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Defense/Military

Former U.S. Defense Official Analyzes U.S. Indo-Pacific Military Deployment

Hu Zhendong, a former U.S. Department of Defense official, spoke at a forum hosted by Taiwan’s Institute for National Policy Research on January 15, offering an analysis of the current posture and future direction of U.S. military deployment in the Indo-Pacific region.

Hu said U.S. national security strategy prioritizes maintaining military overmatch in the Western Pacific as a cornerstone for deterring conflict in the Taiwan Strait and preserving regional stability. He noted that President Trump’s approach continues to emphasize “peace through strength,” with substantial U.S. forces deployed across key locations including South Korea, Japan, the Philippines, Guam, Hawaii, and Alaska. Alaska, in particular, hosts robust fifth-generation air power capable of supporting operations across the Pacific theater.

To sustain naval operations, major U.S. bases on the West Coast house submarine forces and an active aircraft carrier strike group, while additional carrier strike capabilities and expeditionary sea bases are deployed throughout the Pacific. The U.S. military presence also extends to Singapore, Saipan, Palau, Midway Island, Wake Island, and Australia—locations relatively close to Taiwan—forming a first-island-chain security network supported by logistics hubs and mutual defense arrangements.

Hu noted that joint military exercises with partner nations have expanded significantly in both scale and frequency. He cited the biennial Rim of the Pacific (RIMPAC) exercise, which in 2024 involved 29 countries, approximately 25,000 personnel, 40 ships, and more than 150 aircraft, and is expected to grow further in 2026.

He also outlined several key U.S. military modernization efforts, including:

  • Upgrading Pacific submarine forces with Virginia-class submarines;
  • Deploying advanced F-35 fighter aircraft while retiring older platforms at bases in Japan and South Korea;
  • Expanding amphibious and expeditionary sea base capabilities to support helicopters and unmanned systems.

In addition, Hu said the United States is refining arrangements to increase the flexibility of forces stationed on the Korean Peninsula, enabling them to respond rapidly across the broader Indo-Pacific rather than being confined to a narrow regional role.

Overall, Hu argued, these developments demonstrate that the United States is reinforcing its strategic military posture throughout the Indo-Pacific to deter aggression and strengthen collective security partnerships, continuing to rely on military strength as the foundation for regional peace and stability.

Source: Epoch Times, January 15, 2026
https://www.epochtimes.com/gb/26/1/15/n14676384.htm/amp

Xinhua: South Korea Studies Restoration of 2018 Inter-Korean Military Agreement

A senior South Korean official said on January 14 that the government is reviewing the possibility of restoring the September 19, 2018 Inter-Korean Military Agreement with North Korea. The remarks were made by Wee Sung-lok, director of South Korea’s National Security Office, at a press conference in Nara, Japan, during a visit accompanying President Lee Jae-myung.

Wee said that reviving the agreement is a key policy direction and reflects guidance from President Lee, but emphasized that the issue is complex and involves multiple stakeholders, meaning no concrete decisions have yet been finalized.

President Lee previously signaled this approach on August 15, 2025, during a speech marking the 80th anniversary of Korea’s Liberation Day. He said South Korea would take the initiative in restoring the September 19 Military Agreement in a phased manner to prevent accidental clashes between the two Koreas and to rebuild military confidence.

The 2018 agreement, signed following the Panmunjom Declaration, aimed to reduce military tensions across the Korean Peninsula and establish it as a “permanent peace zone.” South Korea suspended the agreement in June 2024, and discussions on its potential revival are now underway.

Source: Xinhua, January 14, 2026
https://www.xinhuanet.com/20260114/1e7dd8b7ca374dbe85d71ce5f93b4dd9/c.html

China’s Expanding Arctic Strategy: From Greenland Autonomy to the “Polar Silk Road”

In June 2009, Greenland’s Self-Government Act took effect, transferring most governing powers from Denmark to the Greenlandic government—excluding foreign affairs, defense, and monetary policy—and granting Greenland the right to declare independence at any time. Economic independence, however, remains a prerequisite. Nearly 60 percent of Greenland’s revenue still comes from an annual Danish subsidy of about 3.5 billion kroner (US$ 346,000), frozen at the time of autonomy, forcing the territory to shoulder increasing fiscal responsibility.

