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Monthly Archives: January 2023 - 2. page

Following the U.S., the Netherlands and Japan to Take Action on Chinese Chip Industry

Popular Chinese online news site Redian recently republished a Bloomberg report indicating that the Netherlands and Japan, home to major suppliers of semiconductor manufacturing equipment, are about to join a Biden administration-led effort to limit exports of the technology to China. Export controls in the Netherlands and Japan could be finalized as soon as late January, according to people familiar with the matter. Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida and Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte discussed their plans with U.S. President Joe Biden at the White House earlier this month. “I am very confident that we will get there,” Rutte told Bloomberg in an interview on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. However, the Netherlands and Japan’s restrictions may not go as far as the U.S. restrictions do, which not only limit the export of U.S.-made machines but also prevent U.S. citizens from working with Chinese chipmakers. Even so, once all three countries take action, China may find itself even less able to acquire the technology or expertise needed to manufacture the most advanced semiconductors. A spokesperson for the White House National Security Council declined to comment. The U.S. Commerce Department rules are opposed by some U.S. semiconductor companies but supported by bipartisan lawmakers. China said Biden’s new chip tech curbs will hurt its economic recovery.

Source: Redian, January 19, 2023
https://redian.news/wxnews/231251

Briefings | | |   Geo-Strategic Trend Information/Technology

Economy: Chinese Researcher – People Should Work Throughout Their Entire Life

China’s aging problem has become severe. Dang Junwu, Deputy Director of the China Research Center on Aging, offered a solution that people should just keep working forever. According to Baidu, the China Research Center on Aging is the only national-level research institute specializing in the science of aging.

Dang said the following in a video: “We have entered an aging society. Once we are 60, we still have on average 27 years to live. How do we spend these 27 years? We should have the idea of ‘working throughout our entire life.’ (He who keeps working) does not want to simply enjoy a comfortable retirement; he actually takes pleasure in (working continuously ).”

Source: Aboluo Website, January 22, 2023
https://www.aboluowang.com/2023/0122/1857923.html

Hot Topics | | |   Economy/Resources Government/Politics

Global Times: Biden Administration Extends China Chip Export Restrictions to Macau

Global Times recently reported that the United States has further tightened export controls on Chinese chips and chip manufacturing equipment, and has further extended the restrictive policies imposed on Mainland China to Macau. The Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) of the U.S. Department of Commerce published an “interim final rule” in the Federal Register, saying that the control measures announced in October last year also apply to the Macau Special Administrative Region. The announcement claimed that the restricted exports of chips and chip manufacturing equipment may be transshipped from Macau to other places in Mainland China, so the new measures include Macau in the scope of export restrictions. After the implementation of the measure, U.S. companies will need to obtain a license to export to Macau. Last October, without any prior warning, the U.S. Department of Commerce imposed the most extensive restrictions on chip-related exports to China in history. In addition to prohibiting the export of advanced chips, technology and equipment, it also prohibits “Americans” from supporting the “development or production’ of advanced chips in Chinese companies without permission.”

Source: Global Times, January 18, 2023
https://world.huanqiu.com/article/4BLNDLEqFe3

Briefings | | |   Information/Technology US-China Relations

China’s New Energy Vehicle Growth Slowed after Subsidy Cancellation

Well-known Chinese news site Sina (NASDQ: SINA) recently reported that, according to the data just released by the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA), from January 1 to 15, the national new energy passenger car manufacturers wholesaled 187,000 units, a month-over-month decrease of 38 percent. The market retail sales reached 184,000 units, a month-over-month decrease of 33 percent. According to a report released by CPCA, on January 18, the growth of new energy vehicle sales has entered a bottleneck stage. After the discontinuation of the government’s new energy policy in 2023, sales growth will be a serious problem. At the same time, the prices of new energy models have increased too much in the early stage. Orders are decreasing and the price cuts of leading manufacturers such as Tesla have been aggressive, which has caused consumers to take a wait-and-see attitude. China’s new energy vehicle subsidies started in 2010. In that year, a total of 25 cities in three batches were selected to carry out demonstration and promotions of energy-saving and new energy vehicles. Since then, the industrialization process has started. In 2016, the subsidy policy entered the full application stage. Under the government subsidy policy dividends, the new energy vehicle market has achieved rapid development. Recently, Tesla China began to cut prices, which disrupted the market rhythm to a certain extent. After Tesla announced the price cuts, the number of new orders increased significantly, and the traffic at Tesla stores in many regions of the country increased significantly too. Some customers who originally planned to order other brands even cancelled their orders and turned to Tesla.

