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Geo-Strategic Trend - 15. page

Lianhe Zaobao: China Attempts Arctic Shipping Shortcut

Singapore’s primary Chinese language newspaper Lianhe Zaobao recently reported that China is using shipping routes between Russia and the Arctic to transport goods, making inroads into the Arctic shipping route. Global shipping giants have reiterated their commitment to stay away from the Arctic shipping route, pointing out that although the route is shorter, it is unsafe and environmentally unfriendly.

Most China-Europe container ships choose to head south, entering the Mediterranean via the Red Sea and the Suez Canal. With tensions in the Red Sea escalating due to Houthi rebels, cargo ships are often diverted around South Africa. However, the Istanbul Bridge ship leaving on September 27 from China’s Ningbo Zhoushan Port chose to head north, entering Europe via the Northeast Passage of the Arctic. The Arctic route, which runs close to Russian territorial waters, can cut the Asia-Europe journey in half, compared to the 40-day trip via South Africa.

China is implementing policies to integrate the Northeast Passage into Europe’s and even the world’s transportation system. Unlike other routes such as the one through the Strait of Malacca, 90 percent of the Arctic route’s Northeast Passage passes through Russia. With Sino-Russian relations continuing to develop at a high level, the route faces fewer geopolitical risks.

Yet this route has been opposed by several global shipping giants. Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) stated that increased Arctic shipping could impact the region’s fragile ecosystems and ice caps, adding that “the Northern Sea Route remains underdeveloped for commercial shipping because safe navigation and passage are not yet guaranteed.” Maersk, CMA CGM, and Hapag-Lloyd also stated they would not consider using the route. In 2019, they pledged to avoid the route, which stretches over 3,000 nautical miles along Russia’s Arctic coast. Of the top five global shipping companies, only China’s COSCO Shipping did not make this commitment.

Russia has been promoting the use of the route to transport oil and gas to Asian markets, but ships must obtain Moscow’s approval to pass through. The route is covered with ice in winter and may also contain floating ice in warmer seasons. It can only be navigated by specialized vessels, which increases the risk of accidents.

Source: Lianhe Zaobao, October 3, 2025
https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/china/story20251003-7612141

Chinese Automakers Shift to Partnership Model for European Production Amid EU Tariffs

As the European Union imposes steep tariffs on Chinese-made electric vehicles, Chinese automakers are accelerating their production in Europe this year, though their approach has shifted significantly. Rather than building their own factories, many companies are now choosing to partner with European firms and utilize existing European manufacturing facilities.

The EU’s anti-subsidy tariffs on Chinese electric vehicle imports last year substantially increased costs for Chinese EVs. Given the high expenses and regulatory risks of exporting to Europe, establishing local production lines has become essential for Chinese new energy vehicle makers. Recent announcements reveal this partnership trend: Leapmotor is working with its investor and joint venture partner Stellantis to produce vehicles at a Spanish factory starting in 2026, while Xpeng has partnered with European automotive giant Magna to manufacture its G6 and G9 models at an Austrian facility this year. Reports suggest GAC Group is also exploring contract manufacturing with Magna.

With localized production support, Xpeng will simultaneously enter five European markets, including Austria in October and Switzerland through collaboration with Hedin Group, one of Europe’s largest automotive dealers. Hedin has partnered with BYD since 2022 for sales in Sweden and Germany, and last August sold its German subsidiary, including multiple dealerships, to BYD.

Learning from Tesla’s troubled experience building its German factory, most Chinese automakers now have heightened risk awareness and are exploring lower-cost entry methods beyond independent factory construction. As more Chinese automakers establish European production, auto parts suppliers are also accelerating localization and favoring partnerships with European firms. Battery giant CATL now operates three European production bases—self-invested facilities in Germany and Hungary, plus a Spanish factory under construction in partnership with Stellantis.

European consumers have mixed reactions: some find Chinese vehicles’ technological features attractive, while others remain cautious or refuse to purchase them, preferring to support the European automotive industry during this sensitive period.

Source: Central News Agency (Taiwan), October 3, 2025
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/202510030203.aspx

Chosun Chinese: Chinese Shipyards Missed All Global LNG Ship Orders This Year

South Korea’s largest newspaper Chosun recently reported in its Chinese Edition that, of the sixteen liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers ordered globally this year, fourteen were taken by South Korean shipyards, while Chinese shipyards failed to secure any orders. The remaining two ships were won by the United States, and these orders will be manufactured by the Philadelphia Shipyard acquired by South Korean Hanwha last year.