Against this backdrop, Beijing’s involvement in Greenland gradually emerged. Today, Greenland has the highest level of Chinese investment as a share of GDP in the Arctic region. In 2016, Chinese rare-earth firm Shenghe Resources became the largest shareholder in the Kvanefjeld mine, and in 2018 it signed a memorandum of understanding to lead the processing and sale of materials extracted from the site.

Prior to 2013, China kept a deliberately low profile in the Arctic, avoiding open discussion of polar resources. This approach shifted after Xi Jinping took power. In April 2013, China’s 12th Five-Year Plan for Marine Development highlighted research into Arctic shipping routes and the normalization of polar expeditions. In June 2014, the People’s Liberation Army’s “Strategic Assessment 2013” identified Arctic shipping and resource development as having major strategic value and described access to Arctic resources as an “important strategic interest.”

In January 2018, China released its first “Arctic Policy White Paper,” declaring itself a “near-Arctic state” and formally introducing the “Polar Silk Road,” which added a northern maritime corridor to the Belt and Road Initiative. The route encompasses the Northeast Passage, the Northwest Passage, and a future Central Arctic route. The Northeast Passage, largely controlled by Russia, reduces shipping time from Shanghai to Hamburg to about 18 days, compared with roughly 35 days via the Suez Canal, while the Northwest Passage through Canada shortens routes by about 20 percent compared with the Panama Canal.

The Polar Silk Road is widely regarded as a geopolitical strategy rather than a purely commercial project, with significant implications for the global balance of power. Analysts argue that China aims to expand its Arctic influence in coordination with Russia, potentially laying the groundwork for a parallel global system and enabling the future deployment of nuclear-powered submarines to counter the United States.

In operational terms, China COSCO began using Arctic routes in 2013 and, over the following eight years, conducted 56 voyages with 26 vessels, including 14 trips in 2021 alone. In 2015, five Chinese naval vessels transited the Bering Sea near Alaska, drawing U.S. attention. In 2017, China’s “Xuelong” icebreaker completed its first passage through the Northwest Passage.

China’s Arctic ambitions have also raised security concerns. In 2016, a Hong Kong–based company proposed purchasing a decommissioned Danish naval base, and in 2018 a Chinese state-owned enterprise bid to expand and modernize Greenland’s airports; both proposals were ultimately blocked by Copenhagen. In 2020, Chinese scholars openly argued that Greenland should serve as a strategic hub for the Polar Silk Road.

In October 2024, Chinese Coast Guard vessels entered Arctic Ocean waters for the first time, operating farther north than previously recorded and signaling an expansion into areas traditionally viewed as within the U.S. strategic sphere.

China frames its Arctic policy around four principles—“understanding, protecting, utilizing, and participating in the governance of the Arctic”—while asserting its “near-Arctic” status and seeking greater influence within Arctic institutions.

Source: Epoch Times, January 15, 2026
https://www.epochtimes.com/gb/26/1/14/n14676123.htm

CCP Adviser Zhang Weiwei Claims U.S. Capture of Maduro Exposes American “Weakness”

In the early hours of January 3, U.S. forces carried out a long-range operation and captured Venezuelan strongman Nicolás Maduro within just a few hours. The operation came shortly after a Chinese Communist Party (CCP) special envoy met with Maduro to offer political backing, leaving Beijing embarrassed and underscoring the global reach of U.S. military power. Chinese officials subsequently condemned the action as a violation of international law and national sovereignty.

Zhang Weiwei, director of the China Institute at Fudan University and a prominent CCP adviser, has sought to downplay the significance of the operation by reframing it as a sign of American weakness.

“Many forces constrain the United States,” Zhang said. “Even this time, when Trump had Maduro arrested, it actually shows America’s weakness. He does not dare to fight a ground war and can only seize a single president like this—picking on a soft target.”

Zhang further characterized the operation as a “major U.S. strategic miscalculation,” claiming it revealed new “opportunities” for the Chinese Communist Party.

Many online commentators ridiculed Zhang’s argument.

Source: Epoch Times, January 15, 2026
https://www.epochtimes.com/gb/26/1/15/n14676265.htm

People’s Daily: AI Revolutionizes Electronic Warfare

Chinese state-run media outlet People’s Daily republished a military web article detailing how artificial intelligence (AI) is “rapidly transforming electronic warfare and reshaping modern combat.” Key points from the article are translated below.

Traditional electronic warfare systems rely on preset threat databases to identify enemy radar signals, leaving them slow and ineffective against new or unknown technologies. As battlefields become more complex and radar systems evolve, these legacy systems may take hours to analyze unfamiliar signals—an unacceptable delay in modern combat.

