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US-China Relations - 140. page

The Political Factor behind the Downgrade of European Countries’ Credit Ratings

An article published on the People’s Daily’s website comments on Standard & Poor’s motivation for the recent downgrade of European countries’ credit ratings. The article suggested that the downgrade increased the complexity of resolving Europe’s debt crisis and that it is now more than a simple financial move. The article said, “Britain’s debt crisis is rarely discussed in media reports, but Britain is a country heavily dependent on finances. Its debt crisis is no less severe than in any other country. However, Britain is the closest ally of the United States. [Therefore,] it is almost impossible to downgrade Britain’s credit rating.

“Austria was downgraded unexpectedly, but looking at it from a political angle, Austria has been Germany’s most intimate friend. Therefore, America’s Standard & Poor’s downgrade of Austria’s credit rating can have the effect of giving Germany a warning.

“Downgrading France appears to be reasonable, but it is actually still politically motivated. It has very little effect on the French government’s borrowing costs, but it can have a dire consequence for Sarkozy’s reelection efforts.

“Standard & Poor’s downgrade of European countries’ credit ratings is actually to pave the way for America’s QE3. The voice from the U.S. Federal Reserve for starting QE3 has never stopped; it is, in fact, showing recent signs of heating up. There is not much time left for Obama (to start QE3 before the election in November). Therefore, he needs to hurry up to take action.”

Source: People’s Daily, January 19, 2012
http://world.people.com.cn/GB/16921056.html

The U.S. Return to Asia Will Have a Profound Impact on the Global Economic Structure

Qiushi published an article commenting on the strategic intention of the U.S. in returning to Asia and the impact of that return on the global economic structure. The article stated, “(First), the U.S.’s strategic goal in returning to Asia is to further fortify its dominant position in currency. Imposing political and economic pressure on China will force the Chinese Reminbi to appreciate.

“The second goal of the U.S. return to Asia is to create an Asian Pacific free trade area that the U.S. controls. Due to the direct intervention of the U.S., the Asian Pacific region will be divided. For example, Japan may choose to leave the East Asian Community and, instead, join the TPP, in which China does not participate. If the U.S. will succeed in controlling a free trade region that is the size of 35.5 percent of the global economy, it will have no other trade competitor in the world. “Currently, the competition between the China-Asean Free Trade Area model and the TPP model that the U.S. promotes has become the inevitable focus. Apparently, in the trade arena, the U.S. return to Asia directly targets China. It will isolate China in trade, impact the trade structure of Asian countries, and even have a huge impact on the global trade structure in exports.

“[Lastly], the U.S. return to Asia is advantageous to its long-term plan in the area of high-end industries. By returning to Asia, the U.S. completely suppresses China as well as Asian countries’ new energy enterprises. The U.S.’s intention is to attack China’s economic capability of competitiveness and grab China’s market and resources.”

Source: Qiushi, January 13, 2012
http://www.qstheory.cn/jj/hqsy/201201/t20120113_134730.htm

China Does Not Need to Sanction Iran to Please the U.S.

Xinhua reported that the purpose of U.S. Treasury Secretary Geithner’s visit to China on January 10, 2012, was to convince China to reduce its oil imports from Iran. However, in the new military strategy announced last week, inhibiting China is one of the U.S. military’s strategic goals. Jin Chanrong, Associate Dean of the School of International Studies at Renmin University of China, expressed that China does not need to cooperate with the U.S. in sanctioning Iran in order to please the U.S. After all, China is not a country that has to choose a side (between the U.S. and Iran).

Jin commented that such action is typical of U.S. behavior. The U.S. thinks it’s the “boss,” believing it can suppress and criticize China; while, at the same time, China should serve the U.S. The U.S. attitude is always self-centered; it never considers other’s interests. China does not need to pay too much attention to the U.S. When specific interests are involved, China much insist on what China has to insist on. If the U.S. punishes Chinese enterprises that conduct oil trades with Iran, China can carry out a counter-punishment against American enterprises.

Source: Xinhua, January, 11, 2012
http://news.xinhuanet.com/mil/2012-01/11/c_122569094.htm

Huanqiu: Out of Its Own Self Interest, China Should Prevent an Iranian War”

On January 10, 2012, Huanqiu (the Chinese edition of Global Times) published an article titled “Out of Its Own Self Interest, China Should Prevent an Iranian War.” China’s self-interest in Iran includes the huge amount of oil in Iran and Iran’s important role in containing the U.S. so as to, strategically, ease the  pressure on China. Although “China cannot form an alliance with Iran and act as the enemy of the United States, China must do something to stop an ‘Iranian War’ while avoiding any fatal damage to Sino-US relations.”

