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People’s Daily: U.S. Misjudgment of Diaoyu Islands Situation May Cause China-U.S. Military Conflict

On February 7, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry reaffirmed the U.S. commitment to the promises made in the "Japan-U.S. Security Treaty" signed in 1960. He emphasized that the commitment "included the East China Sea." It is believed that the speech was focused on the Diaoyu Islands. In an interview with CCTV, Sun Zhe, a Professor at the Institute of International Studies of Tsinghua University, stated that the U.S. misjudgment of the situation may cause the Sino-Japanese dispute to turn into a military conflict between China and the U.S. 


Sun Zhe pointed out that, in the past, the United States would use the names of both the "Diaoyu Islands" and the "Senkaku Islands" when referring to the Diaoyu Islands in a written document. Now, however, only the latter is used. In addition, the United States is concerned about China’s cruise surveillance at the Diaoyu Islands. The U.S.’s protection and support of Japan has become more evident. This is the equivalent of [the U.S.] "choosing sides." This could make Japan misjudge the situation. 

Sun further pointed out that the United States assumes it needs to mediate as a judge when friction results in an accident. It makes the assumption that, if something happens in the Diaoyu Islands, the U.S. and Japan will act together and it will send troops to help Japan seize de facto control [of the islands]. This would be a misjudgment of the situation. It may turn the Sino-Japanese dispute into a military conflict between China and the U.S. and cause a lot of damage to the building of new China-U.S. relations. 

Source: People’s Daily, February 10, 2014 
http://military.people.com.cn/n/2014/0210/c1011-24312232.html

Outflow of Wealth Accelerates as More Chinese Emigrate

Xinhua recently reported on information from the annual blue book on Chinese International Migration (2014), released by the Center for China & Globalization (CCG). According to the blue book, a huge number of emigrants have left China taking 2.8 trillion yuan with them. 

The blue book stated that as of 2013, emigrants to overseas had reached 9,343,000, an increase of 128.6 percent in 23 years. These emigrants brought 2.8 trillion yuan (US$46 billion) with them when they left China, thus making China the 4th largest source of emigrants. 
According to the blue book, in 2011, those people who had over 6 million yuan available for investment had a total assets of 33 trillion yuan in China. Of that amount, 2.8 trillion has since been transferred out of China, accounting for about 3 percent of China’s GDP in 2011. 

Hong Kong, the United States, and Canada have become the main destinations for the transfer of assets, accounting for 22 percent, 21 percent and 16 percent respectively, followed by Switzerland (9 percent), Singapore (6 percent) and Australia (5 percent). 

Source: Xinhua, February 7, 2014 
http://news.xinhuanet.com/house/sh/2014-02-07/c_119231579.htm

China to Fund Zimbabwe’s “Comprehensive Financial Package”

The government of Zimbabwe is looking to China to help fund its $27 billion plan to rebuild its economy. The Africa Report wrote on Wednesday that this fund would be more than twice the size of the economy of the impoverished southern African nation. The five-year plan will seek to improve basic services and revitalize the slowing economy.

On February 11, Zimbabwe’s Finance and Economic Development Minister Patrick Chinamasa and the Chinese Ambassador to Zimbabwe Lin Lin had signed the deal in Harare. As reported in People’s Daily, it included the loan amount of $23 million earmarked for the construction of clinics, primary and secondary schools in resettled areas acquired under the land reform program, as well as boreholes drilling and acquiring meteorological equipment.

Not revealing details, Chinamasa, who visited Beijing last month, said, "The government of the People’s Republic of China and the government of Zimbabwe are working towards a comprehensive financial package. (We) have committed ourselves to finalizing the matter within three months."

Zimbabwe had not been able to obtain funds from western governments and funding institutions such as the World Bank, as it had previously failed to repay billions of dollars in debt. Since 2005, the nation has adopted a “Look East” policy as a result, relying increasingly on emerging Asian economies to offset sanctions from traditional Western partners, People’s Daily reported.

China, on the other hand, is interested in the rich mineral resources in Zimbabwe, including the world’s second largest reserves of platinum, huge deposits of gold, alluvial diamonds, coal, and chrome. China had previously loaned nearly $700 million to Zimbabwe, in March 2011, the biggest package to date. In addition, last November, China’s Export Import Bank agreed to lend Zimbabwe $320 million to expand its Kariba hydro-power plant.

Source: BBC Chinese, February 11, 2014
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/china/2014/02/140211_zimbabwe_china.shtml

Wu Jinglian: Chinese Economy This Year Will Face Difficulties

At the annual conference of Chinese Economists forum 50, Wu Jinglian, a prominent economist and a fellow at the Development Research Center of the State Council, expressed his view that China’s economy in 2014 will face difficulties and that what’s most important is to let the market play a decisive role in allocating resources. Wu believed that the debate around whether real estate is a "pillar industry" is by itself planned economy thinking. If the central bank continues to print money, housing prices will continue to climb. Wu noted that a very important aspect of furthering the reform is to prevent the outbreak of systematic risks. Regarding the local governments, he believes that the transition of their functions involves a lot of personal power and interests. Wu said that China’s economy this year will face difficulties because many problems, accumulated over the decades, need to be sorted out and resolved. For state-owned enterprises (SOE) reform, Wu believes it is important to pay attention to "near-death" enterprises, as a large number of highly indebted SOE’s still rely on subsidies to survive.

