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Geo-Strategic Trend - 5. page

LTN: Russia Suspected of Developing A Space Weapon Aiming Starlink Satellites

Major Taiwanese news network Liberty Times Network (LTN) recently reported that, as the Russia-Ukraine war enters its fourth year, the threat level in the space arena has risen again. Intelligence agencies in two NATO member states suspect that Russia is developing a new anti-satellite weapon primarily targeting Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite constellation. This weapon is not intended for a single target, but rather to cripple Western space superiority over a wide area by releasing a devastating cloud of shrapnel.

Intelligence documents revealed that this weapon, dubbed “zone-effect,” is planned to release hundreds of thousands of high-density microparticles in orbit. These particles may be released by a constellation of small, yet-to-be-launched satellites, and once deployed, they would simultaneously disrupt multiple Starlink satellites, severing the communication and guidance links that the Ukrainian army relies on for survival on the battlefield. These deadly particles are only a few millimeters in diameter and are virtually undetectable by existing ground-based and space-based radar systems, making tracing accountability extremely difficult. This is different from the anti-satellite missiles previously tested by Russia. However, the newly developed “zone-effect” weapon has a wider kill radius and is more difficult to defend against.

Analysts have questioned the practicality of this weapon. Such indiscriminate attacks could trigger an out-of-control chain reaction, potentially destroying not only Starlink but also Russia’s own satellites and those of its allies, like China. Starlink orbits at an altitude of approximately 550 kilometers. Over time, debris will fall into the Earth, threatening China’s Tiangong space station and the International Space Station (ISS) – both operate in lower orbits.

Source: LTN, December 22, 2025
https://def.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/5286318

CNA: Porsche Sales in China Plummeted

Primary Taiwanese news agency Central News Agency (CNA) recently reported that, in the first three quarters of this year, Porsche sold only 32,000 vehicles in China, a sharp drop of 26 percent compared to the same period last year, and a nearly two-thirds drop from the peak sales of 95,000 vehicles in 2021.

German luxury car brand Porsche entered the Chinese market in 2001, and its sales have continued to climb ever since. In 2015, China became Porsche’s largest single market globally. During peak sales periods, Chinese consumers even had to pay extra to buy a Porsche. However, since the significant growth of new energy vehicles in China in 2023, Porsche’s sales in the Chinese market have been under pressure, with the decline becoming increasingly larger in the past two years. Its electric vehicles are expensive, but their smart features are not as advanced as those of Chinese electric vehicles.

Very recently, Porsche China confirmed to the media that the company’s self-built charging network will gradually cease operation starting March 1st, 2026, closing a total of about 200 charging stations. In the meantime, Porsche centers in large cities of Zhengzhou and Guiyang lately closed down without warning – showrooms were emptied overnight, prompting car owners who were unwilling to accept their losses to call the police.

Source: CNA, December 26, 2025
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/202512260226.aspx

Leaked Audio Allegedly Reveals PLA Interferences With Taiwan’s Elections

Taiwanese national security authorities said that several audio recordings recently circulated online allegedly reveal admissions by officials of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) regarding interference in Taiwan’s elections.

The recordings reportedly document discussions in 2018 between a PLA Strategic Support Force official surnamed Ding and Qi Zhongxiang, head of Beijing Womin High-Tech Co., Ltd.

According to the recordings, the PLA allocated approximately 20 million yuan (US$3 million) to its affiliated 56th Research Institute—publicly known as the Jiangnan Institute of Computing Technology—to purchase a “public opinion sentiment analysis system” from Womin. The system was allegedly intended to analyze, predict, and manipulate public opinion in Taiwan, with a particular focus on the 2018 Kaohsiung mayoral election.

In the first recording, Ding is heard saying that an initial 5 million yuan budget would be used to interfere in Taiwan’s 2018 local elections. If the operation proved successful, an additional 15 million yuan would be invested ahead of Taiwan’s 2020 presidential election to support more extensive election forecasting and influence efforts.

In the second recording, Ding emphasizes the importance of technological tools for controlling public opinion and describes the Kaohsiung mayoral race as strategically critical. He claims to have accurately predicted the election outcome, saying that while others believed Han Kuo-yu would lose, he believed Han would win—an assessment he said later proved correct.

In the third recording, Qi claims that his company had already monitored and controlled six million Facebook accounts in Taiwan, with plans to expand that number to ten million. Taiwan’s security agencies assess that these accounts were used to spread disinformation, inflame social divisions, and interfere with voting behavior, actions described by those involved as “contributing to national reunification.”

Source: Up Media, December 27, 2025
https://www.upmedia.mg/tw/investigation/political/248238

Huanqiu Times: Strategic Thinking Behind Japan’s Turn Toward Central Asia

Japan held its first-ever summit with the five Central Asian countries — Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan — in Tokyo from December 19 to 20, concluding with the adoption of the Tokyo Declaration.

The declaration commits Japan and the five countries to strengthening economic ties and advancing practical cooperation. Key initiatives include a target of ¥3 trillion (approximately USD 20 billion) in business projects in Central Asia over the next five years, cooperation to reinforce supply chains for critical minerals in light of the region’s abundant natural resources, and the establishment of partnerships in artificial intelligence. It also calls for expanded cooperation on the Trans-Caspian transport corridor linking Central Asia with Europe, as well as joint efforts to uphold a free and open international order based on the rule of law.

Huanqiu Times commented that, from a geopolitical perspective, Central Asia has traditionally fallen within Russia’s sphere of influence and is also a key partner in China’s Belt and Road Initiative. By deepening ties with Central Asian states, Japan aims to expand its diplomatic footprint across Eurasia and enhance its strategic influence.