The article lists the following suggestions of how to prevent the U.S. from starting a war against Iran: 1) Cooperate with Russia to oppose an Iranian War; 2) If the U.S. sanctions a Chinese company in Iran, China should carry out the same sanctions against the U.S.; 3) Help Iran diplomatically, maintaining high-level visits between Beijing and Tehran, so as to prevent Iran from being convicted in the court of global public opinion; 4) Make the war mentally and realistically more difficult for the U.S to start, as this is an election year and a new war may interfere with Obama’s re-election.

Source: Huanqiu, January 10, 2012
http://finance.huanqiu.com/data/2012-01/2342289.html

Scholar Calls for More Research on the U.S.

International Herald Leader, a newspaper under Xinhua News Agency, published an article on January 9, 2012, titled “More Researches Should Be Conducted on the Fatal Flaw of the United States.” The author of the article is Mr. Sun Zhe, a professor and director of the Center for US-China Relations, Tsinghua University. Sun suggested that the U.S. high-profile involvement in the South China Sea and President Obama’s criticism of China is normal. Having met many Americans including the U.S. vice president, former senior politicians, and think tank scholars, Sun concludes that the Americans are increasingly viewing China as a threat to the United States.

“The more China is viewed as a country that will surpass the U.S. in GDP, the more we must be modest and be aware of our shortcomings.” To outwit the U.S. diplomatically, Sun suggested doing more academic research exchanges so as to better understand the U.S. and China.

Source: International Herald Leader, January 9, 2011
http://news.xinhuanet.com/herald/2012-01/09/c_131344109.htm

Government Think Tank: China Should Be Realistic about Its Relationship with the U.S.

Dai Xu, a researcher at the China Strategic Research Center, Beijing University, published an article on China-U.S. relations. Dai stated that the United States is forging ahead on three fronts and that China should be realistic about its relationship with the U.S. “In Russia, the U.S. is compressing the Russian strategic space by deploying an anti-missile system in Europe and by attempting lethal attacks in the Russian presidential election. In China, it announced its return to Asia and threw China’s neighbors into chaos. In the Islamic battlefield, it subverted and dismembered Iraq, Libya, Sudan, and Yemen, and now surrounds Syria and Iran, dragging Pakistan along.” The article quoted the remarks that Jon Huntsman made during the CBS presidential debate. Huntsman suggested that the U.S. should be reaching out to its allies and constituencies within China to take down China. The article states, “It looks like the U.S. strategists believe the U.S. can survive without China and do not show any desire to build a community of common interests with China.” The article concluded by urging that China must be realistic and rational about the environment and know its enemy well.

Source: Huanqiu reprinted by Xinhua, January 4, 2012
http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2012-01/04/c_122533644.htm

Chinese Expert: How Maintain Stability in China-U.S. Relations in 2012

Wang Fonggang, the Deputy Director of the Institute of American Studies at the China Institute of Contemporary International Relations, discussed how to move China-U.S. relations forward while facing uncertainties.

Wang foresees that China-U.S. relations in 2012 will be very complicated due to the election year and the structural changes in the international situation and bilateral relations. He said that the main task in China-U.S. relations in 2012 will be to “maintain stability.” … China should increase its awareness in three areas. First is the awareness of crises. (China) should fully recognize the seriousness of both domestic and foreign situations and the periodic danger in China-U.S. relations. Second is comprehensive planning. In handling China-U.S. relations, (China) should put more effort into working with multiple departments in the U.S., by various means, via multiple channels, and at multiple levels simultaneously. Third is advancement. (China) should not only do well in crisis management and actively prevent crises; in China-U.S. relations, it should also seek opportunities in a crisis to develop new areas to cooperate and to make progress on the basis of stability.

Source: China News Agency, January 2, 2012
http://www.chinanews.com/gn/2012/01-02/3577060.shtml

Yuan Pang: New Challenges for China-U.S. Relations

The “2011 Forum on China Diplomacy Review and Future Outlook” was held on December 18, 2011, in Beijing. Yuan Pang, the director of the American Studies Institute of the China Institute of Contemporary International Relations, discussed the new challenges that China-U.S. relations presently face. Yuan listed four challenges: 1) The biggest challenge is that the foundation for long-term cooperation between China and the U.S. is shaky. After the killing of bin-Laden and the U.S. withdrawal of its troops (from Iraq), will anti-terrorism continue to be a cooperative strategy? As the complementary relationship of the economy and trade between China and the U.S. gradually manifests more friction and conflict, will cooperation in the areas of the economy and trade continue to support China-U.S. relations? These two foundations face challenges. 2) The second area for challenges is the change in the international environment, namely in our neighborhood, where the U.S. is making use of those countries that have territorial conflicts with China. 3) Third is that Russia, as our strategic partner in the past, is expecting China to come to the front line. 4) The last one is that the strategic view has changed. In Deng’s era, China’s strategy was to learn from the U.S. in technology and absorb capital. After Deng, the strategy has become fighting and cooperation at the same time. What is the direction China should take right now? It is not clear.

Source: ifeng.com, December 19, 2011
http://news.ifeng.com/mainland/detail_2011_12/19/11427081_0.shtml