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Geo-Strategic Trend - 11. page

China to Accelerate Cross-Border e-Commerce Activity

Beijing aims to increase activity by cross-border e-commerce merchants in an attempt to buoy China’s economy by expanding the country’s exports.

China’s Ministry of Commerce spokesperson He Yadong stated on May 30th that the Ministry is working to finalize a policy titled “Opinions on Expanding Cross-Border E-Commerce Exports and Promoting the Construction of Overseas Warehouses.” The policy’s goal will be to accelerate the development of cross-border e-commerce.

In the first quarter of 2024, China’s total import and export volume for cross-border e-commerce reached 577.6 billion yuan (US$80 billion), an increase of 9.6 percent. Of this volume, exports accounted for 448 billion yuan, a 14 percent increase. Preliminary statistics from various regions indicate that China has over 120,000 cross-border e-commerce entities, more than 1,000 cross-border e-commerce industrial parks, and over 2,500 overseas warehouses with over 30 million square meters of storage.

Source: Xinhua, May 31, 2024
http://www.xinhuanet.com/tech/20240531/1426a7a71be64b72a79ee7fa467ef159/c.html

Briefings | | |   Economy/Resources Geo-Strategic Trend

Xinhua Denounces Lai Ching-te’s Statement on “Three Chains”

Xinhua News Agency published an article suggesting that the “three chains” statement in the inaugural speech by Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te was a blatant attempt to “seek (Taiwanese) independence” and “sell Taiwan’s interests to the United States.” In his speech, Lai Ching-te said that Taiwan holds a “strategic position in the ‘first island chain'” and is a “highlight of the ‘world democratic chain'” as well as “a key part of the global democratic supply chain.”

The recent Xinhua article stated that the “island chain” is an anti-China concept used to “contain China.” According to the article, the concept of a “world democratic chain” is a joke, as Lai Ching-te is the person least qualified to talk about democracy. The “global democratic supply chain” will drive Taiwan’s economy to a dead end; supply chains have never been about democracy but are rather about efficiency.

The article went on to say that Lai’s “three chains” statement completely exposes Lai Ching-te’s evil intentions of “seeking independence by relying on external forces” and “using democracy to seek independence.” It reveals his sycophantic attitude, acting as a pawn for external forces and aligning with the so-called “democratic camp.” It shows Lai Ching-te’s willingness to sacrifice Taiwan’s interests for American hegemony.

Source: Xinhua, June 5, 2024
http://www.news.cn/tw/20240605/0af665bf39b4403fb5bd3d944b4693db/c.html

Briefings | | |   Geo-Strategic Trend US-China Relations

Guangming Daily: EU Commission Delays Decision on EV Tariffs, EU Motives Differ From US

Guangming Daily published an article analyzing why the E.U. has delayed its decisions regarding tariffs on Chinese new energy vehicles (electric vehicles). The decision was originally scheduled to be announced on June 5. The E.U. first announced an anti-subsidy investigation into Chinese new energy vehicles last September. The U.S. imposed a 100 percent tariff on Chinese electric vehicles in May.

The Guangming Daily article analyzed U.S.-based and E.U.-based media articles related to electric vehicle tariffs, saying that the U.S. and the E.U. have focused on the issue from different angles. Guangming Daily first analyzed reports on Chinese new energy vehicles by two E.U.-based media outlets, Euractiv and POLITICO Europe, finding that their reports from the past month used keywords such as “vehicles,” “sector,” “companies,” and “manufacturing.” In contrast, U.S. media reports on the same topic emphasize keywords related to diplomatic relations such as “tensions,” “relations,” “conflict,” and “politics.”

According to Guangming Daily, the U.S. is particularly concerned with future leadership, while Europe is purely for interests and ideas. In reports on Chinese new energy vehicles, the most frequently co-occurring words in U.S. media are “leadership,” “dominance,” and “foreign.” In European media, the words most frequently associated with “competition” are “fairness,” “domestic,” and “autonomy.”