Source: Xinhuha, February 11, 2014
http://news.xinhuanet.com/2014-02/11/c_126111686.htm

The Confucius Institute at the University of Sheffield

The following is from a recent Xinhua report about the Confucius Institute at The University of Sheffield, UK.

"In 2004, the first Confucius Institute was set up. Along with the development of China, within just ten years, Confucius Institutes and Confucius Classrooms have emerged all over the world. Data shows that, as of now, 120 countries and regions on five continents have established 440 Confucius Institutes and 646 Confucius Classrooms, with 850,000 registered students."

"The management and operations of the Sheffield Confucius Institute at the University of Sheffield, UK is a cooperation of the University of Sheffield, the Beijing Language and Culture University, and Nanjing University. For nearly seven years, it has been an important center for the Chinese and English languages and cultural exchanges in the central and northern UK."

Zhao Xia, the Director of the Sheffield Confucius Institute and a Lecturer at the School of East Asian Studies of the University, stated, "We have partnered with the Sheffield City Council to organize three ‘out of the bookshelf’ Literary Festivals. We have also collaborated with the Sheffield City Department of Children and Family Services to hold Chinese traditional festivals and cultural activities at 26 libraries. Meanwhile, a number of activities and projects have been initiated, such as the Chinese New Year Painting Competition, the Chinese style photo contest, and library activities." In 2013, the Sheffield Confucius Institute held 149 cultural activities, reaching 18,000 people."

Wang Zhimin, Deputy Director of the Institute and a Professor from the Beijing Language and Culture University, added, "The Confucius Institute offers an opportunity for many Western students to understand Chinese culture and get in touch with Chinese music, movies, and other art forms." "China’s development supports and needs the global promotion of Chinese culture. We should be mindful of the current situation and fulfill our historic mission."

Source: Xinhua, February 10, 2014
http://news.xinhuanet.com/2014-02/10/c_119264730.htm

Jinghua Times: Poultry Industry Wants Bird Flu Notifications to Be Stopped

Jinghua Times, a daily newspaper under the People’s Daily, recently reported that a large number of companies in the poultry industry, especially those in Guangdong and Guangxi Provinces, as well as national associations, have requested the public health authority to stop the per-case notification requirement for H7N9 bird flu. However the government refused the requests citing clear rules defined by the World Health Organization (WHO), of which China is a member. The Chinese poultry industry expressed the belief that the “over reporting” is bringing a massive decline of sales to the industry. Government officials have suggested that the industry should adjust its business model to deliver more frozen products. Some experts suggested that the government should also consider providing financial help to the poultry industry.
Source: Jinghua Times, February 5, 2014
http://epaper.jinghua.cn/html/2014-02/05/content_61951.htm

Netease: EU Parliament Asked for Drastic Measures against Chinese Dumping

The well-known Chinese online news site Netease recently reported that the European Parliament officially urged EU trade officials to apply “drastically tough measures” against the low-price dumping strategy used by many of the Chinese exporters. EU Trade Commissioner Karel De Gucht is seeking amendments to the tools that are currently available to fight unfair trade. These tools were designed before China became a large exporter. The EU Parliament expected the new tools would be able to arm the small-sized EU companies to fight unfair trade behavior such as pricing goods below cost. Although the newly proposed regulations did not mention China, yet most of the trade conflicts that the European Union is suffering from are between the EU and China. The current daily China-EU trade volume is more than one billion euros. The potential retaliation from trade partners is still a big concern on the EU side. Karel De Gucht is calling for serious consideration of fairness and balance. 
Source: Netease, February 6, 2014
http://money.163.com/14/0206/15/9KDKJOH600252C1E.html

CRN: China’s Macroeconomy Faces Three Major Risks

China Review News (CRN) recently published a commentary analyzing the “cyclical fall back” of the Chinese macroeconomy as well as the much needed structural adjustments. The commentary focused on the “imbalance risks” and identified three major ones: 1) The volume of China’s exports is not in sync with the trend of the global economic recovery. The author expressed the belief that this was caused by the rebound in U.S. manufacturing, the increased costs in Chinese manufacturing, the appreciation in China’s currency, competition from other emerging economies, and new international trade agreements in which China does not participate. 2) China’s domestic economy suffers a significant imbalance between the real economy and the virtual economy. The financial industry and the housing industry are the primary contributors to economic growth, while the manufacturing industry is seeing minimal profits. 3) China’s actual interest rate is moving in the opposite direction from that of the global interest rate. While most of the countries in the world are maintaining zero or near-zero interest rates, China’s actual interest rate is growing rapidly. This significantly increases the cost of financing. Government branches, companies, and financial organizations are suffering from across-the-board debt increases.
 
Source: China Review News, February 7, 2014
http://hk.crntt.com/doc/1030/1/0/4/103010469.html?coluid=53&kindid=0&docid=103010469&mdate=0207092022