Singapore’s primary Chinese language newspaper Lianhe Zaobao recently reported that, as non-performing loans continue to accumulate in China’s banking system, more and more loans are being delayed when processed. Analysts estimate that the true non-performing loan ratio of Chinese banks is far higher than the officially announced 1.5 percent, possibly reaching 10 percent, which means that approximately US$3 trillion of debt that should have been classified as non-performing loans has not been included in the statistics. If calculated at 10 percent, it is equivalent to approximately 17 percent of China’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
A plastics business owner surnamed Hu defaulted on a US$730,000 bank loan, but the bank did not demand immediate repayment, instead allowing him to postpone payment. This allowed him to continue operating while preventing the bank from adding another overdue loan to its books. Similar situations are unfolding across China.
Under current Chinese banking regulations, loans overdue for more than 90 days and unable to be repaid in full should be classified as non-performing loans. However, economists estimate that approximately 40 percent of loans in China have entered into or meet some form of grace period, meaning banks are instructed not to pursue collection or recognize losses. The main reason for the surge in bad debts is that a large amount of loans have flowed to companies whose revenue is insufficient to pay interest.
Source: Lianhe Zaobao, May 13, 2026
https://www.zaobao.com.sg/finance/china/story20260513-9040886