The article highlights China’s ongoing population decline, reporting that official data show the country’s population fell by 3.39 million in 2025, with just 7.92 million births — the lowest since modern record-keeping and comparable to levels seen during the Qing dynasty. China has now experienced four consecutive years in which annual deaths exceeded births. The sharp decline in births is attributed to economic pressures, high living costs, expensive housing and education, workplace challenges, and insufficient social safety nets, all of which discourage young people from marrying or having children.
The commentary also examines the wider consequences of this demographic downturn, warning that the erosion of China’s “demographic dividend” could negatively impact economic growth, domestic consumption, the housing market, and public finances. It questions the accuracy of official population figures, citing alternative estimates suggesting China’s actual population may be well below the government’s reported 1.4489 billion — potentially under 1 billion — based on leaked data, cremation statistics, and independent demographic analyses. The article frames the population decline as part of a deeper crisis that could profoundly affect China’s long-term prospects.
Source: Epoch Times, January 21, 2026
https://www.epochtimes.com/gb/26/1/20/n14680260.htm