As the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) hides the infection and death count of the coronavirus in China, researchers are trying to estimate the actual number. The American Enterprise Institute (AEI) published a report that estimates about 2.9 million Chinese may have been infected.
The report said that China’s COVID-19 figures are not arithmetically sensible. The CCP has deliberately made estimation difficult. Outside of Wuhan city and Hubei province, cases are low by a factor of 100 or more.
In late January, Chinese media provided information about migrant outflow from Wuhan before the quarantine. Using a lower number than theirs, then conservative figures for migrants’ infection rate and time in circulation before the national lockdown, the report generates an estimate of 2.9 million cases.
Related postings on Chinascope:
- Infection Count: China’s Real Count Could Be 50 Times Bigger
- Infection Count: China Started Reporting Count of Asymptomatic Virus Carriers
- Infection Count: 60 Percent Hidden Infection Cases in Wuhan Are Not Reported
- Infection Count: Zhang Wenhong Worried about Shanghai’s Confirmed Infection Count Being Zero
- Infection Count: Shandong Internal Report Had Much Higher Infection Counts Than the Published Numbers
Source: American Enterprise Institute, April 7, 2020