Well-known Chinese news site NetEase (NASDAQ: NTES) reported that, according to calculations based on official data from the German Federal Statistics Office, the United States surpassed China to become Germany’s largest trading partner during the first quarter of this year. Data show that from January to March, the trade volume between Germany and the United States – exports and imports combined – reached 63 billion euros. Meanwhile, the trade volume between Germany and China during the same period was slightly less than 60 billion euros.

In the first quarter, Germany’s imports from China fell by nearly 12 percent year-on-year, while its exports to China fell by just over one percent. Currently, the United States accounts for about 10 percent of German merchandise exports. China’s share  of merchandise exports has dropped to less than six percent.

Vincent Stamer, an economist at Commerzbank, explained that “German exports to the United States are rising mainly due to the strong U.S. economy.” Juergen Matthes, economist at the German Institute for Economic Research (IW) said, “China’s economy performed worse than many expected, while the U.S. economy beat expectations.”

In 2023, China maintained its status as Germany’s largest trading partner for the eighth consecutive year, with total China-German trade reaching 253 billion euros. Meanwhile, US-German trade totaled more than 252 billion euros in 2023.

Source: NetEase, May 9, 2024
https://www.163.com/dy/article/J1P0UH7A05566Z8K.html

According to Major Taiwanese media network Liberty Times Network (LTN), Taiwan’s Ministry of Finance recently announced that the proportion of Taiwan’s exports bound for China (including Hong Kong) in the first four months of this year dropped to 30.7 percent – the lowest level seen in 22 years. LTN reported that global supply chains are diversifying amid China’s economic weakness and tensions between China and the U.S.

For many years, Taiwan’s proportion of exports to China has hovered around 40 percent. It’s worth noting that Taiwan’s exports of semiconductors and other electronic components to China are in particularly steep decline. Taiwan’s Ministry of Finance explained that, in addition to the slow recovery of China’s internal demand, the supply chain for digital electronics and other commodities has shifted outside of China, thus reducing Taiwan’s exports to China.

From January to April of this year, Taiwan’s overall exports increased by 10.6 percent, exports to the United States increased by 64 percent, and exports to ASEAN countries increased by 25 percent. Taiwan’s proportion of exports bound for the United States reached 23.5 percent, while exports to ASEAN countries reached 19.5 percent of Taiwan’s total exports.

Encouraged by U.S. customers, Taiwanese companies have been diversifying their supply chains ever since China-US tensions began to worsen starting in 2010. They have been diversifying their production locations by moving some of their production capacity from China back to Taiwan or to other locations such as the United States, Southeast Asia, and elsewhere.

Source: LTN, May 9, 2024
https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/4666984

Deutsche Welle Chinese Edition recently reported on the 2024 Business Confidence Survey just released by the European Chamber of Commerce. The survey showed that uncertainty for European companies in China has increased due to China’s economic slowdown as well as the Chinese government’s prioritization of domestic companies over foreign companies and its unclear regulations.

Jens Eskelund, president of the European Union Chamber of Commerce in China, said that companies are beginning to realize that low demand [within China] may persist for a long time. He also said that companies saw other countries emerging and becoming competitors that China must take seriously.

More than one-third of survey respondents observed overcapacity within their respective sectors of the Chinese economy. Although China reopened its economy [by lifting COVID controls] in early 2023, the survey results indicate a continued decline in market confidence.

The development of European companies in China is hindered by structural problems in China’s economy. These include weak domestic demand, increasing overcapacity, ongoing real estate difficulties, market access issues, regulatory barriers, and other obstacles. More than half of surveyed companies reported China’s economic slowdown as a top challenge, a significant increase over previous years’ survey results. Around 52 percent of companies surveyed plan to cut costs; about a quarter of such cost cutting will be achieved through layoffs.

The Chinese government has been sending mixed signals to foreign companies as it pursues economic development while simultaneously tightening regulations related to national security and safety.

Source: DW Chinese, May 10, 2024
https://p.dw.com/p/4fhW1