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Geo-Strategic Trend - 14. page

Russia and North Korea Reportedly Plan Five-Year Military Cooperation Framework

Russia and North Korea are reportedly preparing a rare five-year military cooperation plan that could significantly accelerate Pyongyang’s military modernization in areas such as conventional weapons, satellites, nuclear-powered submarines, and next-generation missile systems. According to reporting cited by Hong Kong’s South China Morning Post, based on Russia’s TASS, Russian Defense Minister Andrey Belousov stated during an April 26 meeting in Pyongyang with Kim Jong Un that Moscow is prepared to sign a long-term military cooperation plan covering 2027 to 2031. He described bilateral ties as having reached an “unprecedentedly high level.”

Analysts note that Russia rarely establishes medium- to long-term military cooperation frameworks with foreign countries, typically reserving such arrangements for key strategic partners such as Belarus and India. This has led to assessments that North Korea may be entering a higher tier within Russia’s strategic framework. The reported initiative follows North Korea’s involvement in the Russia–Ukraine war since 2024, with estimation that Pyongyang has deployed 15,000 troops in support of Russian operations.

Experts cited in the report indicate that Russia could assist North Korea in enhancing capabilities in nuclear submarine technology, satellite systems, drone and missile production, as well as joint artillery and ammunition manufacturing. Some analysts also suggest that deepening Russia–North Korea military ties could raise concerns in Beijing, as closer alignment between Moscow and Pyongyang may reduce China’s influence over developments on the Korean Peninsula.

Source: Aboluo, May 11, 2026
https://www.aboluowang.com/2026/0511/2382326.html

China’s Foreign Ministry: China Willing to Work with Russia to Promote a More Just and Equitable Global Governance System

Xinhua News Agency reported that at a regular press briefing on May 11, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun responded to remarks by Vladimir Putin following the May 9 Victory Day celebrations. Putin had stated that Russia–China strategic coordination has become a key pillar in preventing conflict and maintaining global strategic stability.

Guo said that China and Russia are comprehensive strategic partners of coordination in the new era. He noted that, in recent years, under the strategic guidance of Xi Jinping and Putin, bilateral relations have maintained a high level of development and contributed stability to an increasingly uncertain global environment.

He added: “China is willing to work with Russia to continue to uphold the spirit of permanent good-neighborliness and friendship, comprehensive strategic coordination, and mutually beneficial and win-win cooperation, continuously strengthen cooperation in various fields, and promote the building of a more just and equitable global governance system.”

Source: Xinhua, May 11, 2026
https://www.xinhuanet.com/20260511/3d3844f7f0d14190bf7fd06a9a23eb35/c.html

China Rejects Taiwan’s Participation in World Health Assembly

The 79th World Health Assembly is set to open on May 18, but Taiwan has not received an invitation to attend. At a regular press briefing on May 11, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun stated that China has blocked Taiwan’s participation in the assembly.

Guo said: “The Taiwan region of China, without the consent of the central government, has no basis, reason, or right to participate in the World Health Assembly. The Democratic Progressive Party authorities in Taiwan stubbornly adhere to a ‘Taiwan independence’ separatist stance, which has led to the loss of the political foundation for the Taiwan region’s participation in the World Health Assembly. In order to uphold the One China principle and safeguard the seriousness and authority of relevant resolutions of the United Nations General Assembly and the World Health Assembly, China has decided not to agree to the Taiwan region’s participation in this year’s World Health Assembly.”

Sources: Peopl’s Daily, May 11, 2026
https://world.people.com.cn/n1/2026/0511/c1002-40717722.html

Report: China Is Using Hong Kong Entities to Facilitate Iran’s Sanctions Evasion, Arms Procurement, and Financial Support

The Committee for Freedom in Hong Kong Foundation on May 11 released a report titled “Oil, Arms, and Cash: How Hong Kong Fuels the Iranian Regime,” stating that Hong Kong has become a key enabler of Iran’s activities. The report says Hong Kong-linked entities have helped Iran evade sanctions, finance proxy groups, procure weapons components, and expand surveillance systems. It highlights the role of Hong Kong-registered vessels in transporting Iranian oil—much of it sold to China—and the use of Hong Kong’s financial system for laundering proceeds. It also notes that major banks, including HSBC and Standard Chartered, have previously paid substantial fines for violating Iran-related restrictions.

