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Oxfam Report Highlights Hong Kong’s 20% Poverty Rate and Widening Wealth Gap

Oxfam is an international confederation of 21 independent affiliates “that fights inequality to end poverty and injustice.” In September, Oxfam Hong Kong released its ‘Hong Kong Poverty Report 2023,’ analyzing government data from 2019-2023. It found that the overall poverty rate in Hong Kong reached 20% in early 2023, affecting over 1.36 million people. Comparing pre- and post-pandemic median monthly incomes, the poorest households now earn 57.7 times less than the richest, up from a ratio of 34.3 in 2019. This shows that, while society is returning to normal in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, economic recovery remains polarized between high- and low-income families.

The median monthly income for the poorest 10% of households dropped by over one-third to HK$2,300. In contrast, the richest 10% of households grew by more than 10% to HK$132,600. The median household income for Hong Kong only increased 1.7%.

Nearly 210,000 employed Hongkongers still live in poverty, mostly working in retail and food services. Over 40% of Hong Kong’s unemployed live in poverty. Inactive individuals in poverty exceeded 1.1 million, increasing 10.6% since 2019.

Director Kalina Tsang of Oxfam Hong Kong urged the government to adjust the city’s minimum wage, support grassroots employment, aid subdivided flat households, collaborate with businesses and NGOs on social innovation, and improve childcare. She said that, following the pandemic, wealth inequality has seriously worsened and slow recovery among poor families is alarming. Oxfam believes Hong Kong is facing structural changes that make poverty more complex. It has called on the government to narrow the wealth gap and improve conditions for low-income workers post-pandemic.

Source: Oxfam Hong Kong, September 19, 2023
https://www.oxfam.org.hk/en/news-and-publication/gaping-wealth-gap-leaves-hong-kong-s-poorest-making-57-7-times-less-than-richest-while-struggling-to-recover-post-pandemic

Chinese Divorces Decline for 3rd Straight Year Amid Housing Slump

Lawyers specializing in divorce cases in China say the recent housing market downturn is making couples more hesitant to divorce. The number of divorces in China has declined for three straight years, with lawyers attributing this trend partly to difficulties dividing property amid unstable housing prices.

According to mainland-Chinese media, divorce lawyer Liu Shengfei says clients have recently been taking much longer to decide on divorce. Property division, especially regarding real estate, has always been tricky in divorce cases, but now couples are facing even greater uncertainties in splitting assets due to China’s housing slump.

When a divorce is filed in China, judges usually won’t grant the divorce if one spouse firmly opposes the divorce. Additionally, as of January 2021, China has implemented a 30-day waiting period for divorces. These factors have contributed to the country’s lower divorce numbers.

Liu explains the risks to clients upfront – a lawsuit may not end in divorce, and dividing assets can be time-consuming. If spouses dispute housing value or ownership stake, further legal proceedings may be needed.

Previously, with stable or rising prices, spouses faced smaller differences in dividing real estate assets. One would keep the home, compensating the other financially per their ownership share. But now, amid difficult sales and unstable prices, deciding who gets the house and at what value is much more contentious.

According to Liu, this year several clients have been unable to proceed with their divorce due to housing market factors. The housing downturn is creating uncertainties in asset division that discourage couples from splitting.

Source: Central News Agency (Taiwan), September 16, 2023
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/202309160200.aspx

Russia, China Bolster Energy Ties With $686M Joint Investment in Oil Transit Complex

Russia’s ONGK and China’s XY Group Industrial Development Co (轩辕集团实业开发有限公司) have agreed to jointly invest $686 million to build an oil transit complex in Russia’s Far East. This will boost Russian oil exports to China as Moscow expands infrastructure and shifts exports eastward, away from politically “unfriendly” Europe.

The financing deal was signed last week at an economic forum in Vladivostok. The complex will be built near a railway bridge crossing the Amur River, connecting Russian and Chinese border towns.

