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China has Four Counter Measures for the Joint Japan-U.S. South China Sea Patrol

Well-known Chinese news site Sina recently published an in-depth analysis on the strategy against the newly announced Japanese plan to join the U.S. South China Sea naval patrol. The Chinese central command had long expressed the position that China wouldn’t just not take any action on the U.S led “joint patrol.” The article suggested four immediate actions that China can take. First, China can quickly militarize the islands in the region. Second, if the “joint patrol” becomes intensified, China can announce the establishment of the South China Sea Air Defense Identification Zone. The third approach is to focus on Japanese vessels by flying aircraft over them at low altitude. The last mechanism is to mount higher pressure on Japan by increasing the frequency of law enforcement patrols near the Diaoyu Islands. The article called the strategy the new “protracted war,” which was the strategy China applied to win against Japan in the Second World War.

Source: Sina, September 19, 2016
http://mil.news.sina.com.cn/jssd/2016-09-19/doc-ifxvyqwa3452496.shtml

PLA Major General: The More We Prepare for a War, the Farther Away the War Will Be from Us

One September 19, 2016, Huanqiu (the Chinese version of Global Times), Communist China’s official mouthpiece, published an article on the intention and motivation of the United States regarding the South China Sea dispute and the THAAD system in South Korea. The author of the article is Qiao Liang, a Chinese People’s Liberation Army Major General who is also a professor at the PLA National Defense University in China.

Viewing the United States as a major enemy of the People’s Republic of China, Qiao Liang criticized the U.S. for continually making trouble using geopolitical means. The United States will build the THAAD system in South Korea in order to damage the China and South Korea free trade agreement. To drive capital out of China and get it to the US, the United States navy sent two aircraft carriers into the South China Sea. However, if China and the United States really get into a war, capital will leave both China and the USA, which is not consistent with the Americans’ interests and aspirations. Therefore, Americans will not fight a battle with China. China does not have to worry about a war. For the United States, the purpose of a war is to strive to maximize its national interests rather than occupy a territory.

If China wants to be a superpower, China should learn from the United States. We will take the Diaoyu or Huangyan Island back tomorrow if not today. But the historical opportunity for China to become the world’s largest economy and ultimately revive the Chinese nation could be gone any time. China cannot act “tough” as Putin does, because China relies on both imports and exports. However, we can also make trouble for the United States, Japan, and the Philippines, aiming at the soft underbelly of our opponents. China’s large foreign exchange reserves are a powerful geopolitical weapon. “As long as we think carefully, we should know how to manipulate it.”

Now China and Russia need to rely on each other to resist the United States. They will use a united front as that has helped the Chinese Communist Party grow from a small and weak to a big and strong Party.

The article concluded that, though China’s neighborhood situation is grim, there will be no war. However, Chinese military troops must be ready for a war at any time. The more we prepare for a war, the farther away the war will be from us.

Source: Huanqiu, September 19, 2016
http://mil.huanqiu.com/observation/2016-09/9455764.html

Ministry of Defense: China is Deploying Anti-Missile System

China.com recently reported that Yang Yujun, the spokesperson for the Chinese Ministry of Defense, spoke at a press conference in response to questions about the Korean-US deployment of the THAAD (Terminal High Altitude Area Defense) System. Yang said China remains strongly opposed to the THAAD system since it can cover the vast majority of Chinese territory. However, China has determined to take proper actions to maintain the regional strategic balance. Yang acknowledged that China is “appropriately” deploying a land-based mid-range anti-missile defense system. He then explained that China’s deployment plan is to defend national security and it’s not directed against any country or targets. China’s move does not impact global strategic stability and China has every right to improve its own military capabilities for self-defense. China also held The Fourth Northeast Asia Security Forum with Russia on July 28. The Forum focused on tighter cooperation between China and Russia to deal with the THAAD deployment. 

Source: China.com, July 29, 2016 

Xinhua: China and Russia Planning Joint Military Exercise in South China Sea

Xinhua recently reported that Yang Yujun, the spokesperson of the Chinese Ministry of Defense, announced in a press conference that the Chinese Navy and the Russian Navy will have a joint military exercise in the South China Sea region in September. Yang emphasized that this is just a “routine exercise” agreed to previously and is to reinforce the comprehensive strategic partnership between the two countries. He also emphasized that this exercise is not directed against any third party. However, observers suggested that, given the results of the recent South China Sea Arbitration case decided on July 12, this plan further strengthens the cooperation between China and Russia against the allied front that the United States is leading. The China-Russia joint naval exercises started in 2012. Last year there were two sessions – one in the Japanese Sea and the other in the Mediterranean Sea.
Source: Xinhua, July 29, 2016

China Youth Online: Military Staff Cut Has Started

China Youth reported that, as part of the military staff cut that Xi Jinping announced last year, China has started the first round of the retirement of officers of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA).

