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Ukraine Expert: Beijing Also Supplies Drones and Components to Ukraine, to Avoid a Quick Russian Victory

A discussion on the podcast ChinaTalk highlighted how Ukraine’s drone industry has expanded rapidly during the Russia–Ukraine War while gradually reducing reliance on Chinese imports. Ukrainian expert Cat Buchatskiy noted that at the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022, Ukraine had only about 3,000 drones, with 99 percent imported as complete systems from China. By 2026, Ukraine has shifted to domestically assembling nearly all unmanned systems, with annual production reaching up to 5 million first-person-view (FPV) drones, along with other categories such as reconnaissance systems and loitering munitions.

A key transition has been from importing finished drones to importing components. By 2025, 99 percent of imports from China consisted of parts rather than complete systems, although Ukraine still relies heavily on Chinese components. Export restrictions imposed by China beginning in 2023 accelerated Ukraine’s efforts to diversify suppliers and localize production. As a result, the share of Chinese components in Ukrainian drones reportedly fell to around 38 percent by 2025.

The discussion suggested that China is pursuing a dual-track approach in the conflict. While Beijing does not want Russia to lose, it also seeks to avoid a Ukrainian defeat, thereby maintaining Russia’s dependence on China and preventing the United States from fully shifting its strategic focus to Asia. Despite publicly emphasizing close ties with Moscow, Chinese suppliers continue to provide drone systems and components to both Russia and Ukraine.

A Ukrainian drone industry executive described how, during a visit to a drone factory in southern China, suppliers carefully managed schedules to prevent Ukrainian and Russian clients from encountering each other, sometimes using separate entrances or rooms. “When the Russian delegation’s cars left, the Ukrainian delegation’s cars arrived,” he said. Buchatskiy added that Ukrainian companies generally do not expect Chinese factories to cut off supplies, as strong demand and large orders create incentives to continue fulfilling Ukrainian needs.

Source: Epoch Times, April 16, 2026
https://www.epochtimes.com/gb/26/4/16/n14742481.htm

SOHO China Founder Pan Shiyi Calls China’s Real Estate Market a ‘Ponzi Scheme’

Pan Shiyi, the prominent Chinese real estate entrepreneur and founder of SOHO China, who has kept a low profile for three years, recently published an article describing nearly three decades of mainland China’s property market development as resembling a “Ponzi scheme.”

In a post titled “My Reflections” on his personal WeChat public account, Pan recalled how in 1998, when China began developing commercial housing, developers traveled to Hong Kong to learn sales methods, picking up concepts like mortgages and pre-sales. He noted that the industry soon adopted a high-leverage, high-turnover model that quickly became distorted on the mainland.

Within just a few years, competition in the sector shifted away from building and selling quality homes, and instead became a race to acquire more land, secure financing faster, and expand more aggressively.

Pan described a deeply interconnected and fragile system: developers survived on pre-sale revenues, companies kept afloat by borrowing new money to repay old debts, local governments depended on land sales for income, and homebuyers believed property prices would rise indefinitely. “Tie these four things together,” he wrote, “and if any one of them breaks, the rest will collapse.”

He noted that for a considerable period, the practices of some property developers were no different from a Ponzi scheme. The losses caused now amount to trillions of yuan (hundreds of billions of U.S. dollars), bringing pain to countless families.

Pan concluded that while judicial authorities have identified the specific wrongdoings of certain developers, the crisis is the combined result of systemic, financial, fiscal, corporate, and social factors. He noted that China’s property market has been declining for 47 consecutive months, and that restoring confidence — built on integrity — is now the most critical task.

Pan, 62, relocated to the United States in 2014 after selling off large amounts of assets. The IP address of his post was traced to the U.S., though he has previously stated he retains Chinese citizenship.

Source: Central News Agency (Taiwan), April 17, 2026
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/202604170043.aspx

China and Turkmenistan Strengthen Ties Across Energy, Trade, and Culture

China and Turkmenistan signed a series of bilateral agreements during the seventh session of their intergovernmental cooperation committee, covering natural gas, artificial intelligence, and transportation and logistics. The Turkmen delegation was led by Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Rashid Meredov, while Chinese Vice Premier Ding Xuexiang headed the Chinese side. The meetings took place during Ding’s April 15–17 visit to Turkmenistan.