Since 2020, at least 95 Hong Kong entities have been sanctioned by the U.S. Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) for assisting Iranian oil trade and sanctions evasion. In July 2025, OFAC sanctioned 17 Hong Kong companies linked to an Iranian shadow banking network. In September 2025, another network involving Hong Kong shell companies was designated for laundering over $100 million in cryptocurrency tied to Iranian oil revenues, some of which allegedly funded Hezbollah and other proxy groups. The U.S. Treasury’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network estimated that $4.8 billion in related transactions flowed through Hong Kong-linked accounts in 2024.

The report states that Hong Kong companies have acted as key transshipment hubs for dual-use electronics, drone engines, missile components, and centrifuge equipment tied to Iran’s weapons programs. U.S. indictments and sanctions filings cited in the report indicate that Hong Kong-based procurement networks supplied entities affiliated with Iran’s Ministry of Defense, including those involved in drones, radar systems, and ballistic missiles. Evidence from conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East has identified Western-made components, routed through Hong Kong, in Iranian Shahed and Mohajer drones.

The report also highlights the role of Chinese technology firms in supporting Iran’s surveillance capabilities. It states that Huawei Technologies used its Hong Kong subsidiary Skycom Tech to provide telecommunications and surveillance equipment to Iran, which U.S. authorities allege was used to monitor protesters. It adds that other Chinese firms, including ZTE, Hikvision, and Dahua Technology, have supplied surveillance technologies such as cameras, facial recognition systems, and internet monitoring tools used by the Iranian government.

Source: Epoch Times, May 12, 2026
https://www.epochtimes.com/gb/26/5/11/n14762232.htm

Chinese State Media Confirms Technical Support to Pakistan During 2025 India–Pakistan Conflict

China’s state broadcaster China Central Television (CCTV) has for the first time confirmed that Chinese personnel were deployed to support Pakistan during the 2025 India–Pakistan conflict. In a May 7 military program, engineers from the Aviation Industry Corporation (AVIC) of China said they were sent to the front line to provide technical and logistical assistance to Pakistani forces.

The conflict followed an April 22, 2025 terrorist attack in Pahalgam, Jammu and Kashmir, that killed 26 people. India launched “Operation Sindoor,” striking targets in Pakistan and Pakistan-administered Kashmir, leading to four days of fighting. Reports indicated that a Chinese-made J-10CE fighter jet used by Pakistan shot down at least one Indian Rafale jet, drawing international attention.

CCTV identified AVIC engineers Zhang Heng and Xu Da as among those providing on-site support, describing combat conditions including frequent air raid alerts and extreme heat. Their accounts are seen as the first public acknowledgment of direct Chinese involvement in support roles.

A 2025 report by the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission suggested China may have used the conflict to test weapons performance and possibly provide real-time intelligence. According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, China has sold about $8.2 billion in arms to Pakistan since 2015 and ranked as the world’s fourth-largest arms exporter between 2020 and 2024.

Source: Epoch Times, May 9, 2026
https://www.epochtimes.com/b5/26/5/8/n14759816.htm/amp

CNA: China’s Crude Oil Imports Hit A Four-Year Low in April

Primary Taiwanese news agency Central News Agency (CNA) recently reported that, China’s crude oil imports fell to their lowest level in nearly four years in April, affected by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Data released today by China’s General Administration of Customs shows that China’s crude oil imports in April decreased by 20 percent year-over-year to 38.471 million tons.

As the world’s largest oil importer, China imports about half of its crude oil from the Middle East. With the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the number of tankers transporting crude oil and refined petroleum products has decreased significantly, impacting global energy transportation. The official Chinese data did not differentiate between seaborne crude oil and crude oil imported via pipeline. However, the cited data from ship tracking company Kpler showing that China’s seaborne crude oil imports in April totaled 8.03 million barrels per day, also a new low since July 2022.

