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China’s Sees Lower-Than-Usual Mooncake Sales During Mid-Autumn Festival

The Mid-Autumn Festival is a Chinese festival where people celebrate by eating mooncakes. The holiday is usually China’s peak season for gift-giving. This year, the market for mooncakes in mainland China is particularly sluggish. According to the China Bakery and Confectionery Industry Association, mooncake sales are projected to decline by 2 billion yuan (US$ 280 million) compared to last year. Some market analysts have labeled this as the “coldest Mid-Autumn Festival in history.”

An article on Yahoo Finance listed three reasons for this to happen:

  1. With the mainland economy struggling, corporate gift-giving this year has completely dried out, especially in the four major “gift-giving industries”: real estate, construction, building materials, and finance. These sectors have realized that “relying on mooncake gifts isn’t bringing in business.”
  2. Family gift-giving has also decreased significantly due to reduced consumer spending power. In an environment of consumption downgrade, consumers are opting for lower-priced, homemade mooncakes with simpler packaging.
  3. Also young people are increasingly seeking healthier diets, and traditional mooncakes, which are high in oil and sugar, are viewed as unhealthy.

Source: Yahoo Finance, September 16, 2024
https://hk.finance.yahoo.com/news/史上最冷中秋?月餅滯銷-市場盤點三大終極原因-042821633.html

Chinese Ambassador to the U.S. Lays Down Four “Red Lines” That U.S. Should Not Cross

According to the website of the Chinese Embassy in the U.S., China’s Ambassador to the U.S. Xie Feng delivered a keynote speech at the Vision China event on Sep 12. He stated that China has drawn four “red lines” [that the U.S. should not cross]. These particularly sensitive areas for the CCP are:

  • Taiwan,
  • (China’s record on) democracy and human rights,
  • (China’s institutional) path and system, and
  • (China’s) right (to economic development).

Xie said that, among these, the Taiwan question is the “most paramount in China-US relations and must not be crossed.”

He stated that “the notion of ‘democracy versus authoritarianism’ is a fallacy. China’s political system and development path are non-negotiable, and the legitimate rights of the Chinese people to have a better life must not be deprived.”

Radio France International reported that Xie also remarked that the attempt to completely decouple China and the U.S. is a “fantasy,” and viewing each other as new Cold War rivals is the “greatest strategic misjudgment of the 21st century.” He warned that a conflict between China and the U.S. would be an “unbearable burden for the world.”

He stated that “no conflict, no confrontation” is the bottom line for both sides to uphold.

Source: Radio France Internation, September 13, 2024
https://www.rfi.fr/cn/中国/20240913-中国对美划出四道红线-台湾,人权,制度与发展权

Lianhe Zaobao: The Philippines Does Not Plan to Withdraw U.S. Typhon Missiles

According to Singapore’s primary Chinese language newspaper Lianhe Zaobao, Philippine International Security Advisor Eduardo Ano stated that The Philippines currently has no plans to withdraw the Typhon medium-range missile system deployed by the United States in the northern Philippines. He said the Philippine authorities plan to purchase medium-range missiles in the future and currently use the Typhon system for military training. Reuters also reported earlier that, although China clearly opposes the deployment of intermediate-range missile systems by the United States in the Philippines, the U.S. currently has no plans to immediately remove the Typhon system. Ano said there is no specific timetable, and the decision will be made by a panel of officials from the Philippines and the United States.

Satellite images show the Typhon system stays at Laoag International Airport in Ilocos Province, northern Philippines, close to the Taiwan Strait and facing the South China Sea. Ano said “we need to understand how to operate the system because we intend to purchase this type of equipment in the future.” China’s Foreign Ministry expressed serious concern earlier over the Philippines’ plan to maintain the Typhon system. Ano responded that: “we know what is in the best interests of the country and therefore no one has the right to dictate to us, especially when it comes to the deployment of missile launchers.”

In April, the US military deployed the latest land-based Typhon Weapons System the Philippines for military exercises with the Philippines. The system can be equipped with the Standard 6 Supersonic Missile with a range of 450 kilometers as well as the Tomahawk cruise missile with a maximum range of over 1,600 kilometers, which is enough to hit targets in China.

Source: Lianhe Zaobao, September 20, 2024
https://www.zaobao.com.sg/realtime/world/story20240920-4796861

India-Made iPhone 16 Set for Global Sales

Well-known Chinese news site Sina (NASDAQ: SINA) recently reported that India’s Minister of Electronics and Information Technology issued a statement saying Apple’s latest iPhone 16 will be produced in Indian factories and sold globally. Prime Minister Modi’s “Made in India” plan is currently promoting the creation of iconic products for the world. Apple has been working hard to move its supply chain to India. The Indian government is also encouraging more companies to manufacture locally in India, and has reduced the import tax on parts required for mobile phone production from 15 percent to 10 percent. Apple currently plans to produce more than 50 million iPhones in India this year, including the iPhone 15 and iPhone 16 series.

Previously, it was reported that the yield rate of Indian factories is only 50 percent, which is far from Apple’s standards, and the sanitary conditions of the manufacturing facilities are unqualified. However, Foxconn Chairman explained that the yield rate of iPhones produced in India is no different from that in China. The 50 percent yield rate refers to the production of iPhone cases manufactured in factories affiliated to the Tata Group, not the iPhone yield rate.

There are currently four foundries for the iPhone 16 series, namely Foxconn, Luxshare, Pegatron and Tata Group. Foxconn and Pegatron have factories in both China and India, while Luxshare only has factories in China and Tata only has factories in India. From the perspective of production location allocation, China and India already have a 1:1 ratio. However, as Apple requires Foxconn and other OEMs to invest in India, it is likely that by the time the iPhone 17 is released next year, India’s iPhone production capacity will surpass China’s.