The $686 million complex will include a terminal able to store and load 5.8 million metric tons of crude oil yearly, plus oil and gas condensate blends. It will also have a warehouse for receiving, storing and distributing 1 million metric tons of petroleum products and fuel oil annually. Additionally, it will include facilities for transshipping 650,000 tons of liquefied petroleum gas per year.

China’s crude imports from Russia hit a record high in May, up 15.3% year-on-year. Meanwhile, Europe has cut Russian oil imports by 90% since the Ukraine war began.

Sanctioned by the West, Russia has turned to China as its strongest ally. China refuses to criticize Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and has increased economic cooperation, helping Russia offset losses from Western sanctions. Amid strengthening China-Russia economic ties, senior Chinese official Wang Yi visited Russia September 18-21 for strategic consultations, possibly to prepare for the leaders’ upcoming meeting.

Source: Voice of America, September 18, 2023
https://www.voachinese.com/a/russia-and-china-to-build-oil-transshipment-complex-for-686-mln-20230918/7272923.html

Scholar: China’s Gender Imbalance Leaves Over 30 Million Men Without Prospects for Marriage

China has had a persistently high sex ratio at birth (more males than females) for around 40 years. This gender imbalance has led to over 30 million Chinese men being unable to find wives, according to Professor Yuan Xin of Nankai University. By 2021, there were around 239 million single people aged over 15 in China, but Yuan says 15 is too young to define “single” and the real number is lower. However, the decades-long gender imbalance has created many “passive singles” – men who cannot find wives due to the shortage of women. From 1980-2021 around 35 million more males were born than females. This means at least 30 million men will not be able to marry locally. The competition for marriage is increasing, with rises in bride prices and marriage costs. The stability of marriages may also decline. Young single men may cause social instability and older single men will lack family support. Restoring a normal sex ratio at birth is very difficult now. The gender imbalance will persist throughout life cycles, so a coordinated national response is needed. It is inaccurate to say singles have higher spending power – they may just meet basic needs and not stimulate consumption. If desire is universally low, consumption will not rise. In summary, China’s long-term gender imbalance has created many involuntary single men, posing economic and social challenges that require an active policy response.

Source: Central News Agency (Taiwan), September 11, 2023
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/202309110243.aspx

Chinese Capital Sweeps Japan and U.S.’s ‘Friendship-Shoring’ Countries

Chinese companies are aggressively investing in and shifting production to countries like Vietnam, Thailand and Mexico – areas seen by Japan and the US as alternatives to rely on instead of China. This is part of Japan and the US’s efforts towards “friend-shoring”, moving supply chains to friendly nations, but China is gaining ground.

From January to June 2023, China’s direct investment in Vietnam rose 37% year-on-year to $2.7 billion, far exceeding other countries like South Korea. Chinese firms offer wages in Vietnam more than twice the average to attract workers, making it hard for Japanese companies to maintain production bases. Overall, China’s direct investment balance in major ASEAN countries reached $52 billion in 2021, surpassing the US.

In Thailand, China’s direct investment from January to June accounted for over 20% of the total, ranking first and 70% higher than Japan. Thailand is becoming a production base for Chinese EV companies, shaking Japan’s auto dominance there. Similarly in Mexico, Chinese auto parts companies are increasing investments, approaching the levels of the US in 2022.

This illustrates risks to supply chains as China dominates certain critical materials like gallium and nickel. For example, 70% of nickel smelters in Indonesia, which produces half of global nickel, are owned by Chinese firms. Japan is losing ground, with Sumitomo abandoning a planned refinery to be replaced by a Chinese company.

While Japan and the US aim to exclude China from material processing and parts production, China’s dominance means it could choke exports. This risks Japan and the US’s goals for EV production if China limits exports. To compete, Japan and the US need to adopt strategies like joint R&D with local nations rather than just focus on friend-shoring. Overall, China is gaining advantage over Japan and the US in critical supply chain investments across Asia and Latin America.