"The 21st Army of the Western Combat Theater, an air-defense unit of the Central Combat Theater, and an armored brigade of the Eastern Combat Theater all have recently held retirement ceremonies for the officers who are leaving the military."

One goal of Xi Jinping’s military reform was to shrink the PLA command structure. "Among the 300,000 military staff cut, half of them are officers."

Source: China Youth Daily, June 13, 2016
http://zqb.cyol.com/html/2016-06/13/nw.D110000zgqnb_20160613_2-12.htm

Xi Jinping: No Excuses Allowed for Refusing to Take Demobilized Officers

Leading news portal Sina recently carried a report from Xinhua titled, "Xi Jinping: No Excuses Allowed for Refusing to Take Demobilized Officers." President Xi Jinping underscored the importance of providing demobilized military officers with civilian jobs. This is considered a political task and is closely linked to national defense and military reform. On Tuesday, June 7, Zhao Leji, head of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Central Committee’s organization department, conveyed Xi’s comments on this issue in a speech he gave at a recent meeting of the Politburo standing committee at the 2016 National Conference on Employment of Demobilized Officers. Xi also noted that a long-term solution for arranging civilian jobs for demobilized officers would be deepened reform. He called for measures to improve the management of the security mechanism for demobilized officers and to perfect the public service system as well as relevant policies, laws and regulations. 

Xi added, "No matter what the excuse, refusing to provide positions for demobilized officers is not allowed." Xi also serves as chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC). In March 2016, The Paper, a Shanghai-based online site featuring news and analysis on current affairs, reported that Xi had announced last September, at a parade marking 70 years since the end of World War II, that the People’s Liberation Army would cut its personnel by 300,000. The scale of the PLA will gradually come down to 2 million from 2.3 million, as part of a modernization drive to shift focus from its traditional land forces to more advanced sea and air forces, which require fewer but better training personnel. 

Liu Yunshan, a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo, also attended Tuesday’s conference. Liu underscored Xi’s comments. He also called for better services for officers who look for employment on their own. Also attending the conference were Xu Qiliang, CMC Vice Chairman; Zhang Yang, a member of the CMC; and Ma Kai, Vice Premier of the State Council. 

U.S. Deploying Artillery Will Cause Unrest in the South China Sea

Recently, the U.S.-based magazine The National Interest published an article reporting that the U.S. military is considering deploying artillery systems in the South China Sea. Chinese military experts, in an interview with CCTV, stated that the U.S. deployment of an artillery system in the South China Sea can improve the U.S. and the Philippines’ military strike capability in the South China Sea. The U.S. is militarizing the South China Sea. This will lead to regional instability. 

Ruan Zongze, executive vice president of the China Institute of International Studies, said the U.S. and the Philippines have signed a new 10-year defense cooperation agreement to strengthen the U.S. military presence in the Philippines. The Philippines has opened its doors to the United States in five military bases. It is worth close attention whether a new U.S. artillery system will be deployed in the Philippines. 
Ruan Zongze pointed out that the United States has now succeeded in turning the South China Sea into an exhibition field for its weapons. A variety of weapons will come on the stage in turn. It is the United States, not others, who is militarizing the South China Sea. The United States frequently sends ships and planes to the South China Sea to conduct close surveillance of other countries. What’s more, the U.S. is also gradually strengthening its armed forces deployment in the South China Sea military bases. Now it wants to introduce artillery systems. This will undoubtedly cause unrest in the region. 

Source: People’s Daily, May 24, 2016 

Global Times: China Plans to Send Nuclear Submarines to the Pacific

Global Times recently reported, based on British news sources, that the Chinese military is in the middle of planning to send nuclear submarines to cruise the pacific. The new weapon systems that the United States has deployed in the region weakened China’s “power of deterrence.” Anonymous Chinese military officials said there has been no set time table for the submarines yet, but some actions like this are unavoidable. A recent Pentagon report also predicted that, at a certain point in 2016, a nuclear related “deterrence patrol” by China could be possible. So far Beijing has been following the “prudential military deterrence” policies, which promise not to be the first to use nuclear weapons. However, deploying nuclear submarines may have a long-term impact. 
Source: Global Times, May 26, 2016