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Lack of Action: Wuhan Was Severely Behind in Coronavirus Testing from January to March

Epoch Times analyzed the official data that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) published on the coronavirus infection and virus testing in Wuhan from January to March. It showed that the Wuhan government was severely behind in testing to confirm infections. This is likely to indicate that many infections probably went unconfirmed (as suspected cases) or unidentified (as there was nothing recorded at all).

Epoch Times reported the following:

On January 27, Wuhan announced that 892 cases were newly confirmed on that day and a total of 1,590 cumulative cases were confirmed. On January 29, the Wuhan Health Commission website stated, “From January 23 to January 27, (we) have tested a total of 4,086 samples among which 712 were positive.” This leads to two questions:

  • Since China had very a rigid rule on confirming the coronavirus infection and the nucleic acid testing is a mandatory step, how did Wuhan confirm the 1,590 infection cases while only 712 samples tested positive?
  • How could Wuhan confirm 892 cases alone on January 27, which is even more than the 712 positive tests (from January 23 to January 27)?

On January 29, the Wuhan Health Commission website said, “Due to the high pathogenicity of the virus, researchers need to go through a gradual process to familiarize themselves with the testing process, so they will not test 2,000 samples per day from the beginning, but rather (they will start low and) gradually increase the number.” This means that though the government had the ability to test 2,000 samples, they did not do that many then.

On January 28, the Wuhan Health Commission website said, “Visits of fever patients have been increasing daily. The peak is over 15,000 people.” Even if Wuhan tested 2,000 samples, they were still be severely below the 15,000 fever patients.

On January 28, the Wuhan Health Commission website said, “From January 22 to January 27, a total of 75,221 people came to be checked for fever.” Wuhan tested only 4,086 samples during that period.

On March 3, the Wuhan Health Commission website said, “Nucleic acid tests were given to 18,127 people on the day of March 1. In the past three days, Wuhan conducted an average of 20,466 tests per day. (Regular) hospitals and modular hospitals mainly used the test for existing patients, not to confirm new cases.” This means it is likely that the government did more than 10,000 tests on confirmed patients and less than 10,000 tests were used to test new cases per day.

{Editor’s note: Epoch Times didn’t mention this point in its writing, but one may ask, if Wuhan did over 10,000 tests on confirmed patients each day and if it tested each patient twice in the duration of the treatment, that would mean the government would have tested 50,000 confirmed patients in 10 days, and 150,000 confirmed patients in 30 days.}

On March 26, the Wuhan Health Commission website said, “The whole city conducted nucleic acid tests on 9,844 people on March 24.” It is still less than 10,000 tests per day.

Therefore, the city has done less than 10,000 tests for new infection cases per day. Even if the city did 10,000 tests every day from January 23 to March 23, it would have only tested 600,000 people. For a city of 15 million people, that’s 4 percent of the population.

Thus, the testing is significantly insufficient.

Related postings on Chinascope:

Excerpt in Chinese:

1月27日,武汉市公布新增确诊892例,累计1590例。1月29日,武汉市卫健委网站称“1月23日至27日,已累计检测样本4086份,其中阳性712份”,换算检测确诊率17.43%,与武汉疫情爆发的实际情况严重不符。当时公布的累计确诊病例1590例,是累计检测阳性712份的2倍还多,武汉市到底用什么检测手段确诊病例的?

1月29日,武汉市卫健委网站也称,“由于该病毒的高致病性,科研人员要开展预试验有一个逐步熟悉的过程,因此检测样本不会一开始就每天2000份,会逐步增多”。这表明每天虽然可以提供2000份试剂,但实际做不到2000份检测。

1月23日至27日,累计检测“阳性712份”,甚至低于1月27日这一天公布的确诊人数892例。

1月28日,武汉市卫健委网站还称,“发热门诊就诊人数逐日增多,高峰时段超过1.5万人”,每天2000份试剂,如何检测1.5万出现明显症状的人?同日,武汉市卫健委网站还称“1月22日至27日,全市发热门诊共接诊发热病人75,221人”,当时累计检测4086份,更无法检测累计75,221发热病人。之后10天,武汉市不再公布检测数据。

3月3日,武汉市卫健委网站再次公布“3月1日……当日核酸检测数却高达18,127人。近3天来,武汉日均开展核酸检测20,466份……医院和方舱的核酸检测用于确诊的不多,主要是用于患者复查……出院患者必须经过2次连续核酸检测……超过一半的核酸检测样本来源于隔离点的疑似患者和密切接触者”。

当时中共正在努力制造疫情拐点,放大量病患出院回家。3月1日,武汉市检测能力提高到日均2万,但“超过一半”用于被隔离者的反复检测,真正用于确诊新病例的检测,每天还不足1万。2月21日公布的“核酸检测15,827人”,真正用于确诊新病例的检测,显然更少于每天1万。

直到3月26日,武汉市卫健委网站才再次显示“3月24日当日,全市核酸检测9844人”。

武汉市从1月23日封城,到3月24日公布的检测9844人,2个月内,查不到每天和累计的检测数字。根据武汉市卫健委网站偶尔公布的检测数据,武汉市实际用于识别、确诊新病例的检测,每天最多不超过1万人。暂且按照平均每天都能检测1万人估算,2个月的时间,累计最多检测了60万人,武汉市人口大约1千1百万,检测进度明显太慢。

Source: Epoch Times, April 27, 2020
https://www.epochtimes.com/gb/20/4/27/n12063906.htm