Source: Nikkei Chinese, September 11, 2023
https://zh.cn.nikkei.com/china/ccompany/53259-2023-09-11-08-42-52.html

Xi Jinping Orders Comprehensive Improvement of Troops’ Ability for War Preparation

Chinese Communist Party leader Xi Jinping inspected the 78th Army Group on September 8th, ordering improvements in war preparedness and ability to fight. Xi emphasized implementing the military strategic policy and innovations in management and operations for the new era’s strong army concept.

Xi was accompanied by Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia of the Central Military Commission. Xi said the 78th Army Group needs to enhance military struggle preparation, strengthen specialized training in difficult courses, build new high-quality combat capabilities, and integrate joint combat systems.

Xi also said Communist Party building in the troops must be strengthened to implement the spirit of the All-Military Party Construction Conference. This will increase creativity, cohesion and combat effectiveness of Party organizations. Grassroots troop education and high levels of centralized unity and stability are also crucial.

The second round of thematic education should be carefully organized to solve troop development bottlenecks, solve officer and soldier problems proactively, and create new progress in army group construction.

In July, Xi visited the Eastern Military Zone authorities, saying war and combat planning should be deepened, joint combat command systems strengthened, and combat-oriented training conducted to accelerate capability improvements for winning.

The Eastern Military Zone covers six provinces near the Taiwan Strait and East China Sea. Xi’s recent visits emphasize building up China’s military strength and readiness for conflict, particularly regarding Taiwan.

Source: Central News Agency (Taiwan), September 11, 2023
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/202309110135.aspx

China’s Plan to Criminalize ‘Hurting National Sentiment’ Draws Widespread Criticism Online

There has been overwhelming criticism online regarding China’s proposed revisions to its Public Security Administration Punishments Law. The revisions would penalize acts that “damage the spirit of the Chinese nation and hurt the feelings of the Chinese people.”

The draft revisions, introduced in late August, add several new punishable acts. They do not precisely define what constitutes “damaging the spirit of the Chinese nation.” The proposed revisions prescribe detention of 5-10 days or fines of 1000-3000 yuan for wearing, forcing others to wear, producing, or spreading items or remarks that have such a damaging effect to the national spirit. Harsher penalties apply in severe cases.

After China’s state media reported on the draft law, Chinese social media erupted with skepticism. Opinion leaders called on netizens to lobby the National People’s Congress opposing the legislation.

Shanghai Fudan University professor Qu Weiguo said there is currently no legal definition of “the spirit of the Chinese nation.” He worried that hastily writing such a law without clear boundaries could lead to confusion in enforcement, abuse of related charges, and vulgarization of the “spirit.” Qu questioned how the law could determine whether the “feelings of the Chinese nation” were hurt, since the subject is the entire nation rather than individual citizens. He said authorities should be prudent about codifying such crimes, which require solid evidence. Vague definitions could enable rampant abuse, with serious judicial consequences.

Source: Central News Agency (Taiwan), September 5, 2023
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/202309050404.aspx

China Declines Japan’s Proposed Mechanism to Assess Treated Nuclear Water

According to information obtained by Kyodo News, the Japanese government proposed that China join an IAEA international mechanism for objectively analyzing and assessing monitoring results related to radioactive material in seawater samples taken offshore from the Japanese Fukushima nuclear plant. Beijing declined to follow Japan’s suggestion. This highlights China’s uncompromising opposition to Japan’s release of treated nuclear waste water into the sea, making it difficult for Japan to enter science-based dialogue.

The international mechanism will compare and analyze monitoring results conducted separately by the Japanese government and the IAEA on seawater near Fukushima. Research institutions selected by an IAEA to participate in the organization include entities from the U.S., France, Switzerland, and South Korea. To ensure objectivity, Japan is not part of the mechanism.

According to sources familiar with Japan-China relations, Japan has repeatedly urged China through diplomatic channels to join the international mechanism, enabling China to make scientific judgments. China, questioning the mechanism’s effectiveness and independence, did not accept the proposal.

Regarding the treated water, Japan proposed that China and Japan establish a consultation mechanism composed of experts and officials from both countries. China has not yet responded to this proposal.

Source: Kyodo News, September 5, 2023
https://china.kyodonews.net/news/2023/09/28ac08ec5e50.html