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Geo-Strategic Trend - 42. page

UDN: Apple’s India Focus Enhanced Taiwanese Supply Chain

United Daily News (UDN), one of the primary Taiwanese news groups, recently reported that, Apple’s rush to “Made in India” has been fruitful, with over US$7 billion worth of iPhones assembled in India in its last fiscal year. This means tripling iPhone production in the world’s fastest growing smartphone market. Foxconn, Wistron and Pegatron played an important role. The three major Taiwanese foundries’ Indian manufacturing business grew simultaneously and became big winners. With the help from its Taiwanese partners, Apple produced about 7 percent of iPhones in India in the last fiscal year, a huge jump from the previous 1 percent. In the current fiscal year, Apple assembled more than US$7 billion in iPhones in India by the end of March, of which US$5 billion was exported, nearly four times the amount in the previous year. Apple may attempt to produce the next generation of mobile phones simultaneously in India and Mainland China, possibly in the fall of this year, which will be the first time that Apple mobile phones get assembled simultaneously in China and India. A quarter of Apple’s phones could be assembled in India by 2025, if suppliers continue to expand aggressively.

Source: UDN, April 14, 2023
https://udn.com/news/story/7240/7096899

Ukraine Listed Xiaomi as Russia’s “International Sponsor”

Well-known Chinese news site NetEase (NASDAQ: NTES) recently reported that, the Ukrainian National Agency for the Prevention of Corruption issued an announcement, adding Xiaomi to the list of so-called “war sponsors” and imposing sanctions. The “Sponsors of International War” list includes a number of foreign companies that Ukraine believes have been “funding” Russia since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Most of these companies did not withdraw from the Russian market after February 24 last year. The reason for Xiaomi’s inclusion on the list is that “the company continues to operate in Russia and maintains a leading position in the Russian smartphone market.” The announcement also cited some of Xiaomi’s efforts to increase the size of its Russian office staff. Since 2018, Xiaomi has ranked first in the sales of online stores in Russia, and has a large offline official authorized retail network throughout Russia. Based on the data for the third quarter of 2022, compared with the previous quarter, Xiaomi’s supply to Russia has increased by 39 percent. Currently, Xiaomi ranks third in the global smartphone shipment rankings, with a global market share of 12.8 percent.

Source: NetEase, April 15, 2023
https://www.163.com/dy/article/I2ATRES80512B07B.html

North Korea Successfully Launched Solid-fuel Ballistic Missile

Well-known Chinese news site Sina (NASDAQ: SINA) recently reported that, according to the Korean Central News Agency, North Korea successfully test-fired a ballistic missile using solid fuel. General Secretary of the Workers’ Party of Korea and Chairman of the State Council Kim Jong-un guided the test launch. South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff confirmed the North Korea missile launch into the eastern waters of the Korean Peninsula that day, and the South Korean military is analyzing specific parameters such as the missile type and flight distance. This is North Korea’s first launch of a ballistic missile 17 days after it launched a short-range ballistic missile (SRBM) on March 27, and it is also the ninth ballistic missile launch this year. It is worth noting that Kim Jong-un, the supreme leader of North Korea, presided over the Sixth Enlarged Meeting of the Eighth Central Military Commission of the Workers’ Party of Korea on the 10th, emphasizing the necessity of expanding the “war deterrent force.” Also, according to NHK, the Japanese government issued a nationwide instantaneous warning around the same time, indicating that North Korea was suspected of launching a ballistic missile. Later, Japan’s Defense Ministry announced that a ballistic missile launched by North Korea had landed, but did not say where it landed.

Source: Sina, April 4, 2023
https://news.sina.com.cn/w/2023-04-14/doc-imyqhyiq6569030.shtml

Global Times: French Media Claimed EU’s New Anti-Coercion Law Is A Real Gun

Global Times recently reported that the European Council and the European Parliament have reached a provisional agreement on the Anti-Coercion Instruments Act (ACI). The bill aims to prevent third countries from economically coercing the European Union and its member states through measures affecting trade or investment. French media quoted Bernd Lange, chairman of the International Trade Committee of the European Parliament, as saying that ACI will prove to be a powerful deterrent to future economic coercion. “It’s not really a water gun – it’s a real gun,” he said. All these new measures are clearly intended as a last resort. The European Commission will first negotiate directly with the relevant third country to allow the other party to withdraw the coercive measures that have been implemented, or to demand compensation for losses. Many media believe that the United States and China are the targets of this EU bill. According to South China Morning Post, the proposal of the bill was not originally aimed at China, but to counter Trump’s imposition of tariffs on EU goods. However later, in the context of Lithuania’s trade with China being blocked because of the Taiwan issue, this bill once again received widespread attention within EU. Now as a unilateralist policy tools targeting China’s, the ACI Act has somewhat changed its original purpose. “Economic coercion” needs to formulate basic a definition acceptable to all parties. And it should obtain corresponding support at the level of international law and WTO rules. For example, on the issue of Lithuania, although the EU has lodged a complaint in WTO, it is difficult to get support. ACI has also been questioned within the EU. Some EU members are worried that ACI will turn EU towards protectionism and trigger a trade war. Europe should abandon its confrontational approach and actively cooperate with China.