Source: Sina, January 20, 2023
https://finance.sina.com.cn/chanjing/cyxw/2023-01-20/doc-imyauhaw5442320.shtml

Briefings | | |   Economy/Resources Information/Technology

Economy: China’s Three-Tiered Social Security Structure

On January 13, Yingtan City, Jiangxi Province, posted on social media that the county has finished the delivery of social security payments for January. 75,500 retirees of companies received 178.85 million yuan; 13,600 government retirees received 69.09 million yuan; and 137,800 other retirees (residents not working for the government or established companies) received 28.54 million yuan.

People were thus able to calculate the three-time payment structures: 5,080 yuan (US$749) per month for government employees, 2,368 yuan (US$349) per month for company retirees, and 207 yuan (US$31) per month for normal residents. This created a hot discussion on the Internet about the unfair social security treatment based on people’s classes.

Source: Epoch Times, January 16, 2023
https://www.epochtimes.com/gb/23/1/16/n13908521.htm

Hot Topics | | |   Economy/Resources

Economy: Banks in China Try to Stop Early Payoff of Mortgage Loans

The Caijing website published an article discussing the phenomenon that banks are creating hurdles to prevent people from paying off their mortgage principle earlier than is stated in their schedule.

The online App of a large state-owned bank told its users that early repayment cannot be handled online and that they need to make an appointment for an office visit. However, this type of appointment has a long waiting time. A customer called on January 3 and got an appointment on June 13. Some other banks also have people wait 3 months for an appointment.

Banks prefer customers to follow the mortgage payment schedule so that they can have the interest create a steady cash flow.

People, on the other hand, prefer to pay off their mortgage earlier because, nowadays, the normal financial investment options in China, such as bank’s saving accounts, mutual funds, hedge funds, etc. have a volatile and lower return than the mortgage interest rate. Thus people would rather pay off their mortgage principle.

Source: Caijing, January 19, 2023
https://estate.caijing.com.cn/20230119/4913830.shtml

Hot Topics | | |   Economy/Resources

China Signed a 25-Year Deal with Afghanistan in Oil Exploration

With the departure of the U.S. invaders, the Afghan people did not live the life they expected, and were still struggling under the poverty line. The Taliban government in Afghanistan has been in power for more than a year. The results have proved that it is basically impossible to rely solely on the power of Taliban to save the Afghan economy. Looking at the whole world, it can be said that there are very few countries that are able and willing to provide assistance to Afghanistan in terms of economic construction. Atta can only focus on the big eastern countries.

China Central Asia Petroleum and Natural Gas Co., Ltd. signed a 25-year oil exploration contract with the Afghan Taliban government. According to the contract, the Chinese company and the Afghan government will jointly explore oil in the Amu Darya Basin in northern Afghanistan, where the oil reserves are estimated to exceed 80 million barrels. Chinese companies have been approved to carry out mining operations in an area of 4,500 square kilometers across the three provinces of Sar Pul, Jowzjan, and Faryab. The daily oil production will be 1,000 tons in the initial stage, and will gradually increase to 20,000 tons later. It is reported that the Chinese company in charge of the cooperation project will invest a maximum of US$150 million per year in the first three years, and will increase to US$540 million per year after three years. If the 25-year contract period is successfully fulfilled, the cumulative investment of the Chinese side will exceed US$12 billion.

Source: qq.com, January 6, 2023

https://view.inews.qq.com/a/20230106A0633500?tbkt=G&uid=&refer=wx_hot

Briefings | | |   Geo-Strategic Trend

“He Who Created the Debt Owes the Debt” – China’s Finance Minister Told Local Governments

China’s local government debts have grown to an alarming high level. Liu Kun, China’s Minister of Finance expressed that local governments are responsible for resolving the issue and the central government will not help. During an interview with the China Central Television (CCTV), Liu said that “(we will) adhere to the principle of no bailout by the central government, and it should be ‘whose child it is who holds (the debt).” (In other words, he who created the debt owes the debt.)

Liu stressed the importance of regulating the local government’s financing platform companies. It has been a common practice for local governments to establish these companies to raise money to finance their spending. These companies usually use land (taken from the government) as collateral to get loans from banks, and later pay back the loans after the local governments sell the land. Now with the collapse of the real estate industry, local governments have a hard time selling land, and thus these companies are unable to pay back the bank loans.

Cheng Xiaonong, a Chinese economist living in the U.S. pointed out that all 31 provinces and municipalities in China had fiscal deficits in 2022. Now the central government is not willing to fill the hole. The result will be that banks will lose the money their customers deposited. In addition local governments must cut spending including salary reductions and layoffs.

According to Bloomberg, in the next five years, nearly 15 trillion yuan (US$2.2 trillion) of China’s local governments’ bonds will mature.

Last December, China’s Ministry of Finance issued 750 billion yuan (US$110 billion) in special national bonds for “economic reform, responding to major emergency events, and other expense items.”

Source: Radio Free Asia, January 9, 2023
https://www.rfa.org/mandarin/yataibaodao/jingmao/hcm1-01092023025727.html

Briefings | | |   @CS Economy/Resources