The commentary outlined several strategic considerations behind Japan’s approach. First, energy and resource security is a central concern, as the region possesses significant reserves of oil, natural gas, rare metals, and particularly Kazakhstan’s uranium resources. Second, Japan seeks to align with U.S. Central Asia strategy and cooperate in building resilient supply chains for critical resources. Third, Tokyo aims to promote the Trans-Caspian corridor to improve access to external markets for landlocked Central Asian countries. Fourth, Japan is seeking to balance and constrain Russia’s geopolitical pressure, especially as it affects Japan’s security environment in the Far East.

Sources:
1. NHK, December 20, 2025
https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/zh/news/20251220_10/
2. Huanqiu Times, December 19, 2025
https://opinion.huanqiu.com/article/4Pbzcf5AxsL

Chinese Buyers Leads Foreign Land Acquisitions in Japan’s Security-Sensitive Areas

The Japanese government has released data revealing that approximately 3 percent of land and buildings acquired in nationally significant security zones during the 2024 fiscal year were purchased by foreign individuals or entities, with mainland Chinese buyers accounting for nearly half of these foreign acquisitions. According to NHK reporting, this information comes as Japan implements stricter controls over strategically important properties near military and critical infrastructure sites.

Japanese law now regulates land purchases in areas deemed crucial for national security. The government has designated zones surrounding Self-Defense Force facilities, nuclear power plants, and other vital installations as either “areas of concern” or “areas of special concern” under this legal framework. The recent data covers all land and building transactions within these protected zones throughout the 2024 fiscal year.

Of the 113,827 newly acquired properties identified within these security-sensitive areas, 3,498 transactions involved foreign buyers, representing 3.1 percent of the total. Mainland Chinese individuals and corporations led with 1,674 acquisitions, followed by Taiwan with 414 purchases and South Korea with 378 transactions.

Under current legislation, the government possesses authority to issue orders or advisories if land use within these zones interferes with the functioning of important facilities. Authorities can demand cessation of specific land activities deemed problematic. However, the government confirmed that no cases warranting such intervention were identified during this statistical survey period, suggesting all foreign acquisitions complied with existing regulations and posed no immediate concerns to national security operations.

Source: NHK, December 16, 2025
https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/zh/news/20251216_ML04/

UDN: Germany’s Exports to US Expected to Decline While Deficit with China to Reach New High

United Daily News (UDN), one of the primary Taiwanese news groups, recently reported that Germany’s Trade and Investment Agency (GTAI) said, by the end of 2025, German exports to the United States are expected to decline sharply, while the trade deficit with China will reach a record high. GTAI analysis points to U.S. tariff policies, weak demand in the U.S. and Chinese markets, and German companies shifting production to China as the main reasons.

GTAI estimated that Germany’s exports will grow by only 0.6 percent in 2025, totaling approximately 1.6 trillion Euros. Germany’s exports to its largest export market, the United States, are projected to decline by 7.3 percent compared to 2024.

Germany’s core manufacturing sector also faces competitive pressure from China – machinery manufacturing as an example. German car exports are projected to decline by approximately 3.2 percent too, primarily due to weak demand in the Chinese market and competition from Chinese electric vehicles. Germany’s total exports to China are projected to decline by approximately 10 percent in 2025.

On the import side, Germany’s reliance on China continues to deepen. GTAI projects that Germany’s imports from China increases by 7.2 percent annually, making China Germany’s largest supplier of goods. With declining exports and continuously expanding imports, Germany’s trade deficit with China will climb to approximately 87 billion Euros, a record high according to GTAI.

Source: UDN, December 15, 2025
https://money.udn.com/money/story/5599/9204967

Taiwan Troops Will Act Without Waiting for Central Orders If China Launches a Sudden Attack

Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense said that if China announces a complex military operation around the Taiwan Strait, Taiwan will raise its alert level, immediately conduct combat-readiness drills, and take steps to prevent the situation from escalating from a military exercise into actual conflict.

The ministry added that in the event of a sudden attack, Taiwan’s military units would act without waiting for centralized orders, relying on a decentralized command structure to carry out combat operations swiftly and effectively.

The remarks were made as the Legislative Yuan’s Foreign and National Defense Committee held a briefing on potential conflict hotspots in and around the Taiwan Strait. In a written report, the Defense Ministry emphasized that, in response to China’s expanding military capabilities, Taiwan and other Indo-Pacific countries are strengthening multilateral cooperation and defense preparedness. Taiwan is also closely monitoring China’s military activities and potential future moves to ensure early warning and rapid response.

Source: Central News Agency (Taiwan), December 17, 2025
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/aipl/202512150263.aspx

EU Warns China Is “Weaponizing” Economic Relationships and Calls for Unity in Response

On December 15, EU Vice President and High Representative for Foreign Affairs Kaja Kallas warned that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is increasingly using economic ties as a tool of political pressure against other countries.

Speaking after a meeting of EU foreign ministers in Brussels, Kallas said China is “weaponizing economic relationships,” and stressed that the European Union must strengthen its trade and security strategies to respond effectively. She outlined key measures including diversifying supply chains, tightening regulations in critical industries, and developing mechanisms to counter economic coercion.

Kallas emphasized that no single EU member state can address these challenges alone, underscoring that unity within the EU is essential to safeguard economic security and reduce strategic dependencies.

Source: Epoch Times, December 16, 2025
https://hk.epochtimes.com/news/2025-12-16/27356044