Both sides reaffirmed the strategic importance of their long-standing cooperation in the natural gas sector, particularly the operation of the China-Turkmenistan gas pipeline, and highlighted the significance of continued development of the Galkynysh gas field. Ding’s visit included attending the launch ceremony for the fourth phase of the Galkynysh field’s development.

On transportation, the two countries expressed their intent to develop international routes connecting China-Turkmenistan-Caspian Sea-Europe and Turkmenistan-China-Southeast Asia, signaling ambitions to deepen Turkmenistan’s role as a transit hub between East and West.

Among the documents signed was a five-year China-Turkmenistan Government Cooperation Plan covering 2026 to 2030, along with an agreement for the two countries to establish cultural centers in each other’s territory. During the Chinese delegation’s visit, opening ceremonies were also held for Turkmenistan’s first Luban Workshop — a Chinese vocational training initiative — as well as the first phase of a Traditional Chinese Medicine center in the country.

The meetings reflect a broadening of bilateral relations beyond energy, with both nations moving toward deeper collaboration in infrastructure, technology, and people-to-people exchange.

Source: Sputnik News, April 17, 2026
https://sputniknews.cn/20260417/1070834704.html

China’s Patient Capital and Full Supply Chain Strategy in New Technology Investment

At the Data Fusion 2026 conference held in Moscow on April 8–9, Liu Zhiqiang, Executive President of Digital International Limited, outlined two defining characteristics of China’s approach to investing in emerging technologies.

The first is what Liu described as “patient capital.” He noted that China has sustained large-scale investments in critical sectors over periods of up to a decade, even when returns remained low. The semiconductor industry serves as a prime example, where the entire Chinese economy has maintained consistent, long-term commitment to the sector.

The second characteristic, which Liu emphasized as uniquely Chinese in its investment logic, is the focus on full industrial chain investment rather than backing isolated technologies. Rather than placing bets on individual technological breakthroughs, China invests across the entire supply chain ecosystem surrounding a given industry.

Liu illustrated this with an example from his own company, which operates in the robotics sector in the Greater Bay Area. He described a phenomenon known as the “45-minute supply chain circle,” where any robotics company in the region can source over 95% of the components it needs within a 45-minute radius.

“Investment in an emerging industry is not just about specific technologies,” Liu said, “but about building out the entire supply chain and industrial ecosystem.”

Together, these two traits — the willingness to absorb prolonged low returns and the commitment to cultivating complete industrial ecosystems — reflect a distinctly Chinese model of strategic technology investment that sets it apart from approaches seen elsewhere in the world.

Source: Sputnik News, April 9, 2026
https://sputniknews.cn/20260409/1070696062.html

Air China Suspends Beijing–Pyongyang Flights Again After Brief Resumption

Air China has once again suspended its direct flight route between Beijing and Pyongyang, the capital of North Korea, after briefly resuming operations for a single flight.

The route, which had been suspended for six years, resumed service on March 30. However, the inaugural flight carried only slightly more than 10 passengers. The service had been scheduled to operate once weekly, with ticket prices starting at 2,040 yuan (about US$300).

According to Yonhap News Agency, Air China has not provided a specific reason for the suspension or a timeline for resumption. The airline stated that the round-trip flight scheduled for April 6 has been canceled, while flights planned for April 13, 20, and 27 remain uncertain. Although May flights have appeared in the booking system, tickets are currently unavailable. April flights, initially listed as unavailable, have now been confirmed as canceled, and the resumption timeline remains unclear.

Some analysts suggest that, amid rising global oil prices, Air China may find it difficult to sustain the Beijing–Pyongyang route given limited demand. The earlier resumption was seen largely as symbolic, and the renewed suspension highlights the challenges of maintaining the service.

Source: Lianhe Zaobao, April 4, 2026
https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/china/story20260404-8841320

China’s Metro Boom Era Is Coming to an End

China’s rapid subway expansion era is drawing to a close, as local governments face mounting financial pressures and demographic headwinds — even in prosperous coastal cities.