The turbulent situation in the Middle East has also prompted China to strengthen controls on exports of refined oil products such as gasoline and aviation fuel in order to ensure domestic market supply. Under the influence of these policies, China’s refined oil exports in April fell to 3.119 million tons, a decrease of about one-third compared to March, marking the lowest level in nearly 10 years.

Source: CNA, May 9, 2026
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/202605090175.aspx

Taiwan Advisory Body Warns of Chinese Religious Infiltration Tactics

Taiwan’s Mainland Affairs Council (MAC) held its 77th advisory committee meeting, focused on Beijing’s suppression of religious freedom and its use of religious exchanges as a tool for political influence operations targeting Taiwan.

Scholars at the meeting reported that China’s recent religious policies have trended toward “Sinicization” and tighter administrative control. Regulations such as rules governing the online behavior of religious clergy have further restricted religious freedom. Beijing continues to use religion as an influence channel, drawing Taiwanese to the mainland through temple pilgrimages, tourism, forums, institutional visits, and cultural performances.

Advisory members stressed that despite being an officially atheist state with no genuine religious freedom, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has long exploited religious and ethnic issues for social control. Cross-strait religious exchange, members argued, is in practice an instrument of political influence operations against Taiwan. The CCP systematically uses imagery of “ancestral temples” and “shared roots across the strait” to erode Taiwan’s religious and cultural autonomy.

The committee warned that the CCP uses these exchanges to build grassroots networks within Taiwan’s temple communities, establishing personal ties that can later be leveraged for infiltration. Members urged the government to screen applications from mainland Chinese individuals seeking to participate in religious exchange, and to intervene when activities exceed religious boundaries, ensuring that cross-strait religious exchange remains healthy and orderly.

Members also cautioned that the risks to Taiwanese citizens traveling to China for religious purposes are increasing, citing the detention of Taiwanese followers of Yiguandao on the mainland as an example of the legal uncertainty posed by Chinese religious regulations.

The Ministry of the Interior, which oversees religious affairs, attended the meeting and advised religious groups to register travel plans on its dedicated information portal before visiting China, enabling the government to provide assistance if needed.

Source: Central News Agency (Taiwan), May 6, 2026
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/202605060331.aspx

Wang Yi Calls for Sino-French Strengthen Strategic Communication

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi met with Emmanuel Bonne, French President Macron’s diplomatic adviser, in Beijing on May 8, calling for strengthened strategic communication and coordination between the two countries to jointly address global challenges. Bonne, in turn, expressed France’s willingness to play an active role in promoting dialogue and cooperation between Europe and China.

Wang Yi noted that Macron’s visit to China last year demonstrated the high level and special nature of the bilateral relationship, and said China hopes to work with France to achieve greater progress in cooperation and bring more benefits to both peoples.

Wang Yi emphasized that in a world increasingly marked by disorder, China and France — as permanent members of the UN Security Council and independently minded major powers — bear significant responsibility for maintaining international peace, stability, and development. He called on both sides to strengthen strategic communication and coordination, push their comprehensive strategic partnership forward free from interference, and ensure its healthy and stable development.

Wang Yi also reiterated that the foundation of China-France relations rests on firm political mutual trust and mutual respect for each other’s core interests. He urged France to uphold the one-China principle in practice, refrain from any form of official exchanges with Taiwan’s authorities, and avoid sending any wrong signals to pro-independence forces.

Bonne affirmed that France fully understands the importance and sensitivity of the Taiwan issue, adheres to the one-China policy, and that this position will not change. He also stressed that under the current international situation, dialogue and cooperation between Europe and China are essential, and that the EU needs China as a trustworthy partner. France, he said, is willing to play a constructive role in advancing that relationship.

The two officials have spoken by phone twice previously this year — once in January to discuss global instability, and again in March to address the situation in the Middle East.

Source: Central News Agency (Taiwan), May 9, 2026
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/202605090114.aspx