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Xinhua Commentary Series: Spotlight on the U.S. Presidential Election

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Wu Guoguang: Xi Jinping’s Reversal of the Course, Will China’s Transition be Peaceful or Marked with Bloodshed?

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Cheng Xiaonong: U.S.-China Strategic Relations Have Crystallized

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Xinhua Commentaries: “Exposing the Three Major Political Deficits of the U.S.”

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Global Times: South Korea’s EV Subsidy Plan Unfavorable to Chinese Companies

Global Times, a tabloid under the Chinese Communist Party’s flagship People’s Daily newspaper, recently reported that the South Korean Ministry of the Environment has updated its electric vehicle (EV) purchase subsidy plan for 2024. According to the article, certain vehicles will be disadvantaged by the new subsidy plan, including:

  • vehicles equipped with lithium iron phosphate batteries (the main product of Chinese battery companies), and
  • cars built by foreign companies that are not able to set up direct after-sales service centers throughout South Korea.

The new subsidy plan introduces a “battery environmental protection factor” aiming to account for the “waste battery recycling value” in the subsidy. According to this new standard, electric vehicles equipped with lithium iron phosphate batteries will be subsidized less on the grounds that such batteries contain less valuable recyclable metals. Subsidies for Korean consumers purchasing EVs equipped with Chinese batteries will shrink by up to 40 percent.

“Some have said that this move is the South Korean government’s response to the rapid increase in the domestic supply of electric vehicles equipped with Chinese batteries.” One commentator said that “the new policy is to align with foreign policies such as the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act, which is detrimental to Chinese battery companies to a certain extent.” According to Yonhap News Agency, “about 96.4 percent of South Korea’s EV battery imports currently come from China.”

Source: Global Times, February 7, 2024
https://m.huanqiu.com/article/4GUtT6ffRr9

Briefings | | |   Geo-Strategic Trend Information/Technology

Lianhe Zaobao: U.S. Consul General Says Hong Kong Internet Censorship Tightening

Singapore’s primary Chinese-language newspaper Lianhe Zaobao recently reported that Gregory May, the U.S. Consul General in Hong Kong, said Hong Kong’s Internet censorship is “tightening and is becoming more like that in Mainland China.”

Connectivity and data security concerns in Hong Kong have reached a level that prompted some U.S. business executives to use disposable phones and laptops when visiting the city. Gregory May said that Hong Kong “began to go downhill and tried to delete certain content from the Internet or block certain websites.”

He called for Hong Kong to stop restricting freedoms, and he expressed the belief that Hong Kong could effectively improve its reputation by releasing of people facing prison for political speech incidents, e.g. Next Media founder Jimmy Lai. He also said that “Hong Kong still has significant business advantages — as long as the Hong Kong government abides by its commitment in the Sino-British Joint Declaration to maintain a high degree of autonomy and remain unchanged for 50 years, relations between Hong Kong and the United States may improve.”

Source: Lianhe Zaobao, March 1, 2024
https://www.kzaobao.com/bolg/20240301/157420.html

Briefings | | |   Social Stability US-China Relations

China Pilots “Vehicle-Road-Cloud Integration” Programs

China is promoting “vehicle-road-cloud” integration. The idea is to advance commercialization of smart vehicles by integrating intelligent driving technology with roadside perception and cloud control. On January 17, 2024, China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued a “Notice on Carrying out Pilot Projects for ‘Vehicle-Road-Cloud Integration’.” The ministry’s pilot program will run from 2024 to 2026.

“As of the end of 2023, China has set up 17 national-level test and demonstration zones, 7 vehicle networking pilot zones, and 16 pilot cities for development of connectivity between intelligent vehicles and smart cities. … There are now more than 22,000 kilometers of test and demonstration road; more than 88 million kilometers of road testing have been completed.”

One example involves autonomous driving technology company WeRide’s work in the Beijing High-Tech Autonomous Driving Demonstration Zone: WeRide has conducted “in-depth cooperation with the government” to integrate “roadside perception of traffic signals and dynamic blind spots, driving path optimization, unprotected left turns, two-vehicle collaborative control, status sharing, and more.” The article states that “as of now, 12 companies including Baidu, Pony.ai, WeRide, AutoX, NavInfo, and Audi have conducted development and testing of ‘vehicle-road-cloud integration'” in the Beijing Demonstration Zone.

Source: Stock Times, February 3, 2024
https://www.stcn.com/article/detail/1114322.html

Briefings | | |   Economy/Resources Information/Technology

People’s Daily: Measures to Address Agricultural Labor Shortage

People’s Daily republished an article from Economic Daily discussing how China might resolve its agricultural labor shortage problems. The article said that “the matter of ‘who will farm the land’ is an urgent issue” related to “national food security and rural revitalization.” With a large number of rural laborers migrating to cities, there is a prominent “structural shortage of labor” in rural areas of China. Below are some key ideas from the article.