With AI integration, electronic warfare systems gain autonomous learning capabilities, enabling real-time analysis of unknown radar signals. By comparing vast amounts of historical and real-time data, AI-driven systems can interpret new signals within seconds rather than hours, dramatically enhancing combat effectiveness. AI also supports advanced deception tactics, such as generating highly realistic false targets that simultaneously mislead enemy radar, communications, and guidance systems. This can cause opponents to waste firepower on decoys while actual forces exploit gaps in defenses.

The article highlights countermeasures against AI-powered electronic warfare, including dynamic frequency hopping, quantum encryption, AI-generated decoys, and resilient network design with redundant communication links and mobile monitoring stations. It concludes that intelligent electronic warfare is moving from experimental theory to active deployment, with algorithms becoming decisive in combat outcomes. Mastery of algorithmic competition and system resilience is thus essential for gaining the upper hand in future conflicts.

Source: People’s Daily, January 1, 2026
http://military.people.com.cn/n1/2026/0101/c1011-40637264.html

Satellite Images Suggest China’s Fourth Aircraft Carrier May Be Nuclear Powered

Recent satellite imagery of a dry dock at the Dalian Shipyard has revealed two large, square steel structures approximately 18 meters long, drawing the attention of military analysts worldwide. Observers believe these structures may be reactor containment modules for China’s next-generation Type-004 aircraft carrier, which is widely expected to be nuclear powered and could become the world’s largest carrier upon completion.

Analysts note that the carrier’s apparent dual-shell nuclear reactor configuration would provide substantial power output while enhancing operational reliability. Such a design could support long-duration deployments and extensive electrical demand, effectively granting the vessel what the article describes as “electrical freedom.”

The report also highlights broader design advancements, including a reconfigured island structure and an expanded flight deck and hangar space. These changes are intended to improve aircraft sortie rates, deck operations, and overall combat efficiency, signaling a significant evolution in China’s carrier development.

Source: Sohu, December 26, 2025
https://m.sohu.com/a/966874574_121743938

China, Russia, and Iran Launch “BRICS+” Joint Naval Exercises off South Africa

China, Russia, Iran, South Africa, and other BRICS member states began a week-long joint naval exercise in South African waters on January 10, 2026, under the expanded “BRICS+” framework, which includes additional member and observer countries beyond the original BRICS grouping. South African authorities said the drills are aimed at safeguarding key shipping lanes and ensuring the security of maritime economic activities. The exercise marks the first time BRICS countries have conducted this type of defense cooperation and is widely viewed as a show of unity amid shifting global strategic dynamics, particularly in relation to Western powers.

China is the lead country for the joint exercise, dubbed “Peace Will-2026.” The Chinese People’s Liberation Army has deployed the guided-missile destroyer Tangshan, the comprehensive supply ship Taihu, a ship-borne helicopter, and dozens of special operations personnel to take part in the drills.

Sources:
1. Lianhe Zaobao, January 11, 2026
https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/china/story20260111-8084342
2. Radio France International, January 9, 2026
https://www.rfi.fr/cn/国际/20260109-中俄伊朗等金砖成员国在南非附近海域举行联合军演

CCP National Strategist Li Yi Breaks Down After Maduro’s Capture

Chinese commentator Li Yi, often described as a “Chinese Communist Party (CCP) national strategist,” reacted emotionally after Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife were captured by U.S. forces on January 3, 2026 during a significant U.S. military operation that resulted in their transfer to American custody.

In a livestream on January 4, Li became visibly upset while discussing the event, at one point slapping his own face and choking up as he spoke. He expressed shock that, although Caracas is about 3,300 km from Washington, the U.S. was still able to capture Maduro and his wife alive and fly them out. Li bluntly said, “I feel like I’m not even human anymore,” after previously repeatedly asserting that Maduro could withstand U.S. pressure.

Li’s intense reaction and behavior quickly attracted widespread online attention and mockery from netizens and commentators. Some analysts and observers suggested that his emotional response reflected the stark contrast between the decisive U.S. military action and the perceived capabilities of China’s own military forces, highlighting strategic embarrassment within certain pro-China commentary circles.

Source: Yahoo Taiwan, January 5, 2026
https://tw.news.yahoo.com/見馬杜洛被活捉-中共國師李毅哽咽-自搧巴掌-律師揭崩潰原因-225600131.html