Source: Sina, September 12, 2024
https://www.163.com/dy/article/JBSQMSK10511DG68.html

CNA: Poll Shows British People Don’t Trust China

Primary Taiwanese news agency Central News Agency (CNA) recently reported that independent and non-partisan British think tank British Foreign Policy Group just released its poll results on China. Overall, the British public has clear doubts about China.

About 71 percent of the British public do not trust China as a responsible international actor, and 43 percent support reducing dependence on Chinese technology and resources. Only 13 percent of British people support allowing Chinese technology companies (such as TikTok) to operate in the UK, and only eight percent support China developing infrastructure in the UK, including nuclear power plants and 5G telecommunications. Last year, 15 percent of British people believed it was necessary to cooperate with China in the fields of technology and infrastructure. However, 25 percent of British people aged 18 to 25 support allowing Chinese technology companies to operate in the UK.

Regarding the areas to be given priority in UK-China interaction, the results show that the British people believe that “seeking to reduce dependence on China’s technology and resources” is the most important. The second most important item is “seeking cooperation in addressing common global challenges such as climate change”. The third is “challenging China’s human rights record.”

In addition, 56 percent of British people believe that the UK should reduce trade with China.

Source: CNA, September 21, 2024
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/aopl/202409210003.aspx

Global Times: Saudi Arabia is Willing to “Try New Things” with China

Global Times recently reported that Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef said in a Hong Kong press interview that Saudi Arabia is “open to new ideas” including the use of Chinese currency RMB in cross-border crude oil transaction settlements, and is willing to cooperate with China to “try new things.” Alkhorayef also said that Saudi Arabia “welcomes Chinese companies to invest”, and “we try not to mix politics with business.”

Alkhorayef described Saudi Arabia’s “positive” view on using the “Petro-Yuan” instead of US dollar in transactions, but he did not give a specific timetable for the implementation. “From a commercial point of view, between suppliers and customers, I think such an arrangement can be realized according to the free will of both parties,” Alkhorayef continued, “this is not a problem that we look at from a policy point of view.” He looks forward to more cooperation with China, mainly in the form of Chinese investment, in areas such as metals, pharmaceuticals, smart cities, robotics and renewable energy. “We welcome Chinese companies to invest in electric vehicles too,” he added.

The Saudi industrial and mining delegation led by Alkhorayef visited China and Singapore from September 1st to 8th. Alkhorayef’s office said, “The goal of the delegation’s visit to China is to strengthen cooperation with China and make Saudi Arabia a key automotive center in the region.”

Source: Global Times, September 9, 2024
https://hqtime.huanqiu.com/article/4JN7P2H87FS

Chinese Universities Phase Out Civil Engineering Programs Amid Real Estate Crisis

In a significant shift reflecting China’s changing economic landscape, several Chinese universities are discontinuing their civil engineering and architecture programs. This move comes as the country grapples with an ongoing real estate crisis, dramatically altering the job prospects for graduates in these fields.

Once considered a golden ticket to stable employment, civil engineering degrees are now being labeled as “pit” programs by netizens. The real estate sector, long a major employer for these graduates, has seen its boom days come to an end, leaving many students scrambling to transfer out of these programs.

Prominent institutions such as Shandong University, China University of Petroleum, and Beihang University have announced plans to close multiple undergraduate and graduate programs related to civil engineering and architecture. Statistics from universities like Hunan University and Changsha University of Science and Technology reveal a mass exodus of students from these departments, with dozens to over a hundred students transferring out annually.

In response to dwindling enrollment, some universities are adapting their strategies. Southeast University, ranked second nationally in architecture, has opened its doors to liberal arts students for its architecture program. Meanwhile, many institutions have quietly removed civil engineering majors from their admission catalogs.

Interestingly, as traditional programs decline, a new trend is emerging. “Smart construction” and related fields are gaining traction, with 153 universities now offering such majors – more than double the number from three years ago. However, some students report that these new programs are essentially rebranded civil engineering courses with added computer classes, hoping for a genuine shift towards smart technologies in the future.

As China’s education sector adjusts to economic realities, the transformation of these once-popular majors serves as a stark indicator of the broader changes sweeping through the country’s job market and economy.

Source: Central News Agency (Taiwan), September 15, 2024
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/202409150056.aspx

China Unveils First Government Debt Report Revealing $9.8 Trillion Obligation

In a landmark move, China’s State Council presented its inaugural report on government debt management to the National People’s Congress (NPC) on January 10, 2024. Finance Minister Lan Fo’an, speaking on behalf of the State Council, disclosed that China’s statutory government debt surpassed 70 trillion yuan ($9.8 trillion) by the end of 2023.

The report, a significant step towards fiscal transparency, revealed a total government statutory debt balance of 70.77 trillion yuan ($9.91 trillion). This figure comprises 30.03 trillion yuan ($4.20 trillion) in national debt and a staggering 40.74 trillion yuan ($5.70 trillion) in local government debt, indicating that local obligations outweigh central government debt.

Based on China’s 2023 GDP of 126.06 trillion yuan ($17.65 trillion), the government debt-to-GDP ratio stands at 56.1%. The national debt is primarily domestic, with 29.70 trillion yuan ($4.16 trillion) in internal debt and 334.6 billion yuan ($46.84 billion) in foreign debt. Local government debt is split between 15.87 trillion yuan ($2.22 trillion) in general debt and 24.87 trillion yuan ($3.48 trillion) in special purpose debt.

The State Council outlined five key areas for strengthening debt management, including scientific determination of debt size and structure, reforms in national debt management, improved local government bond oversight, enhanced supervision processes, and increased cooperation with NPC oversight mechanisms.

Source: Central News Agency (Taiwan), September 15, 2024
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/202409150091.aspx