“The rapid development of mechanization provides impetus for solving this problem. China’s agricultural industry has already realized a basic level of ‘machines replacing human labor.’ … The comprehensive mechanization rate of cultivation and harvesting of crops has reached 73.1 percent nationwide. … China’s agricultural industry is gradually shifting from small-scale household farming to large-scale and intensive development.”

One concept for the development of large-scale agriculture is a large-scale land management (i.e. land consolidation). “Various regions have started exploring [the technique of] ‘consolidating small fields (from different owners) into larger ones.'” Another concept is “large-scale service management, which involves providing fully-managed or semi-managed services to small farmers … who retain control of their land.” The article said that the latter concept “is more realistic for China’s agriculture industry.”

Source: People’s Daily, February 15, 2024
http://finance.people.com.cn/n1/2024/0215/c1004-40177697.html

Briefings | | |   Economy/Resources Government/Politics

Japanese Government: China’s Distressed Debt Securitization Increased by 46%

According to Nikkei Chinese Edition, the Cabinet Office of Japan has published its semi-annual “World Economic Trends” report. The report pointed out signs of stagnation in China’s economy and warned that they may last – “not only will the economy stagnate in the short term, but there are also concerns about halted growth in the medium-to-long term.”

Based on data from private Chinese databases, the Cabinet Office of Japan annually reports on the amount of securities issuance converted from non-performing loans. In China, loans with delinquent payments over 90 days are considered non-performing. For 2023, such securities issuance amounted to 46.6 Billion Yuan (US$ 6.5 Billion), a 46 percent increase from 2022 (32 Billion Yuan). This increase was significantly higher than in 2021 and 2022; those years saw year-over-year increases of less than 10 percent.

In 2023, half of the security issuance converted from non-performing loans originated from housing loans, amounting to 23.6 Billion Yuan. This figure was 2.5 times higher than the previous year’s metric for converted housing loans.

The Cabinet Office of Japan stated “It is necessary to continue monitoring whether there will arise an excessive transfer of (bad loan) risk onto the financial markets.”

Source: Nikkei, February 29, 2024
https://zh.cn.nikkei.com/china/ceconomy/54956-2024-02-29-09-41-11.html?start=1

Briefings | | |   @CS Economy/Resources Government/Politics

Xinhua: Foreign Politicians, Scholars, and Media Talking Trash About China’s Economy

China’s Xinhua news agency has published an article countering the numerous reports and predictions by foreign media regarding China’s economic downslide. The article blames Western politicians, scholars, and media for wearing “colored glasses” (having a biased perspective), “doomsaying” China’s economy. The article states that such “doomsaying” has existed for several decades and has always been incorrect. The article does not provide concrete evidence in defense of China’s current economic situation.

Some of the sentiments expressed in the article include:

  • “Gordon Chang, a ‘China collapse theory expert,’ has become a laughing stock.”
  • “During the 2008 international financial crisis, some U.S. politicians and scholars blamed the U.S. real estate bubble and global economic imbalances on ‘the high savings rates of China and other emerging market countries.'”
  • “In 2015, Western media revived the ‘Chinese economic collapse theory'”
  • “The West has substituted China as a scapegoat, blaming it for economic crises and socioeconomic problems.”
  • The West has “a stubborn Cold War mentality and ideological bias, aiming to undermine the outside world’s confidence in China’s economy.”

Source: Xinhua, February 22, 2024
http://www.news.cn/mrdx/2024-02/22/c_1310764956.htm

Briefings | | |   Economy/Resources Government/Politics

People’s Armed Forces Departments Expanding Within Chinese State Owned Enterprises

Several Chinese State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) have established People’s Armed Forces departments (人民武装部) within their organizations. Examples include the Shanghai Municipal Investment Group (Shanghai’s government financing company), the Mengniu Group in Inner Mongolia, as well as 10 SOEs in Wuhan City, Hubei Province and several SOEs in Huizhou City, Zhejinang Province.

Senior Colonel Wu Qian, the spokesperson of China’s Ministry of National Defense, stated at a press conference on October 26, 2023 that “Our national defense is the defense of the whole people. The People’s Armed Forces departments of state-owned enterprises are part of the national defense system and are the armed work departments of the Party within state-owned enterprises.”

Political observers suggest a few possible explanations for why Beijing is establishing these new People’s Armed Forces departments within state-owned enterprises. Integration between SOEs and the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) could help to quell potential domestic unrest resulting from China’s economic downturn. It could also help to save resources for the PLA and could potentially enhance the military’s ability to mobilize in preparation for an invasion of Taiwan.

Source: Deutsche Welle, February 23, 2024
https://www.dw.com/zh/中企纷纷设立人民武装部为哪般/a-68353845

Briefings | | |   Defense/Military Government/Politics