A widely circulated article from the WeChat account “Urban Finance” highlights how several major cities have recently seen subway plans rejected or scaled back. Ningbo’s development authority stated the city lacks the ridership levels needed to qualify for a fourth phase of rail construction. Shenzhen’s proposed Metro Line 18 failed to receive national approval. And Guangzhou’s fourth phase of subway planning may be approved for only about 100 kilometers fewer than originally submitted — a reduction of over 60 percent.

The article notes that approval difficulties are no longer limited to smaller cities; even high-tier urban centers are finding it harder to get new lines greenlit. Behind the tightening standards lie two key forces: the collapse of the real estate sector has severely squeezed local government revenues and worsened debt problems, while slowing population growth has undermined the ridership case for new lines in many cities.

The financial toll is already visible. Shenzhen Metro, which intervened to bail out property developer Vanke Group, reported a loss of 33.46 billion yuan (approximately $4.6 billion USD) by the end of 2024 — more than it earned over the previous five years combined.

The broader fiscal picture reinforces the challenge. National land sale revenues fell to 4.15 trillion yuan (approximately $571 billion USD) in 2024, less than half the peak of 8.7 trillion yuan (approximately $1.2 trillion USD) reached in 2021.

China currently has over 40 cities with metro systems, including Shanghai and Beijing, both of which have surpassed 900 kilometers of operating lines. But the article argues the era of cities racing to build sprawling networks is effectively over. While new lines will continue opening in the coming decade, the spectacle of cities competing to submit hundred-kilometer expansion plans is unlikely to return.

Source: Central News Agency (Taiwan), April 13, 2026
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/202604130173.aspx

China’s Middle East Investments Face Growing Risks Amid Regional Conflict

As tensions surrounding Iran continue to simmer, China’s financial exposure in the Middle East is drawing increased scrutiny. U.S. President Donald Trump has claimed that China played a role in bringing Iran to the ceasefire negotiating table — a claim that has prompted analysts to take a closer look at Beijing’s strategic interests in the region.

According to research conducted by AidData, an institute based at the College of William & Mary, a public university in Virginia, China faces significant financial risk stemming from its infrastructure investments across six Middle Eastern nations. The institute examined financing provided by Chinese state-owned banks and other entities to infrastructure projects in six countries, including Qatar, Oman, Iran, and Israel.

The findings reveal a concerning picture: military strikes carried out by the United States, Israel, and Iran have already damaged three Chinese-financed facilities, while another 15 face substantial risk. In total, Chinese financing across these affected projects amounts to approximately $6.5 billion.

Against this backdrop, Trump’s assertion that China helped facilitate Iran’s participation in ceasefire talks has taken on added significance. Several experts believe China’s involvement in the diplomatic process is driven, at least in part, by a desire to prevent its geopolitical risks in the Middle East from escalating further. With billions of dollars tied up in regional infrastructure, Beijing has a clear material incentive to encourage stability and bring the parties to the negotiating table.

The situation underscores a broader dynamic: as China deepens its economic footprint in volatile regions through initiatives like the Belt and Road, it increasingly finds itself drawn into the geopolitical tensions those regions carry.

Source: NHK, April 14, 2026
https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/zh/news/20260414_ML07/

Suspected Chinese Underwater Device Discovered in Indonesia’s Lombok Strait

On April 6, an Indonesian fisherman discovered a strange, unidentified device while fishing near the entrance of the strategically important Lombok Strait. He brought it ashore and promptly reported it to the authorities.

Initial inspection indicated that the device is cylindrical, measuring approximately 3.7 meters in length and 70 centimeters in diameter, and equipped with tail fins. Notably, it bears the marking “CSIC” along with other simplified Chinese characters. CSIC refers to China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, a major state-owned enterprise involved in shipbuilding and defense technology development.

The Indonesian Navy stated that a team of experts will conduct a detailed technical assessment to determine the device’s origin, function, and any data it may contain.

The Lombok Strait, located between the Pacific and Indian Oceans, is one of the few deep-water channels suitable for submarine transit during military operations and is closely monitored by the United States and Australia. The discovery of this suspected Chinese unmanned underwater vehicle near the strait has raised concerns within the Indonesian government and the international community, amid fears that China may be conducting intelligence-gathering activities in this strategically significant area.

Source: Epoch Times, April 8, 2026
https://www.epochtimes.com/gb/26/4/8/n14737087.htm