Following the relatively easy-to-build container ships and bulk carriers, China has begun to undertake a large number of orders for LNG carriers, which require higher technical standards. Previously, the LNG carrier newbuilding market was dominated by South Korea and China. In 2022, South Korea held a 67.5 percent share of the LNG carrier newbuilding market (115 ships), while China held a 32.5 percent share (56 ships). Last year, this gap narrowed, with South Korea holding 57.2 percent (48 ships) and China 42.8 percent (28 ships). China’s Hudong-Zhonghua Shipbuilding received orders for 24 LNG carriers last year, making it the world’s largest shipyard by orders for LNG carriers.

However, with the USTR’s (United States Trade Representative) port restrictions and Qatar’s order book cooling, China’s LNG carrier orders have been halted. Starting from the 14th of next month, Chinese shipping companies or shipping companies operating Chinese ships will be charged a fee of US$50 per ton based on net tonnage (the volume actually used to transport goods or passengers) when entering the United States. Also, frequent breakdowns of Chinese ships have had an impact on China’s reputation.

Source: Chosun Chinese, September 29, 2025
https://cnnews.chosun.com/client/news/viw.asp?nNewsNumb=20250963604&cate=&mcate=

Satellite Images Show Chinese Military Built “Mock Presidential Office” and “Mock Judicial Yuan” for Taiwan Invasion Drills

Japan’s Sankei Shimbun reports that satellite imagery obtained by the National Institute for Fundamental Studies of National Problems (Kokki Ken) reveals that China’s military has recently constructed a “mock Judicial Yuan” (Supreme Court) at its Zhurihe training base in Inner Mongolia.

Zhurihe, China’s largest military training base, already contains replicas of several Taiwanese government buildings, including a “mock Presidential Office” and a “mock Ministry of Foreign Affairs.” China Central Television (CCTV) previously broadcast footage of the mock Presidential Office during a 2015 live-fire Army exercise.

The “mock Presidential Office” and “mock Judicial Yuan” are connected by a 280-meter underground tunnel, reportedly designed to simulate a “decapitation strike” scenario targeting Taiwan’s leadership. Analysts suggest that these structures serve as tools not only for military training but also for psychological warfare – intended to project Beijing’s readiness and intimidate Taiwan.

Source: Radio France International, October 2, 2025
https://www.rfi.fr/cn/中国/20251002-日智库曝-中共在内蒙古扩建模拟台湾总统府-司法院建筑以强化斩首作战演练

Xinhua: Putin Responds to Trump’s “Paper Tiger” Remark, Says NATO Doesn’t Even Qualify as One

Chinese state run Xinhua News Agency reported the following on October 3:

Russian President Vladimir Putin, speaking at the 22nd annual meeting of the Valdai International Discussion Club in Sochi on October 2, responded to U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent claim that Russia is a “paper tiger.” Putin remarked that even if Russia were a “paper tiger,” it would be a tough one, adding pointedly that NATO “doesn’t even qualify as a paper tiger.” He said, “Well if we are fighting with the entire NATO bloc, we are moving, advancing, and we feel confident, and we are a ‘paper tiger’, then what is NATO itself?”

Trump made his “paper tiger” remark late September, suggesting that Russia’s prolonged war in Ukraine made it appear weak. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov countered that Russia was not a “paper tiger,” but a “real bear.” Although Trump later walked back his comment, saying he would stop calling anyone a “paper tiger,” he repeated the phrase days later while addressing U.S. military officers.

At the same event, Putin dismissed Western accusations that Russia was behind recent sightings of unidentified drones over Danish airspace, calling them a NATO ploy to “stoke tensions and push for higher defense spending.” He criticized the alliance for “hysterically” warning of conflict while supplying Ukraine with intelligence, weapons, and training. “I just want to say: Cool down, sleep calmly, and take care of your own problems,” Putin said.

Source: Xinhua, October 3, 2025
http://www.news.cn/world/20251003/047831289d014fd6a9f9eed247bc7147/c.html

China Joins Andean Community as Observer, Marking a New Chapter in Regional Cooperation

On September 30, the 31st regular meeting of the Andean Community (CAN) Council of Foreign Ministers was held in Bogotá, Colombia. During the session, member states unanimously approved a resolution to officially admit China as an observer country to the organization. This marks a significant milestone in China’s engagement with Latin American regional institutions.

Russian media outlet Sputnik News reported that CAN member nations praised China’s “consistent role in global governance and international affairs,” emphasizing that its observer status “carries historical importance.” They expressed hope that this development would “foster deeper cooperation, support regional economic integration, and promote sustainable development, while safeguarding the shared interests of developing countries.”

