and the United States is structural, and associated with strong cultural, ideological and power conflict factors, it is impossible for China-U.S. relations to return to the past. However, at least for the next 5 to 10 years, there will be a period of a relatively easy time. This is a very rare opportunity for China’s development. During this period, China must focus its energy on development and seize this rare opportunity to develop and strengthen itself as soon as possible.”

“Of course, there is a premise here. That is, the Taiwan issue. The next 5 to 10 years will also be a window for China to solve the Taiwan issue. How China and the United States will deal with this issue will especially test the political wisdom of both sides. That is to not only resolve China’s core concerns of accomplishing national reunification, but also not to embarrass the United States. At the same time, it also depends on the fortune and wisdom of Tsai Ing-wen and the next Taiwan government (which is likely to continue to be the DPP). Maybe, what is happening in Ukraine today will be repeated in Taiwan tomorrow. The fight that Russia and the United States and Europe are going through will also be the fight that China and the United States and Japan will experience in the future.”

Source: Duowei News, March 6, 2022中国/60281141/乌克兰战争随思录这是送给中国的战略机遇期?itm_source=universal_search&itm_campaign=universal_search&itm_content=这是送给中国的战略机遇期&itm_medium= web