The article additionally commented that Europe needs to support its domestic enterprises, which in turn relies on the assistance of the Chinese market and Chinese investment. For Europe’s large automobile manufacturers, China remains their largest single market, with Germany being a typical example. Moreover, Chinese new energy vehicle companies establishing factories in Germany have introduced new technological collaborations in areas such as intelligent battery swapping, smart transportation, and autonomous driving. Automotive manufacturers in France, Spain, and other EU countries are also replicating the “German model” by cooperating with China.

Source: Guangming, June 5, 2024
https://world.gmw.cn/2024-06/05/content_37363429.htm

Briefings | | |   Economy/Resources Geo-Strategic Trend US-China Relations

HKET: China’s Investments in Europe Hit 13-year Low

Hong Kong Economic Times (HKET), the leading financial daily in Hong Kong, recently reported that China’s foreign direct investment (FDI) in Europe last year was only 6.8 billion euros, 300 million euros less than the previous year and the lowest figure seen since 2010.

The peak of China’s FDI in Europe (the 27 EU countries and UK) was 47.5 billion euros in 2016. Direct investments have been on the decline since then. Before the COVID-19 pandemic, Chinese FDI numbers reached 14.2 billion euros, and last year’s 6.8 billion euros in FDI were only about 14 percent of the peak value from 2016.

In the past, Chinese foreign direct investment was concentrated in the UK, France and Germany, referred to in China as “the Big Three.” In the past two years, however, Hungary has adopted a pro-China stance while Chinese direct investment in Hungary has substantially increased. Hungary became the largest destination of Chinese FDI funds last year, accounting for 44.1 percent of Chinese foreign direct investment.

Electric vehicles and their supply chains have become the most important Chinese foreign direct investments, accounting for 41 percent of China’s total FDI in Europe in 2022 and rising to 69 percent in 2023.

The decline in China’s direct investment in Europe will be partially counteracted by electric vehicle-related investment, though any near-term rebound in FDI may be insignificant. Affected by factors such as the weakening finances of Chinese companies, increased controls on Chinese investments by European countries, and tensions in China-EU trade relations, Chinese foreign direct investment in Europe is expected to continue to be sluggish.

Source: HKET, June 6, 2024
https://tinyurl.com/2s37eers

Briefings | | |   Geo-Strategic Trend

Alibaba Refuses to Accept Russian Rubles, No Longer Supplies Russia

Well-known Chinese news site NetEase (NASDAQ: NTES) recently reported on a recent statement by Alibaba that the company now refuses to accept payments in Russian rubles. The company said it would no longer supply goods to Russia.

NetEase referred to a report published by Russian business newspaper Kommersant for this latest move by Alibaba, the owner of the online shopping portal AliExpress. Russian economists linked the decision to fears of secondary U.S. sanctions. Alibaba is listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and uses the U.S. dollar settlement system. The company does not want to lose access to the European and American markets because of its involvement with Russia.

In a similar case not long ago, Chinese security monitoring giant Hikvision withdrew from the Russian market without warning. It did not provide any form of communication or explanation to customers and partners. It not only closed all offices and factories in Russia, but also closed all Russian official websites and exited Russian social networks. Phone calls to the company’s Russian phone numbers went unanswered as well. The news was widely reported in China. As of June 8, however, nearly all of the references to this story were removed from China’s domestic internet.

Sources:
(1) NetEase, May 30, 2024
https://www.163.com/dy/article/J3FLM0JS05566UP9.html

(2) Weibo, June 5, 2024 (Link still alive as of June 8, 2024)
https://weibo.com/ttarticle/p/show?id=2309405042201812926578

Briefings | | |   Geo-Strategic Trend

Mingpao: Police Deployed in Causeway Bay and Some Protesters Removed for Mourning June 4th

Mingpao, one of the primary Hong Kong newspapers, reported on June 4 that, on the day of the 35th anniversary of the June 4th Tiananmen Square Massacre, a large number of Hong Kong police officers were deployed in Causeway Bay, an energetic shopping and cultural district in Hong Kong.