Zhang Liping, the chargé d’affaires at the Chinese Embassy in Colombia, attended the meeting as China’s representative. In his remarks, Zhang commended CAN’s decision and reaffirmed China’s commitment to working with Latin American partners to implement the “Five Major Projects” of the China-Latin America community with a shared future. He highlighted the potential for new bilateral and multilateral collaborations that would benefit both sides.

During the meeting, Ecuador assumed the rotating presidency of the CAN from Colombia for a one-year term.

Established in May 1969, the Andean Community is a key regional economic integration organization in Latin America. Headquartered in Lima, Peru, it currently comprises four member states: Peru, Ecuador, Colombia, and Bolivia. Chile and Venezuela withdrew from the organization in 1976 and 2006, respectively. The CAN aims to harness regional resources, promote balanced and coordinated development among its members, eliminate tariff barriers, and accelerate the formation of a common market to advance economic integration.

Source: Sputnik News, October 1, 2025
https://sputniknews.cn/20251001/1067684092.html

Lianhe Zaobao: Taiwan Restricts Chip Exports to South Africa

Singapore’s primary Chinese language newspaper Lianhe Zaobao recently reported that Taiwan’s Ministry of Economic Affairs stated that the South African government has repeatedly ignored Taiwan’s calls and cooperated with China to pressure the Taiwan representative mission to rename, relocate, and downgrade, in addition to delaying visa issuance to Taiwanese official personnel, posing a threat to Taiwan’s national security and public security. Therefore, the Ministry announced the implementation of export controls on 47 products including chips exported to South Africa.

The announcement stipulates that exports of these 47 items to South Africa require prior approval from the Ministry of Economic Affairs, and that “license issuance will be suspended until the aforementioned hazards disappear.” An unnamed Taiwanese official confirmed that a temporary, complete export ban will be implemented with a 60-day notice period, with implementation expected as early as the end of November. Exports will still be permitted during the notice period. The official stated that the export suspension is a strong warning, and the announcement includes semiconductors, chips, memory, solar cells, and modules.

Taiwan’s TSMC produces most of the world’s most advanced chips, which are crucial for cars, artificial intelligence and industrial production. Automotive-grade chips are critical to South Africa’s strategic automobile industry roadmap.

In response, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that the Taiwan authorities’ relevant measures will not have any substantial impact on related industries in South Africa, but will only backfire.

However, China’s localization rate of domestic automotive-grade chips is currently about 15 percent. China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology requires that the proportion of Chinese domestic procurement of automotive-grade chips reach 20-25 percent by 2025.

Sources:
1. Lianhe Zaobao, September 24, 2025
https://www.zaobao.com.sg/realtime/china/story20250924-7563226
2. Lianhe Zaobao, September 24, 2025
https://www.zaobao.com.sg/realtime/china/story20250924-7560993

Luban Workshop: The CCP’s New Global Expansion Tool After the Confucius Institute

Following the global rollout of Confucius Institutes, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has launched another initiative to expand its influence abroad: the Luban Workshop, named after the ancient Chinese craftsman Lu Ban. Branded as an international cooperation project, it is officially described as a platform to share China’s vocational education expertise with the world. The first Luban Workshop was established in Thailand in 2016 by Tianjin Bohai Vocational Technical College.

Since then, China has set up 36 Luban Workshops in 30 countries across Asia, Africa, and Europe, spanning regions such as Central Asia, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), and ASEAN. Tianjin alone is responsible for 25 workshops in 23 countries, including 10 in SCO states. Recent developments include:

  • August 30, 2025: Kazakhstan inaugurated its second and third Luban Workshops, following its first in 2023.
  • August 31 – September 1, 2025: During the SCO Summit, China organized visits for foreign representatives and media to a Luban Workshop in Tianjin.
  • Early September 2025: Nepal opened its first Luban Workshop in Lalitpur, Kathmandu Valley, combining Chinese-language instruction with training in electric power technologies to cultivate local technical and managerial talent.

The workshops serve multiple purposes: they train local workers to staff Chinese-built infrastructure projects such as high-speed railways and smart logistics systems, while also functioning as a vehicle for cultural and people-to-people exchange. Ultimately, the CCP views the Luban Workshop as both a vocational training platform and a soft-power instrument, seeking to strengthen its branding and expand China’s global influence.

Sources:
1. People’s Daily, September 8, 2025
https://paper.people.com.cn/rmrbhwb/pc/content/202509/08/content_30103645.html
2. People’s Daily, September 5, 2025
http://edu.people.com.cn/BIG5/n1/2025/0905/c1006-40557449.html