China Business News published an article in which Mei Xinyu, a scholar at the Research Institution of the Ministry of Commerce, asked two questions. What will the “currency flood” produced by the core country (the U.S.) bring to China? What effects and consequences will the “currency war” have?
The article said that currency depreciation and loosening of the currency supply is only the first stage of the currency war. The second stage of the currency war, when the core country re-tightens the currency policy, will create the real blow. Looking at a longer time frame, pressure from the export of inflation is not the biggest blow of the currency flood. The second stage of–currency re-tightening–will bring about massive reversal of capital flow and a debt crisis.
Source: China Business News, November 8, 2010