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Xinhua: China and Switzerland Sign MOU on Free Trade Agreement

Xinhua reported that China and Switzerland signed a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) on May 24. This concluded the FTA negotiations that started in 2010. The signing of the MOU is the last step before the final agreement is officially established. This action marked the top agenda item for China’s new Premier Li Keqiang’s visit to Switzerland. The China-Swiss FTA, after nine rounds of negotiations, will be the first FTA between China and a European country. It is also the first FTA China has with one of the World’s Top-Twenty Developed Countries. China is currently Switzerland’s largest trade partner in Asia and Switzerland is China’s seventh largest trade partner in Europe as well as its sixth largest source of foreign investments. 
Source: Xinhua, May 24, 2013
http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2013-05/25/c_115905331.htm

Xinhua: HSBC Chinese PMI Initial Value Broke the Redline

Xinhua recently reported that the HSBC PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) number for the Chinese manufacturing industry had an initial value of 49.6 for the month of May. The new number is the lowest in seven months. The breakdown numbers for new orders, new exports, and the employment index are all below fifty. Experts expressed the belief that these numbers indicated a decline in the manufacturing industry. The outlook for the second quarter is not optimistic. Low export levels seems to have had a direct impact on the overall decline of manufacturing activities. However the domestic demand side is weak as well. The central government investment in April was weakened and manufacturers faced inventory pressure. In addition to PMI numbers, the growth rate of the generated electrical energy in May also suffered a decline. PMI is an indicator of financial activity reflecting purchasing managers’ acquisition of goods and services. A PMI number below 50 typically reflects a decline.
Source: Xinhua, May 24, 2013
http://news.xinhuanet.com/fortune/2013-05/24/c_124756706.htm

Scholar: Relaxing Control of the Real State Sector Will Collapse the Economy

Yi Xianrong, a Research Fellow at the Institute of Finance and Banking under China’s Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), stated that once the control of real estate is relaxed, the Chinese economy will be dead. Yi made the remarks in response to reports that the central government may relax its control of the real state sector. “China’s housing market has been very high even under the tight controls. If the controls are relaxed, there is no doubt that the economy will be dead. Once the bubble bursts, the Chinese economy will not be salvageable whatsoever.”

Source: Sina.com, May 24, 2013

http://news.sina.com.hk/news/20130524/-9-2976740/1.html

The Conflict between Urban and Rural Regions Poses Huge Risks

Study Times published an article wiritten by Han Kang, Associate Dean of China’s National School of Administration, on the subject of the high risk involved in the urbanization process. Han stated in his article that one of the biggest risks in China’s urbanization is the conflict between the urban and rural regions.

During the seven years from 1996 to 2003, the land cultivated in China dropped from 1.95 billion mu to 1.85 billion mu, about a reduction of 5.124 percent. This was the sharpest drop since the open door reform. During the same period, the employment rate for the agricultural sector remained stable at 49 to 50 percent, with almost zero change.

According to Han, during the process of urbanization, many cities have been putting a lot of effort into developing high-end infrastructure, such as luxury high rises and high-end industrial sectors. The government’s encouragement has played a significant and effective role and has led to extreme high-end urban development without any necessary constraints. Han pointed out that a majority, not a minority, of governments are pursuing this end and are competing with each other in the pursuit of increased high-end urban development."

Source: Study Times reprinted by People’s Daily, May 21, 2013.
http://theory.people.com.cn/n/2013/0521/c49154-21554168-2.html

RFA: China’s Debt-to-GDP Ratio Is More Than 100%

On May 14, 2013, Radio Free Asia published an article on China’s Debt-to-GDP Ratio titled, “China’s Total Debt Is 107 Trillion; the Ratio of Debt-to-GDP Exceeds 100 Percent.” According to the agency CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets, China’s debt–to-GDP ratio will reach 245 percent by 2015. In 2012, China doubled its new debt ratio as compared to 2011. The debt-to-GDP ratio reached 110 percent in 2012 with new debt growth of 58 percent, 2.9 times more than the GDP growth.

According to Zhang Yaochang, General Manager of the CLSA Hong Kong Policy Research Department, “In fact, it requires a large amount of debt to support GDP growth. China is now addicted to borrowing. If debt levels keep growing at this rate, it will not be sustainable.”

Source: Radio Free Asia, May 14, 2013
http://www.rfa.org/mandarin/yataibaodao/jingmao/nu-05142013145422.html?searchterm=%E4%B8%AD%E5%9B%BD%E5%80%BA%E5%8A%A1%E6%80%BB%E8%A7%84%E6%A8%A1107%E4%B8%87%E4%BA%BF+%E4%B8%8EGDP%E6%AF%94%E5%B7%B2%E8%BE%BE100%25%E4%BB%A5%E4%B8%8A

Energy Audit Found Mishandling of Project Funding Totalling 270 Million Yuan

On May 17, the State Audit Office published the results of an audit conducted from May to September 2012 on 1,139 energy projects. The projects, launched in 2010 and 2011, had the purpose of reducing energy consumption. The audit results showed that, out of the 1,139 projects, 44 projects, involving expenditures of 1.587 billion yuan (US$258 million), did not reach their goal of reducing energy consumption. The study also found that 270 million yuan (US$44 million) of project funding had been mishandled.

Source: Xinhua, May 17, 2013
http://news.xinhuanet.com/politics/2013-05/17/c_115811024.htm

Large State-owned Enterprises Continue to receive Government Subsidies

According to Shanghai Securities News, from 2008 to 2012, State-owned Enterprises (SOEs) that are directly under the central authorities paid the central government dividends totaling 358.9 billion yuan. Of the dividends paid, 330.9 billion yuan were remitted back to these SOEs. During the same period, those large SOEs that are publicly listed and under the control of State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council received government subsidies in the amount of 173.6 billion yuan. That amount was equal to more than double the total profits of those small to medium high tech companies listed in the second market.

For the past several years, the ratio of debt to total assets showed that creditors financed 80 percent of the assets of the top five power companies. In 2012, part of the dividends that the five companies paid was returned to the companies’ capital accounts.

Source: Shanghai Securities News reprinted by Xinhua, May 13, 2013
http://www.js.xinhuanet.com/2013-05/13/c_115739881.htm

China to Build its Largest Hydroelectric Dam

China’s Ministry of Environmental Protection (MEP) has given the go-ahead for the construction of what will become the country’s tallest hydroelectric dam despite acknowledging that it will have an impact on plants and rare fish. The move met with criticism from experts due to the potential damage to the environment.

The Shuangjiangkou hydro-power dam will be on the Dadu River in southwestern Sichuan Province. It will be 314 meters (1,030 feet) high. A subsidiary of the State power firm, China Guodian Corporation, will build it over a 10 year period. The cost has been estimated to be 24.68 billion yuan ($4.02 billion) in investment.

The MEP said an environmental impact assessment had acknowledged that the project would have a negative impact on rare fish and flora and affect protected local nature reserves. The project still requires the formal approval of the State Council.

Experts argued that the dam would alter the patterns of discharge and the degradation of pollutants and be followed by changes in water quality. The construction may generate geological instability, there may be a major safety threat during the construction, and it may bring disastrous consequences in the operation phase. Considering the ethnic composition of the local minority population, their cultural practices, and their living habits, their cultural heritage would be lost and resettlement would be very difficult. Further, due to the changes in the aquatic ecological environment, local rare fish would not survive.

Source: Polaris Hydroelectric, May 13, 2013
http://news.bjx.com.cn/html/20130513/433976.shtml