Many people were stopped and checked, and some protesters were removed by the police. In the evening, police dispatched armored vehicles to patrol Causeway Bay, and Deputy Commissioner of Police (National Security) Kan Kai-yan also visited Victoria Park to talk with the police officers on duty.

Before the COVID-19 pandemic, Victoria Park saw hundreds of thousands of local residents gathering annually to remember the June 4th Massacre. The Consuls General of the Netherlands and Germany in Hong Kong and the Acting Director of the European Union Office in Hong Kong and Macao arrived at Victoria Park at about 7:30 pm, just to “take a walk.” The three stayed for about ten minutes and then left. During this period, they did not respond to questions from the media. Kenichi Okada, the Japanese Consul General in Hong Kong, was also seen entering Victoria Park alone at around 8pm.

Source: Mingpao, June 4, 2024
https://news.mingpao.com/ins/%E6%B8%AF%E8%81%9E/article/20240604/s00001/1717487598647

Briefings | | |   Geo-Strategic Trend Government/Politics

Georgia Bets on China for Black Sea Port, Jeopardizing Ties to the West

The Georgian government announced that a Chinese consortium will build a strategic port on Georgia’s Black Sea coast, a move that could strain Georgia’s relations with the West. The decision comes just after Georgia’s parliament attempted to pass a controversial “foreign agents” law.

The Chinese consortium that will build the port includes Chinese state-owned enterprises with a history of international controversies, ranging from fraud allegations in the Philippines to bribery in Bangladesh. Two of the companies in the consortium have even been banned from participating in World Bank-funded construction projects. This choice by the Georgian government could further escalate tensions between Georgia and the West.

The port project in Anaklia, a small Black Sea resort town, is seen as a critical part of the “Middle Corridor,” a global trade network between Europe and Asia. Critics worry that giving China control over this key port would allow them to dominate a crucial trade route.

The main company in the Chinese port-building consortium is the China Communications Construction Company (CCCC), a key player in China’s Belt and Road Initiative. Despite its global presence, CCCC faces scrutiny for its overseas practices. These include fraud scandals in the Philippines and contract termination controversies in Tanzania.

The Georgian port deal marks the country’s second attempt to build a deep-sea port in Anaklia; a previous attempt led by Georgia’s TBC Bank and the U.S. firm Conti International was canceled in 2020 amid political controversies.

Some see the timing of the Georgian government’s decision regarding port construction as a message about Georgia’s geopolitical leanings. The move comes at a time when Georgia’s relationship with the West is already strained due to the Georgian “foreign agents” law. According to Wikipedia, the foreign agents law “would require non-governmental organizations (NGOs) to register as foreign agents or ‘organizations carrying the interests of a foreign power’ and disclose the sources of their income if the funds they receive from abroad amount to more than 20% of their total revenue.”

Sources:

Voice of America, June 4, 2024
https://www.voachinese.com/a/china-georgia-controversial-blacksea-project/7641737.html

Wikipedia, Retrieved Jun 6, 2024
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023%E2%80%932024_Georgian_protests

Briefings | | |   Geo-Strategic Trend

To Pressure Taiwan, China Suspends Tariff Concessions on 134 Taiwanese Products

On May 31, the Customs Tariff Commission of China’s State Council announced the suspension of tariff concessions on the second batch of products listed under the “Cross-Strait Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement.” Starting from June 15, preferential tariff rates under the agreement will no longer apply to 134 lines of products exported from Taiwan to China. These include certain auto parts, textiles, and petrochemical products.

Scholars believe this move is part of Beijing’s continued efforts to exert economic pressure on Taiwan. At the same time, most of the affected products are those for which China has overcapacity, meaning that Beijing can afford to reduce Taiwanese imports of those products. The move could be detrimental to cross-strait relations and may accelerate Taiwan’s decoupling from China.

Source: VOA, June 1, 2024
https://www.voachinese.com/a/china-suspends-ecfa-tariff-concessions-on-another-134-items-for-taiwan-20240531/7637639.html

Briefings | | |   @CS Economy/Resources Geo-Strategic Trend