Source: Global Times, March 29, 2023
https://world.huanqiu.com/article/4CHS9n14XCK

Xinhua: U.S. Becomes EU’s Largest Crude Oil Supplier

Xinhua recently reported that, as a “by-product” of the protracted Ukraine crisis, the European Union had to increase its energy dependency on the United States last year in order to make up for the huge energy gap caused by the sanctions on Russia. According to data released by Eurostat, the United States has replaced Russia as the largest crude oil supplier to the European Union, followed by Norway and Kazakhstan. As of December 2022, 18 percent of the EU’s imported crude oil came from the United States. This data represents a significant shift since, in the meantime, Russian crude oil accounts for 4 percent of total EU crude oil imports. However, many EU countries used to rely on Russia for energy. And the counterproductive effect of sanctions against Russia is becoming increasingly apparent. Energy shortages, soaring prices, and soaring living expenses have become common social problems. A senior official of the Russian government said that Russia has successfully transferred all oil exports affected by Western sanctions to “friendly countries”. Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said that Russia’s oil exports to India increased by about 22 times in 2022, but he did not disclose the specific amount. However, Russia’s oil and gas output is expected to drop this year amid Western curbs and fewer European buyers.

Source: Xinhua, March 29, 2023
https://bit.ly/3m0xhiv

Global Times: Australia and NATO Issued Ban on TikTok

Global Times recently reported that Australian media disclosed earlier that, on April 4th, Australian Prime Minister Albanese approved a ban on the use of TikTok on equipment within the Australian government, and notified the state and territory governments about the ban. They are expected to follow suit. The Australian government decided that the ban will target all government-issued equipment, citing a so-called “espionage risk.” The move is in line with Australia’s “Five Eyes” partners – the US, the UK, Canada and New Zealand. The Australian Federal Attorney General declared in a statement that this decision was made on the advice of intelligence and security agencies and that the ban will come into effect as soon as it is practical. TikTok denied there are security issues and said the app poses no risk to Australian users.

Earlier, Global Times also reported that two people familiar with NATO said that NATO officials sent a notice to all staff in the organization on March 31st, announcing the prohibition of downloading and using the short video social app TikTok on NATO-provided equipment on the grounds of so-called “security considerations.”

A Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson stated that China has always maintained that data security issues should not be used as a tool to generalize the concept of national security and unreasonably suppress companies from other countries.

Source: Global Times, April 4 and March 31, 2023
https://world.huanqiu.com/article/4CLwKcdRX1L
https://m.huanqiu.com/article/4CJMAljHzeB

China’s People’s War to Be Used against Taiwan

From PLA Daily: China’s People’s War to Be Used against Taiwan:

China’s military newspaper published an article advocating that Mao Zedong’s people’s war should be applied  to and used against Taiwan. The People’s Liberation Army Daily (PLA Daily) ‘s article of March 30, 2023, is viewed as a sign that Beijing has included both military and political considerations in its military reunification efforts against Taiwan.

The article stated that the people’s war is a strategy and it is also the method used in a just war for national independence, for the people’s liberation, and for national prosperity. It also generally adheres to the fundamental principle of defensiveness.

The article said that the integrity of the strategy and tactics of the people’s war emphasizes both military and non-military means leveraging each other as one holistic strategy of politics, economy, diplomacy, public opinion, and military forces.

The article expressed that the people’s war requires the mobilization of the whole country to overcome local deficiencies and disadvantages so as to defeat this “powerful opponent.”

The article also said that active defense is a product of the people’s war and it is also the fundamental requirement to carry out the war of justice effectively.

The article further stated that the people’s war strategy reminds the military of the political aspects that should be taken into account. In addition, it suggested that the protests that occurred in Hong Kong should be avoided in Taiwan.

According to analysts, Beijing has mentioned that the people’s war should be carried forward and based on active defense. China has always regarded the military reunification with Taiwan as a defensive operation because Beijing views Taiwan as China’s territory.

Source: The PLA Daily, March 31, 2023                                                                                                                                                                                                          http://www.81.cn/yw_208727/16213136.html

The CCP Provided a Downgraded Reception for Former Taiwan President Ma Ying-jeou

Taiwan’s former President and former Kuomintang Chairman Ma Ying-jeou arrived in China on March 27 to worship his ancestors. Political observers take his reception in China as the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP’s) countermeasure to Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen’s trip to the U.S. at the same time.

Reports showed that the CCP provided a much lower level of reception to Ma than what he had expected:

  • The CCP called him “Mr. Ma Ying-jeou” instead of “President Ma Ying-jeou.”
  • Ma did not receive a “Presidential treatment” at the airport.   Ma’s team expected to see Ding Xuexiang, member of the Standing Committee of the CCP Politburo, a state-level official to welcome Ma there. Instead, Chen Yuanfeng (陈元丰), Deputy Director of the State Councils’ Taiwan Affairs Office, a Deputy-Ministerial level official, came to meet Ma at the airport.
  • Ma planned to bring six secret service agents, each with a gun and a bulletproof jacket and Ma himself would wear another (the seventh) bulletproof jacket. However, Beijing only allowed Ma and his guards to carry 3 guns, 2 bulletproof briefcases, and 3 bulletproof jackets. (meaning Ma would not be able to wear one). Beijing also didn’t allow them to bring any radio and anti-listening bug devices with them.

A commentator pointed out that the CCP treated Ma not as a former president, but rather as a former provincial governor, since it wanted to downgrade Taiwan to the level of a province.

Source:
1. Liberty Times, March 27, 2023
https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/4252848
2. China Times, March 23, 2023
https://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20230323004426-260407?chdtv